Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 10, 2022

Written By Staff on July 9, 2022

Sandy Alcantara aims for his 10th win of the season when his Miami Marlins (40-43) visit the New York Mets (53-32) at Citi Field. The game starts at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. New York (-113 to win) has Taijuan Walker starting, while Miami (-106) will send out Alcantara.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of July 10, 2022 at 1:36 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Walker (NYM) Pitcher Alcantara (MIA)
7 – 2 W/L 9 – 3
78.2 IP 123.1
2.86 ERA 1.82
1.144 WHIP 0.908
7 K/9 7.8
2.5 BB/9 2.2

Mets Probable Starter Taijuan Walker

  • Walker (7-2) takes the mound for the Mets in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.86 ERA in 78 2/3 innings pitched, with 61 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.86, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
  • Walker is seeking his sixth straight quality start.
  • He meets a Marlins offense that ranks 18th in the league with 357 runs while batting .242 as a unit. It has a collective .394 slugging percentage (15th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 90 home runs (14th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:36 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Walker

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Miguel Rojas 16 .125 2 0 1 .125 .313
Avisaíl García 16 .125 2 0 1 .125 .313
Jesús Aguilar 13 .154 2 0 1 .214 .445
Bryan De La Cruz 10 .400 4 0 3 .400 .800
Brian Anderson 10 .300 3 0 1 .273 .573
Jon Berti 7 .571 4 0 0 .571 1.142
Jesús Sánchez 7 .143 1 0 0 .333 .476
Garrett Cooper 6 .167 1 0 1 .167 .334
Jacob Stallings 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Luke Williams 3 .667 2 0 0 .750 1.417

Marlins Probable Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara (9-3) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 8 2/3 innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 1.82 ERA this season with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 17 games.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • The Mets have scored 409 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 735 hits, seventh in baseball, with 85 home runs (18th in the league).
  • The 26-year-old’s 1.82 ERA ranks third, .908 WHIP ranks fifth, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 39th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:36 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Alcantara

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jeff McNeil 25 .320 8 1 1 .393 .873
Pete Alonso 24 .167 4 1 1 .286 .703
Brandon Nimmo 23 .130 3 0 0 .231 .405
Francisco Lindor 19 .368 7 1 6 .400 1.032
Tomás Nido 15 .200 3 0 0 .250 .450
Eduardo Escobar 15 .067 1 0 0 .067 .134
Dominic Smith 14 .143 2 0 1 .143 .286
J.D. Davis 10 .400 4 0 0 .400 1.000
Starling Marte 10 .100 1 0 0 .100 .400
Luis Guillorme 9 .222 2 0 1 .222 .444

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have put together a 42-19 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.9% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -113 or shorter, New York has a record of 40-18 (69%).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 53.1%.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 45 times this season for a 45-35-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets are 46-39-0 against the spread this season.
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 48 times and won 17, or 35.4%, of those games.
  • Miami has a record of 16-30 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least -106 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 51.5%.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 83 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins have an ATS record of 42-41-0 in 83 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 85 hits, while batting .273 with 13 doubles, 23 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Alonso ranks 45th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 43rd and he is 13th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .240.
  • Lindor ranks 100th in batting average, 95th in on base percentage, and 68th in slugging in MLB action.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .291 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks and has accumulated a team-best .462 slugging percentage.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 15 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 31 walks while hitting .273.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 325 .240 50 15 60 .317 .742
Pete Alonso 311 .273 47 23 70 .350 .887
Starling Marte 299 .291 50 9 40 .342 .804
Eduardo Escobar 297 .215 34 9 37 .272 .652
Brandon Nimmo 293 .273 49 8 32 .357 .797
Jeff McNeil 260 .315 38 4 35 .376 .818
Mark Canha 239 .272 39 6 30 .366 .743
Luis Guillorme 171 .292 23 1 7 .366 .717
J.D. Davis 161 .248 25 3 19 .339 .705
Tomás Nido 149 .221 13 0 15 .264 .512

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper has 81 hits and an OBP of .370 to go with a slugging percentage of .464. All three of those stats rank first among Miami hitters this season.
  • Of all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, Cooper ranks 14th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage and 46th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Aguilar has collected 72 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .296.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Aguilar’s batting average places him 78th, his on-base percentage ranks 122nd, and he is 82nd in slugging.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .249 with a .373 slugging percentage and 21 RBI this year.
  • Jon Berti has been key for Miami with 48 hits, an OBP of .357 plus a slugging percentage of .378.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 288 .250 30 11 35 .296 .709
Garrett Cooper 267 .303 27 7 40 .370 .834
Avisaíl García 262 .229 24 6 25 .264 .588
Jesús Sánchez 249 .209 31 11 30 .264 .666
Miguel Rojas 249 .249 24 6 21 .300 .673
Jacob Stallings 194 .191 18 2 22 .255 .497
Jon Berti 180 .267 31 2 18 .357 .735
Bryan De La Cruz 160 .225 20 6 18 .277 .671
Brian Anderson 140 .264 24 3 10 .360 .760
Joey Wendle 113 .274 13 2 14 .328 .726

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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