Mets Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 14, 2022

Written By Staff on July 14, 2022

The New York Mets (55-34) visit the Chicago Cubs (34-54) on Thursday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 8:05 PM ET at Wrigley Field. The Mets head into the matchup following a series win over the Braves, and the Cubs are coming off a series loss to the Orioles. Carlos Carrasco starts for New York (-131 to win) while Chicago (+111) will counter with Keegan Thompson.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 14, 2022 at 7:37 PM ET.

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Mets vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Thompson (CHC)
9 – 4 W/L 7 – 3
93.0 IP 77.0
4.55 ERA 3.16
1.344 WHIP 1.182
9.1 K/9 8.6
2.3 BB/9 2.9

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco (9-4 with a 4.55 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 93 innings pitched) tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Mets, his 18th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • In 17 games this season, the 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.55, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .275 against him.
  • Carrasco enters this matchup with five quality starts under his belt this season.
  • He will face off against a Cubs offense that ranks 13th in MLB with 730 total hits (on a .244 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .396 (15th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (19th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 35-year-old’s 4.55 ERA ranks 58th, 1.344 WHIP ranks 52nd, and 9.1 K/9 ranks 21st.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 14, 2022 at 7:37 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrelton Simmons 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .661
Ian Happ 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .500
Willson Contreras 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
David Bote 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Cubs Probable Starter Keegan Thompson

  • The Cubs will send Thompson (7-3) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up no earned runs and allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.16 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .233 in 19 games this season.
  • He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in two of them.
  • The Mets have scored 421 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .254 for the campaign with 89 home runs, 17th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 14, 2022 at 7:37 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Thompson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Eduardo Escobar 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Pete Alonso 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Dominic Smith 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Travis Jankowski 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 67.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (42-20).
  • New York is 30-15 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -131 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Mets a 56.7% chance to win.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 46 times this season for a 46-38-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have covered 53.9% of their games this season, going 48-41-0 against the spread.
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Cubs have been the underdog 61 times and won 24, or 39.3%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 18-30, a 37.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 47.4% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 88 games with a total.
  • The Cubs have an ATS record of 43-45-0 in 88 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high slugging percentage (.521) while leading the Mets in hits (88). He’s hitting .268 with 14 doubles, 23 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Alonso ranks 58th in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .244 with 11 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Among the qualified, Lindor ranks 94th in batting average, 100th in on-base percentage, and 67th in slugging.
  • Lindor heads into this game on a seven-game hitting streak. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .244 with a triple, four home runs and eight RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .291 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .269 with 16 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 34 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 344 .244 52 16 64 .317 .750
Pete Alonso 328 .268 48 23 72 .344 .865
Eduardo Escobar 313 .217 35 10 38 .273 .660
Brandon Nimmo 309 .269 54 8 32 .355 .785
Starling Marte 299 .291 50 9 40 .342 .804
Mark Canha 253 .273 40 7 31 .371 .754
Luis Guillorme 185 .308 24 2 10 .382 .771
J.D. Davis 167 .240 25 3 19 .328 .681
Tomás Nido 161 .211 14 0 15 .256 .492
Dominic Smith 126 .198 10 0 17 .280 .574

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ has an OPS of .830, fueled by an OBP of .373 and a team-best slugging percentage of .457 this season.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Happ is 36th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 19th, and he is 47th in slugging percentage.
  • Willson Contreras leads the Cubs in OBP (.377) and total hits (72) this season.
  • Contreras’ batting average is 67th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage puts him 16th, and he is 38th in slugging.
  • Nico Hoerner has 79 hits this season and has a slash line of .304/.338/.427.
  • Patrick Wisdom has 17 home runs, 45 RBI and a batting average of .227 this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 304 .280 40 9 41 .373 .830
Patrick Wisdom 300 .227 47 17 45 .321 .774
Willson Contreras 275 .262 47 13 35 .377 .850
Nico Hoerner 260 .304 28 5 26 .338 .765
Rafael Ortega 207 .251 24 4 23 .342 .719
Christopher Morel 202 .267 35 9 25 .336 .826
Seiya Suzuki 168 .256 23 6 26 .345 .797
Yan Gomes 157 .204 11 3 10 .217 .516
Alfonso Rivas 153 .235 17 3 23 .316 .643
P.J. Higgins 79 .266 11 4 16 .341 .835

Mets vs Cubs Player Props

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