Mets Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 16, 2022

Written By Staff on July 16, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (34-56) aim to end their eight-game losing streak when they take on the New York Mets (57-34) on Saturday at 8:05 PM ET. Max Scherzer starts for New York (-151 to win) while Chicago (+132) will counter with Drew Smyly.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 16, 2022 at 7:36 PM ET.

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Mets vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Scherzer (NYM) Pitcher Smyly (CHC)
6 – 1 W/L 2 – 5
62.2 IP 44.2
2.15 ERA 4.43
0.830 WHIP 1.343
11.3 K/9 7.1
1.6 BB/9 2.2

Mets Probable Starter Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer (6-1 with a 2.15 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 10th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Monday, the righty went 7 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • The 37-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.15, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opponents are batting .185 against him.
  • Scherzer is trying to build upon a second-game quality start streak in this game.
  • He meets a Cubs offense that ranks 19th in the league with 380 runs while batting .243 as a unit. It has a collective .392 slugging percentage (15th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 88 home runs (20th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 16, 2022 at 7:36 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Scherzer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Willson Contreras 13 .231 3 0 1 .375 .606
Ian Happ 9 .111 1 0 1 .200 .311
Yan Gomes 7 .429 3 0 2 .375 .946
Rafael Ortega 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.000
David Bote 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Nico Hoerner 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000
P.J. Higgins 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Probable Starter Drew Smyly

  • The Cubs will hand the ball to Smyly (2-5) for his 11th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 2 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 4.43, a 3.182 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.343.
  • In 10 starts this season, Smyly has not yet earned a quality start.
  • The Mets have scored 431 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .253 for the campaign with 91 home runs, 17th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 16, 2022 at 7:36 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Smyly

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Starling Marte 12 .333 4 0 1 .333 .833
Francisco Lindor 11 .273 3 0 2 .333 .697
Eduardo Escobar 10 .500 5 3 3 .583 1.983
Pete Alonso 7 .429 3 1 2 .500 1.500
Mark Canha 7 .143 1 0 0 .250 .393
J.D. Davis 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Travis Jankowski 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Brandon Nimmo 4 .500 2 0 0 .600 1.350
Tomás Nido 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jeff McNeil 3 .000 0 0 0 .250 .250

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 44-20 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.8% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -151 or shorter, New York has a 26-8 record (winning 76.5% of its games).
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Mets a 60.2% chance to win.
  • In the 91 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-39-5).
  • The Mets have put together a 49-42-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.8% of the time).
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 63 games this season and won 24 (38.1%) of those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has won 12 of its 30 games, or 40%, when they’re the underdog by at least +132 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.1% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 90 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 44-46-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has accumulated a slugging percentage of .527 and has 90 hits, both team-high numbers for the Mets. He’s batting .268 with 15 doubles, 24 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Alonso ranks 57th in batting average, 52nd in on base percentage, and 13th in slugging among the qualified hitters in baseball.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 95th in batting average, 89th in on base percentage, and 66th in slugging in baseball.
  • Lindor takes a nine-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a triple, three home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .271 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 36 walks.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .293 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 351 .245 53 16 65 .322 .755
Pete Alonso 336 .268 50 24 76 .343 .870
Eduardo Escobar 322 .217 36 10 39 .272 .654
Brandon Nimmo 317 .271 56 9 33 .359 .801
Starling Marte 304 .293 51 9 41 .343 .804
Jeff McNeil 273 .308 38 4 35 .369 .798
Mark Canha 253 .273 40 7 31 .371 .754
Luis Guillorme 194 .294 25 2 10 .369 .740
J.D. Davis 167 .240 25 3 19 .328 .681
Tomás Nido 162 .210 14 0 15 .254 .489

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ has an OPS of .816, fueled by an OBP of .367 to go with a slugging percentage of .449. All three of those stats are best among Chicago hitters this season.
  • Among all the qualified hitters in MLB, Happ’s batting average is 42nd, his on-base percentage is 25th, and he is 54th in slugging.
  • Willson Contreras leads Chicago with 72 hits and an OBP of .367 this season.
  • Contreras is 78th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage and 47th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .305 with a .425 slugging percentage and 26 RBI this year.
  • Patrick Wisdom is batting .221 with a .316 OBP and 45 RBI for Chicago this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 312 .276 40 9 41 .367 .816
Patrick Wisdom 307 .221 47 17 45 .316 .759
Willson Contreras 284 .254 47 13 35 .367 .825
Nico Hoerner 266 .305 29 5 26 .340 .765
Frank Schwindel 231 .242 21 8 34 .289 .679
Rafael Ortega 215 .242 24 4 23 .333 .696
Christopher Morel 208 .264 35 9 25 .335 .816
Seiya Suzuki 176 .261 23 6 26 .347 .796
Yan Gomes 161 .205 11 3 10 .218 .516
Alfonso Rivas 157 .236 17 3 23 .315 .640

Mets vs Cubs Player Props

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