Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 29, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The Miami Marlins (47-52) host the New York Mets (61-37) in NL East action on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. New York (-122 to win) has Chris Bassitt set to start, and Miami (+102) will counter with Sandy Alcantara.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of July 29, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Bassitt (NYM) Pitcher Alcantara (MIA)
7 – 7 W/L 9 – 4
109.0 IP 144.1
3.63 ERA 1.81
1.092 WHIP 0.901
9.5 K/9 8.3
2.3 BB/9 2.2

Mets Probable Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt gets the start for the Mets, his 19th of the season. He is 7-7 with a 3.63 ERA and 115 strikeouts in 109 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 33-year-old has put up a 3.63 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .221 to his opponents.
  • Bassitt is trying to notch his seventh quality start in a row in this game.
  • He will face a Marlins team that is hitting .238 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .377 (25th in MLB) with 96 total home runs (19th in MLB).
  • The 33-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.63), 23rd in WHIP (1.092), and 14th in K/9 (9.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Bassitt

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Avisaíl García 9 .111 1 0 0 .111 .222
Jacob Stallings 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Miguel Rojas 8 .375 3 0 0 .375 .750
Bryan De La Cruz 7 .714 5 1 2 .750 2.321
Willians Astudillo 6 .000 0 0 0 .143 .143
Jesús Sánchez 6 .167 1 1 2 .167 .834
Joey Wendle 6 .167 1 0 1 .250 .583
Jesús Aguilar 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Lewin Díaz 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Luke Williams 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Probable Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins’ Alcantara (9-4) will make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 1.81, a 3.694 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .901.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his sixth quality start in a row.
  • The Mets rank sixth in MLB with a .253 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 14th in the league (.397) and 96 home runs.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 1.81 ERA ranks second, .901 WHIP ranks fourth, and 8.3 K/9 ranks 37th.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Alcantara

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jeff McNeil 28 .286 8 1 1 .355 .784
Pete Alonso 27 .185 5 1 1 .290 .697
Brandon Nimmo 26 .115 3 0 0 .207 .361
Francisco Lindor 22 .318 7 1 6 .348 .893
Tomás Nido 18 .167 3 0 0 .211 .378
Eduardo Escobar 18 .111 2 0 0 .111 .222
Luis Guillorme 12 .417 5 0 1 .417 .834
J.D. Davis 10 .400 4 0 0 .400 1.000
Starling Marte 10 .100 1 0 0 .100 .400
Daniel Vogelbach 6 .333 2 1 1 .333 1.333

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 67.1% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (47-23).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter, New York has a 42-21 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 55% in this contest.
  • In the 98 games bookmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 49 times (49-43-6).
  • The Mets have collected a 51-47-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 53 games this season and won 19 (35.8%) of those contests.
  • Miami has a record of 14-29, a 32.6% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +102 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 49.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 48 of their 99 chances.
  • The Marlins are 45-54-0 against the spread in their 99 chances this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has accumulated a team-high slugging percentage (.547) while leading the Mets in hits (101). He’s hitting .281 with 18 doubles, 26 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters, Alonso ranks 37th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 32nd and he is eighth in slugging.
  • Alonso has hit safely in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .378 with four doubles, three home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .251 with 14 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Lindor currently ranks 85th in batting average, 83rd in on base percentage, and 69th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
  • Lindor brings a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .300 with 19 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Marte takes a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks while batting .262.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 379 .251 58 16 67 .325 .755
Pete Alonso 360 .281 55 26 84 .357 .904
Brandon Nimmo 347 .262 59 9 33 .346 .764
Eduardo Escobar 346 .220 39 12 42 .272 .668
Starling Marte 333 .300 56 10 43 .349 .814
Jeff McNeil 295 .288 39 4 36 .351 .751
Mark Canha 274 .266 40 7 32 .367 .743
Daniel Vogelbach 243 .230 30 12 34 .345 .769
Luis Guillorme 208 .288 26 2 12 .368 .733
Tomás Nido 179 .218 15 0 16 .262 .513

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Jesus Aguilar has an OPS of .691, fueled by an OBP of .294 and a team-best slugging percentage of .397 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Aguilar ranks 92nd in batting average, his on-base percentage is 132nd, and he is 100th in slugging percentage.
  • Miguel Rojas is slugging .349 while driving in 24 runs and batting .238 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Rojas ranks 113th in batting average, 143rd in on-base percentage and 139th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 59 hits this season and has a slash line of .207/.272/.396.
  • Joey Wendle has been key for Miami with 50 hits, an OBP of .341 plus a slugging percentage of .402.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 343 .248 33 12 42 .294 .691
Avisaíl García 316 .231 28 7 30 .264 .587
Miguel Rojas 298 .238 27 6 24 .284 .633
Jesús Sánchez 285 .207 36 12 32 .272 .668
Jacob Stallings 224 .201 20 2 22 .265 .515
Bryan De La Cruz 207 .213 21 7 21 .260 .617
Joey Wendle 169 .296 15 2 21 .341 .743
Nick Fortes 85 .259 22 4 14 .344 .803
Luke Williams 74 .243 13 1 6 .309 .633
Willians Astudillo 54 .241 5 1 4 .255 .551

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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