Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 31, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The New York Mets (63-37) will try to sweep the Miami Marlins (47-54) on Sunday at LoanDepot park, beginning at 1:40 PM ET. New York (-138 to win) has Taijuan Walker starting things off, and Miami (+117) will send out Pablo Lopez.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Walker (NYM) Pitcher López (MIA)
8 – 2 W/L 7 – 5
97.2 IP 116.0
2.67 ERA 3.03
1.106 WHIP 1.043
7 K/9 9.2
2.4 BB/9 2.7

Mets Probable Starter Taijuan Walker

  • Walker (8-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his 18th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.67, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
  • Walker is looking to extend an eighth-game quality start streak in this matchup.
  • He will face a Marlins squad that is hitting .237 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .374 (26th in MLB) with 96 total home runs (21st in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Walker

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Miguel Rojas 18 .111 2 0 1 .111 .278
Jesús Aguilar 16 .125 2 0 1 .176 .364
Avisaíl García 16 .125 2 0 1 .125 .313
Bryan De La Cruz 12 .333 4 0 3 .333 .666
Jesús Sánchez 10 .100 1 0 0 .250 .350
Jacob Stallings 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Lewin Díaz 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Joey Wendle 5 .000 0 0 0 .167 .167
Luke Williams 3 .667 2 0 0 .750 1.417
Nick Fortes 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Probable Starter Pablo López

  • Lopez (7-5) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on two hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 3.03 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .204.
  • In 20 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in eight of them.
  • The Mets have scored 466 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They have 859 hits, eighth in baseball, with 101 home runs (17th in the league).
  • The 26-year-old ranks 19th in ERA (3.03), 17th in WHIP (1.043), and 15th in K/9 (9.2) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs López

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Nimmo 20 .300 6 1 3 .364 .914
Pete Alonso 15 .200 3 0 0 .368 .568
Jeff McNeil 13 .385 5 1 2 .467 1.236
Francisco Lindor 12 .167 2 1 3 .167 .584
J.D. Davis 11 .455 5 0 1 .538 .993
Tomás Nido 10 .100 1 0 0 .250 .350
Starling Marte 9 .222 2 0 0 .222 .666
Luis Guillorme 8 .375 3 0 1 .444 .944
Eduardo Escobar 7 .286 2 1 1 .286 1.000
Tyler Naquin 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have put together a 49-23 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.1% of those games).
  • New York has a 31-15 record (winning 67.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -138 or shorter.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 58%.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 50 times this season for a 50-44-6 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have collected a 53-47-0 record ATS this season (covering 53% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 55 times and won 19, or 34.5%, of those games.
  • Miami has entered 32 games this season as the underdog by +117 or more and is 9-23 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 46.1% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 101 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins have an ATS record of 45-56-0 in 101 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 101 hits, while batting .274 with 18 doubles, 26 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Among the qualified batters in MLB action, Alonso ranks 42nd in batting average, 41st in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .257 with 15 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters, Lindor ranks 71st in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage, and 61st in slugging.
  • Lindor has safely hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .378 with three doubles, a home run, seven walks and four RBI.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .301 with 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks and has accumulated a team-best .477 slugging percentage.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .263 with 18 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Nimmo enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .208 with a double, a home run and three RBI.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 385 .257 59 17 69 .334 .778
Pete Alonso 368 .274 55 26 84 .352 .887
Brandon Nimmo 357 .263 61 10 36 .345 .771
Eduardo Escobar 352 .222 40 12 42 .273 .671
Starling Marte 342 .301 57 11 46 .349 .826
Jeff McNeil 304 .289 40 5 37 .350 .761
Mark Canha 279 .265 41 7 32 .364 .740
Daniel Vogelbach 249 .233 30 12 34 .349 .779
Luis Guillorme 211 .284 26 2 12 .363 .723
Tyler Naquin 191 .241 29 7 33 .300 .735

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Miguel Rojas is batting .243 with six home runs and 27 RBI for Miami this season.
  • Among all the qualified hitters in MLB, Rojas’ batting average ranks 105th, his on-base percentage ranks 135th, and he is 133rd in slugging percentatge.
  • Jesus Aguilar has an OPS of .681, fueled by an OBP of .291 and a team-best slugging percentage of .390 this season.
  • Among all qualified players, Aguilar ranks 102nd in batting average, 134th in on-base percentage and 109th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 59 hits this season and has a slash line of .204/.269/.391.
  • Joey Wendle has been key for Miami with 50 hits, an OBP of .330 plus a slugging percentage of .384.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 349 .244 33 12 42 .291 .681
Avisaíl García 319 .232 29 7 30 .267 .590
Miguel Rojas 305 .243 27 6 27 .290 .644
Jesús Sánchez 289 .204 36 12 32 .269 .660
Jacob Stallings 227 .203 20 2 22 .266 .517
Bryan De La Cruz 214 .210 21 7 21 .257 .607
Joey Wendle 177 .282 15 2 21 .330 .714
Nick Fortes 89 .258 22 4 14 .340 .789
Luke Williams 76 .237 14 1 6 .310 .626
JJ Bleday 28 .179 4 1 1 .233 .590

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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