2023 Memorial Tournament Bets: Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

Jack’s milkshakes have brought all the boys to the yard, as all the game’s biggest stars headed to Muirfield Village in Dublin, Ohio for the 2023 Memorial Tournament. This event did not need the elevated status to attract the game’s best, but an increased purse heightens the stakes nonetheless. With beautiful scenery, pristine topography, and picture-perfect weather in store, I could not be more excited to kick back and watch the action at the Memorial this week. Here, I’ll share my final card of Memorial Tournament bets.

Click the odds anywhere in this article to place the Memorial bets at legal sports betting sites. 

For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my Memorial Tournament preview. 

HOW I BUILT MY MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BETTING CARD

Plan A was to build a very short outright betting card with Scottie Scheffler and a longshot or two. Unfortunately Scheffler’s backdoor T3 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge on Sunday erased any hopes of seeing odds longer than 7-1. So as a pivot, I looked to a wider group of discounted elites with a proven track record at Muirfield Village and other long and demanding comp courses. The ability to gain in all four strokes categories is a must to contend at the Memorial. Plenty of players in this loaded field priced in the mid-tier of the board fit that criteria.

In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for Memorial Tournament bets.

• Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
• FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Props – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each

Click on any of the PGA odds below for the best available prices across legal sportsbooks in your state.

THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Collin Morikawa

My Bet: +2800
Best Available Odds:

It’s a good week to chase course history. Muirfield Village rewards those with a complete all-around skillset who can play patiently and think strategically around the golf course. At double the odds of other course horses like Jon Rahm and Patrick Cantlay, Morikawa enters this week with a win and playoff loss on these grounds under his belt since 2020.

Granted, both of those results come with their own asterisks. Morikawa’s win at Muirfield Village came at the Workday Charity Open, while his playoff loss to Cantlay came in the year Rahm withdrew due to his positive COVID test. Be that as it may, it sets up a nice buy-low opportunity for Morikawa, who will enter this tournament with positive past experience.

A second-shot course that rewards elite long-iron play looks right up Morikawa’s alley as he continues to look the part of an elite ball-striker. He just needs to the putter to show some life. But, he’s proven plenty of times before that a spike putting week can come without warning.

Tyrrell Hatton

My Bet: +3000
Best Available Odds:

Don’t look now, but Tyrrell Hatton may have become the most consistent player in all four facets of the game. Over the last 36 rounds, Hatton is the only player in this field to rank top 30 in SG: OTT, SG: APP, SG: ARG, and SG: P. It’s hard to believe Hatton is still chasing his first PGA TOUR win since the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational with those kind of numbers. But, a difficult all-around test like Muirfield Village is exactly the kind of course that should reward Hatton’s balanced style of play.

With five top-six finishes over his last 10 starts, a win in 2023 has begun to feel inevitable for the Englishman.

Matt Fitzpatrick

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

The 2022 U.S. Open champion never seems to get the respect he deserves from oddsmakers. He’s drifted into the mid-tier of the odds board this week. That seems hardly justifiable just three starts removed from winning an elevated event at the RBC Heritage.

Fitzpatrick showed his potential to contend on this layout with a T3 finish in 2020. He ranks No. 7 in Comp Course History with recent top-10 finishes at TPC Potomac, Augusta National, Bay Hill, and Olympia Fields. As the 12th-ranked player in my model this week, he qualifies as a value bet, having shown a high ceiling in recent starts and historically at this event.

Shane Lowry

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

It would feel wrong to go into an event in Dublin and not stake on an Irishman. Lowry has embraced those vibes at this tournament recently with finishes of T32 and T7 over the last two years. Muirfield Village is an ideal fit for Lowry’s game, as accurate drivers who can consistently avoid this thick rough will generate the most scoring opportunities.

Lowry has looked stout from tee to green this season, ranking top-20 in SG: OTT, SG: APP, and Prox: 175+. The putter has run cold in 2023, but he’s been positive on these greens in each of the first two years post-renovation. That leaves room for optimism. He’ll look to carry the momentum from an impressive T12 showing at Oak Hill in his latest start.

