Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 30, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The New York Mets (62-37) bring a four-game winning streak into a road contest against the Miami Marlins (47-53) on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET. New York’s (-201 to win) Carlos Carrasco and Miami’s (+171) Nick Neidert will start this matchup.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 30, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Neidert (MIA)
10 – 4 W/L 0 – 0
104.0 IP 0
4.07 ERA 0.00
1.346 WHIP 0.000
8.7 K/9 0
2.4 BB/9 0

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco (10-4 with a 4.07 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 104 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 20th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the righty went 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres while surrendering six hits.
  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 4.07, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .276 against him.
  • Carrasco heads into the matchup with six quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and is 20th in MLB play with 96 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 20th in MLB with 799 total hits and 24th in MLB action scoring 403 runs.
  • The 35-year-old’s 4.07 ERA ranks 47th, 1.346 WHIP ranks 52nd, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 25th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Avisaíl García 45 .267 12 1 2 .283 .639
Bryan De La Cruz 12 .250 3 1 1 .250 .750
Billy Hamilton 12 .417 5 0 3 .533 1.116
Jesús Aguilar 11 .455 5 0 2 .500 1.136
Joey Wendle 9 .111 1 0 1 .111 .333
Miguel Rojas 9 .333 3 1 1 .333 1.000
Jacob Stallings 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Jesús Sánchez 7 .143 1 0 1 .250 .393
Nick Fortes 2 1.000 2 0 0 1.000 2.000
Lewin Díaz 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Probable Starter Nick Neidert

  • Neidert has been named the starter for the Marlins and will make his first start this season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 25-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The Mets have scored 462 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .253 for the campaign with 98 home runs, 19th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Neidert

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been the moneyline favorite 71 total times this season. They’ve gone 48-23 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -201 or shorter, New York has gone 4-2 (66.7%).
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Mets a 66.8% chance to win.
  • New York has played in 99 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-43-6).
  • The Mets have collected a 52-47-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.5% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won 19, or 35.2%, of the 54 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Miami has a record of 1-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +171 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 36.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 49 of their 100 chances.
  • The Marlins are 45-55-0 against the spread in their 100 chances this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso is leading the Mets with 101 hits, while batting .277 with 18 doubles, 26 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB play, Alonso’s batting average ranks 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 34th, and he is ninth in the league in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor has 15 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .252.
  • Lindor currently ranks 83rd in batting average, 73rd in on base percentage, and 66th in slugging among qualifying batters.
  • Lindor enters this matchup on a five-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with three doubles, four walks and an RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .305 with 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks and has accumulated a team-high .482 slugging percentage.
  • Marte heads into this game on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .264 with 18 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Nimmo has hit safely in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .217 with a double, a home run and three RBI.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 381 .252 58 16 67 .330 .763
Pete Alonso 364 .277 55 26 84 .356 .897
Brandon Nimmo 352 .264 61 10 36 .347 .776
Eduardo Escobar 348 .221 40 12 42 .274 .671
Starling Marte 338 .305 57 11 46 .353 .835
Jeff McNeil 300 .287 39 4 36 .348 .745
Mark Canha 279 .265 41 7 32 .364 .740
Daniel Vogelbach 247 .235 30 12 34 .349 .782
Luis Guillorme 211 .284 26 2 12 .363 .723
Tyler Naquin 187 .246 29 7 33 .305 .749

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Miguel Rojas has been key for Miami with six home runs, 27 RBI and a batting average of .243 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, Rojas’ batting average is 105th, his on-base percentage is 137th, and he is 136th in slugging.
  • Jesus Aguilar has an OPS of .683, fueled by an OBP of .291 and a team-best slugging percentage of .392 this season.
  • Among all qualifying players, Aguilar ranks 99th in batting average, 135th in on-base percentage and 107th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Sanchez is batting .206 with a .395 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
  • Joey Wendle has two home runs, 21 RBI and a batting average of .289 this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 347 .245 33 12 42 .291 .683
Avisaíl García 319 .232 29 7 30 .267 .590
Miguel Rojas 301 .243 27 6 27 .290 .645
Jesús Sánchez 286 .206 36 12 32 .272 .667
Jacob Stallings 227 .203 20 2 22 .266 .517
Bryan De La Cruz 211 .213 21 7 21 .260 .615
Joey Wendle 173 .289 15 2 21 .337 .730
Nick Fortes 86 .256 22 4 14 .340 .793
Luke Williams 76 .237 14 1 6 .310 .626
JJ Bleday 26 .192 4 1 1 .222 .607

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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