Mets Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 17, 2022

Written By Staff on July 17, 2022

The New York Mets (58-34) have a 3-0 series lead and will try to sweep the Chicago Cubs (34-57) on Sunday at Wrigley Field, beginning at 2:20 PM ET. New York’s (-142 to win) David Peterson starts against Chicago’s (+122) Adrian Sampson.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET.

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Mets vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Peterson (NYM) Pitcher Sampson (CHC)
5 – 2 W/L 0 – 1
67.1 IP 27.0
3.48 ERA 3.33
1.248 WHIP 1.111
10.2 K/9 7.3
4 BB/9 1.7

Mets Probable Starter David Peterson

  • The Mets are sending Peterson (5-2) out to make his 13th start of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 76 strikeouts through 67 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, the lefty tossed 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.48, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .219 against him.
  • Peterson has three quality starts under his belt this season.
  • He will match up with a Cubs offense that is hitting .243 as a unit (15th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .391 (15th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Peterson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Yan Gomes 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Willson Contreras 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Ian Happ 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
David Bote 2 .500 1 0 2 .500 1.000
Patrick Wisdom 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Cubs Probable Starter Adrian Sampson

  • Sampson (0-1) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 3.33 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .238.
  • The Mets rank seventh in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 14th in the league (.398) and 92 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Sampson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Mark Canha 9 .222 2 2 2 .300 1.189
Starling Marte 5 .400 2 0 1 .500 .900
Eduardo Escobar 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 1.000
Francisco Lindor 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 69.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (45-20).
  • New York is 28-10 (winning 73.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter.
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.7% in this matchup.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 47 times this season for a 47-39-6 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have gone 49-43-0 against the spread this season.
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Cubs have been the underdog 64 times and won 24, or 37.5%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 15-24, a 38.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +122 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 45%.
  • Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 91 chances this season.
  • In 91 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 45-46-0 ATS.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has accumulated 90 hits with a .521 slugging percentage, both team-best statistics for the Mets. He’s batting .265 with 15 doubles, 24 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Among qualifying batters in MLB, Alonso ranks 62nd in batting average, 56th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Among qualifiers, Lindor ranks 98th in batting average, 88th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
  • Lindor heads into this game on a 10-game hitting streak. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .279 with a double, a triple, three home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 36 walks while hitting .270.
  • Starling Marte is slugging .458 to pace his team. He has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks while hitting .292.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 355 .245 54 16 66 .323 .754
Pete Alonso 340 .265 50 24 77 .341 .862
Eduardo Escobar 327 .223 37 11 40 .277 .675
Brandon Nimmo 322 .270 58 9 33 .357 .795
Starling Marte 308 .292 51 9 41 .343 .801
Jeff McNeil 276 .304 38 4 35 .367 .791
Mark Canha 257 .268 40 7 31 .368 .745
Luis Guillorme 194 .294 25 2 10 .372 .743
J.D. Davis 170 .235 25 3 19 .327 .674
Tomás Nido 166 .211 14 0 15 .254 .489

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ has an OPS of .811, fueled by an OBP of .365 and a team-best slugging percentage of .446 this season.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Happ’s batting average ranks 43rd, his on-base percentage ranks 26th, and he is 55th in slugging percentatge.
  • Willson Contreras leads Chicago with 72 hits and an OBP of .367 this season.
  • Contreras is currently 78th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage and 46th in slugging percentage among all qualified players.
  • Nico Hoerner has 81 hits this season and has a slash line of .300/.338/.419.
  • Patrick Wisdom has 17 home runs, 45 RBI and a batting average of .222 this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 314 .274 40 9 41 .365 .811
Patrick Wisdom 311 .222 48 17 45 .315 .759
Willson Contreras 284 .254 47 13 35 .367 .825
Nico Hoerner 270 .300 29 5 26 .338 .757
Frank Schwindel 236 .242 22 8 34 .287 .677
Rafael Ortega 217 .240 24 4 23 .333 .692
Christopher Morel 211 .265 35 9 26 .335 .814
Seiya Suzuki 181 .271 23 6 26 .353 .806
Yan Gomes 164 .213 11 3 12 .231 .542
Alfonso Rivas 161 .236 17 3 23 .313 .636

Mets vs Cubs Player Props

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