Adam Scott

My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:

Adam Scott and his perfect golf swing have been on the precipice of piecing everything together in pursuit of his first win since the 2020 Genesis Invitational. With veterans like Chris Kirk, Justin Rose and Jason Day already setting the tone for 2023 as the year to end all droughts, Scott may be the next overdue star to get back in the winners circle.

His ball striking has returned to its vintage form with a pair of top-10 finishes over his last three starts. And he’s shown the spike putting upside needed to win a golf tournament, gaining over five strokes at both the Wells Fargo Championship and AT&T Byron Nelson. With four career top-five finishes at the Memorial, Scott has all the tools needed to contend.

Kevin Streelman

My Bet: +30000
Best Available Odds:

It doesn’t take much convincing for me to get behind a 300-1 longshot. And Streelman checks the two basic boxes of course history and recent form. He’s fifth in the field in total strokes gained at Muirfield Village with five top-20s and just one missed cut since 2015. In addition, he’s finished top-20 in each of his last two starts. That provides far more reason to get onboard compared to what David Lingmerth and William McGirt displayed before their longshot victories at this event.

THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNIT)

Keegan Bradley

My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:

Keegan has just barely eclipsed the imaginary FRL auto-bet threshold at 66-1 odds. We can count on his consistent ball-striking to generate enough birdie looks on Thursday, and he’s gotten off to a top-10 round one start in two of his last three appearances at the Memorial.

Byeong Hun An

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

The markets were pretty sharp to keep An’s outright odds in check this week, understanding his compelling course history and recent high finishes at the Charles Schwab Challenge and AT&T Byron Nelson. The putter remains a concern for me over four rounds. But, he’ll generate plenty of birdie looks one round at a time.

KH Lee

My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:

KH Lee’s course history may look uninspiring, but that has everything to do with poor play over the weekend. In two of his first three appearances at the Memorial, Lee has either led or been within a stroke of the lead through the opening two rounds. His game continues to trend upwards year over year. This is a good spot to cash in on Lee’s propensity to start hot.

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds: 

Rai was a late entry to the field as the first alternate. But he’s here now, which means he’s locked on the FRL card. Believe it or not, Rai led the field in SG: Putting at the 2022 Memorial Tournament. He was second in SG: APP at the Charles Schwab Challenge last week, so if he can pair the hot irons with historical results on these greens, he will be a threat for yet another FRL cash this 2023 season.

Adam Svensson

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds: 

Svensson is an aggressive birdie-maker who can get streaky with the putter. That’s exactly what I’m looking for in a FRL longshot, and with top-20 ranks in Par-5 Scoring, SG: P, and Prox: 175+, he has all the tools needed to attack this course.

THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-40 Finish: Kevin Streelman

My Bet: +200
Best Available Odds:

This feels like a bit of a misprice considering he’s finished top 40 in six of his last eight trips to Muirfield Village. His form has turned a corner with back to back top-20 finishes leading into this week. So if I’m already betting him to win outright, I’m naturally going to back that up with a nice value top-40 placement as well.

Top-20 Finish: Shane Lowry

My Bet: +200
Best Available Odds:

Lowry’s four top-20 finishes over his last eight starts might imply that his odds in this market should fall closer to even. With two top-20 finishes over his last five starts at the Memorial, this layout should reward his game well.

Top-20 Finish: Adam Scott

My Bet: +230
Best Available Odds:

One of the most sneakily consistent players on the PGA TOUR, Adam Scott is approaching 13 months since his last missed cut on the PGA TOUR. As his game continues to trend upward, this feels like a safe bet, and one of my favorite prop values on the board.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Jon Rahm

Once the Memorial Tournament was announced to be an elevated event, my plan has always been to save Rahm for this spot. He’s finished T10, 1st*, and 1st in his last three appearances here and now enters in the midst of his best season yet on TOUR with four victories already. Having already used Scheffler and Cantlay in OAD, this was a no brainer decision for me.

If not Rahm, I would also consider Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay, or Shane Lowry as OAD picks.

THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s Memorial Tournament bets. Best of luck this week with your own Memorial Tournament bets, and see you on Sunday for the RBC Canadian Open!

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THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BETS: ODDS TO WIN

Compare Memorial Tournament odds across sportsbooks in your state. Click any of the odds below to make the Memorial bets.