Mets Vs Braves: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – August 4, 2022

Written By Staff on August 3, 2022

A pair of MLB’s best sluggers square off when the New York Mets (66-38) and the Atlanta Braves (62-42) meet at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday at Citi Field. Pete Alonso has 28 home runs (fifth in the league) for the Mets, and Austin Riley ranks fourth in MLB play with 29 round-trippers this season for the Braves. New York’s (-120 to win) Carlos Carrasco starts against Atlanta’s (+101) Kyle Wright.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of August 4, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET.

Sign up for DraftKings today and get a $50 free bet plus a deposit match up to $1,000! New bettors only

Mets vs Braves Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Wright (ATL)
11 – 4 W/L 13 – 4
111.2 IP 122.2
3.79 ERA 2.93
1.307 WHIP 1.149
8.7 K/9 8.8
2.4 BB/9 2.6

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco (11-4) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 21st start of the season. He’s put together a 3.79 ERA in 111 2/3 innings pitched, with 108 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s last time out came on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 7 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • In 20 games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.79, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .269 against him.
  • Carrasco has seven quality starts under his belt this year.
  • He will face a Braves offense that ranks fourth in the league with 499 runs while batting .249 as a squad. It has a collective .442 slugging percentage (third in MLB play) and has hit a total of 161 home runs (second in MLB).
  • The 35-year-old’s 3.79 ERA ranks 40th, 1.307 WHIP ranks 49th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Eddie Rosario 34 .353 12 2 4 .436 1.024
Robbie Grossman 15 .333 5 0 0 .474 .941
Matt Olson 8 .625 5 2 2 .667 2.292
Guillermo Heredia 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Orlando Arcia 7 .143 1 0 0 .333 .619
Dansby Swanson 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
William Contreras 5 .400 2 1 2 .400 1.400
Travis d’Arnaud 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .400
Austin Riley 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Marcell Ozuna 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Braves Probable Starter Kyle Wright

  • Wright (13-4) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.93 ERA this season with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 20 games.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fifth quality start in a row.
  • The Mets have scored 492 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 911 hits, sixth in baseball, with 106 home runs (16th in the league).
  • The 26-year-old ranks 18th in ERA (2.93), 29th in WHIP (1.149), and 25th in K/9 (8.8) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 4, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Wright

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jeff McNeil 12 .583 7 0 3 .583 1.333
Brandon Nimmo 10 .300 3 1 2 .364 .964
Pete Alonso 8 .250 2 1 1 .333 .958
Francisco Lindor 5 .200 1 1 2 .333 1.133
Tyler Naquin 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Starling Marte 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Mark Canha 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Tomás Nido 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Daniel Vogelbach 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Luis Guillorme 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 3.000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 52 of the 76 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (68.4%).
  • New York is 49-22 (winning 69% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • The Mets have a 54.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • New York has played in 104 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-45-6).
  • The Mets have collected a 56-48-0 record against the spread this season.
RANK
OPERATOR
BONUS
INFO
ACTION
2
$1,500
Risk Free Bet
Up to $1,500 Risk Free Bet
Weekly Odds Boosts
Use Promo Code: BETODDS15

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won seven, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 3-10, a 23.1% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +101 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 49.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 52 of 105 chances this season.
  • The Braves have an ATS record of 52-53-0 in 105 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Alonso has put up a slugging percentage of .547 and has 106 hits, both team-best numbers for the Mets. He’s batting .276 with 20 doubles, 28 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB action, Alonso ranks 41st in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .262 with 16 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 59th in batting average, 60th in on base percentage, and 46th in slugging in baseball.
  • Lindor heads into this game on a 10-game hitting streak. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .421 with four doubles, three home runs, six walks and eight RBI.
  • Starling Marte is batting .299 with 19 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks. He has a .469 slugging percentage, which paces the Mets.
  • Marte heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a triple, a home run and five RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .272 with 19 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 38 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 401 .262 63 19 74 .338 .797
Pete Alonso 384 .276 60 28 88 .355 .902
Brandon Nimmo 375 .272 64 10 38 .352 .781
Eduardo Escobar 357 .218 40 12 42 .270 .662
Starling Marte 354 .299 59 11 48 .347 .816
Jeff McNeil 321 .302 43 5 39 .361 .791
Mark Canha 293 .270 43 7 34 .366 .741
Darin Ruf 268 .216 46 11 38 .328 .701
Daniel Vogelbach 263 .236 32 13 38 .353 .786
Luis Guillorme 224 .286 29 2 13 .363 .734

Braves Players to Watch

  • Riley has 121 hits and an OBP of .360 to go with a slugging percentage of .599. All three of those stats are tops among Atlanta hitters this season.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Riley’s batting average is 19th, his on-base percentage is 28th, and he is fifth in slugging percentatge.
  • Matt Olson is batting .248 with a .491 slugging percentage and 68 RBI this year.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Olson is 91st in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 23rd in slugging percentage.
  • Dansby Swanson has an OPS of .827, fueled by an OBP of .358 and a team-best slugging percentage of .469 this season.
  • Marcell Ozuna has been key for Atlanta with 84 hits, an OBP of .275 plus a slugging percentage of .406.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Austin Riley 404 .300 62 29 68 .360 .959
Matt Olson 403 .248 51 21 68 .337 .828
Dansby Swanson 403 .300 69 15 55 .358 .827
Marcell Ozuna 379 .222 48 19 42 .275 .681
Robbie Grossman 274 .208 24 2 23 .315 .603
Ronald Acuña Jr. 269 .257 41 8 24 .357 .744
Travis d’Arnaud 263 .251 38 11 40 .299 .732
Michael Harris 207 .280 35 9 30 .320 .798
William Contreras 177 .254 26 13 26 .340 .865
Orlando Arcia 158 .247 17 7 25 .320 .731

Mets vs Braves Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff
[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]