2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: the Memorial Tournament Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD
The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues, with Muirfield Village Golf Club next on tap to host the Memorial Tournament in Dublin, Ohio, beginning Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele headline among Memorial Tournament bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.
Another week, another Jack Nicklaus course! The next stop on the PGA TOUR brings us to the famed Muirfield Golf Club for a proper test of demanding all-around conditions at the 2024 Memorial Tournament.
If the one-dimensional Valhalla Golf Club wasn’t your cup of tea, this week’s event should (somewhat ironically) reward an even greater all-around skillset from tee-to-green than the PGA Championship. A winning mark of -7 was enough for Viktor Hovland to prevail at this event last year, winning in a playoff over Denny McCarthy. After an extensive renovation, it’s reassuring to see Muirfield Village will continue to reward elite ball striking, positioning off-the-tee, and scrambling from thick and penal rough.
Below, we’ll go through my Memorial Tournament bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place the Memorial Tournament wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my the Memorial Tournament preview.
memorial tournament Bets: THE FAVORITES
Find the comparison table at the bottom of this post for the Memorial Tournament odds and the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
HOW I BUILT MY Memorial Tournament BETTING CARD
Despite all the recent renovations to the course, the leaderboards have remained constant, as the Memorial Tournament continues to be one of the stickiest events on the PGA TOUR in terms of repeatable course history.
From a betting card perspective, I would not be surprised to see a 50-1 or longer underdog win this week, knowing this Signature Event is so concentrated with top-level talent. I looked to build a longer card of buy-low candidates who remain in fine form leading in, and have shown top-10 upside at the Memorial Tournament in past years.
From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 Memorial Tournament.
- Outrights – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
- Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each
the Memorial tournament BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)
Collin Morikawa
My Bet: +1600
Best Available Odds:
My featured spotlight player from earlier in the week, Morikawa has continued to gain popularity amongst Memorial bettors as the week’s gone on. I’d hoped his phantom withdrawal on Sunday last year while just two strokes off the lead would go overlooked, however Morikawa isn’t fooling anyone with his current form. He’s now finished top-10 in four of his last six starts, with room to improve further if he can pick up some momentum with the putter.
Muirfield Village is long, but it’s set up to reward players like Morikawa who can repeatedly play from the fairway and separate with their long irons.
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Hideki Matsuyama
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
It would be nice to see a few more reps from Matsuyama, who has only played the two Majors since April, but I see that as a positive to both keep his odds in check and avoid aggravating his nagging injuries any further. When healthy, Matsuyama has been his vintage elite self in 2024, with top-12 finishes in each of his last four non-major starts.
Matsuyama was a winner at the Memorial 10 years ago, but has continued to sustain that level of play with four addition top-15 finishes here since. He’s always a risky consideration given his injury history, but that’s not a concern for me in the outright market.
Max Homa
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
Homa was a surprise scratch from the 2023 Memorial Tournament, coming off of back-to-back top-6 finishes in the two years prior. Now looking for a rebound after a surprise missed cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge, his odds have simply drifted too long to ignore. Homa’s resume is full of victories on difficult non-major venues like Torrey Pines, Riviera, Quail Hollow, and TPC Potomac, so adding a win at Muirfield Village would seem customary.
It’s been an up-and-down season for Homa in 2024, but the ups include top-10 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, The Masters, and Wells Fargo Championship, which all compare very well to the task at hand at Muirfield Village.
Matt Fitzpatrick
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
I don’t bet on Matt Fitzpatrick often, but when I do, it’s usually on long golf courses that produce a winning score of single digits under par. Fitzpatrick is a bona fide grinder and will do well on a venue that emphasizes scrambling on Bentgrass greens in particular. He’s shown a mixed bag of results at Muirfield Village historically but has finished top-10 in two of his last four appearances here. His irons are now trending well, making Fitzpatrick one of my favorite under-the-radar pivots this week.
Jason Day
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:
Jason Day gets a course familiarity boost this week, being a member himself at Muirfield Village. That hasn’t quite paid the dividends we should expect from the accomplished Aussie, but an exemplary 2024 season could spell a breakthrough. Day has missed just one cut since February, including three top-10 finishes over that span. A T4 finish two starts ago at the Wells Fargo Championship is further evidence that the veteran still has plenty of game to compete on long and difficult venues.
Thomas Detry
My Bet: +12500
Best Available Odds:
It’s hard to come across a viable longshot beyond the 100-1 threshold in these Signature Events, but Detry is one name whose form in comparable conditions is simply too good to ignore. Detry finished T4 at Nicklaus’ Valhalla Golf Club to announce he is capable of contending alongside the strongest field in golf. That marked his fourth top-10 finish of the season for the 31-year-old Belgian. There’s no question he has the distance to hang around on this layout, so his ability to contend will hinge on the consistency of his streaky iron play.
the memorial tournament BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)
Wyndham Clark
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
We haven’t heard much from Wyndham Clark of late, but with three top-three finishes over his last seven starts, Clark remains an intriguing FRL play for his “boom” ceiling, even though I am avoiding him in full tournament formats in fear of his “bust” floor.
Sungjae Im
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
It’s taken all of the 2024 season thus far, but Sungjae’s game has finally started to percolate to his usual baseline, with two top-10s in his last three starts. It’s most encouraging to see his ball-striking look consistent again, which will be key to jumping out to an early lead.
Tom Hoge
My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:
Aaron Rai did not qualify to be in the field this week, so I’ll default to his understudy here in Hoge who can usually be relied on to set the pace on Thursday at lengthy odds. Hoge is in great form leading in, and is second only to Scottie Scheffler in terms of SG: Approach.
Thomas Detry
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:
I like Detry’s fit enough to bet him outright, and my only apprehension with that bet at 125-1 odds is his ability to close on Sunday. That’s not a concern in the FRL market, so I’m drawn to this bet as my favorite value on the board.
The Memorial tournament BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)
Full Tournament Matchup: Shane Lowry > Denny McCarthy
My Bet: -110
I was looking for a reason to back the Irishman in Dublin (Ohio), and this looks to be the perfect storm. Yes, course history is sticky at Muirfield Village, and McCarthy has posted top-5 finishes for each of the last two years. However, Muirfield Village is designed to reward elite ball-striking, which should expose McCarthy to a field of this strength in the long run. He has lost strokes off-the-tee in each of his last four trips here, relying on a red-hot putting to climb the leaderboard.
Lowry’s tee-to-green game is much more sustainable, so I lean his way in this head-to-head.
Top-20 Finish: Patrick Cantlay
My Bet: -110
Best Available Odds:
The worst thing about the PGA TOUR’s decision to reduce its most competitive events to limited fields, is it’s impact on the placement market. There are simply too many good-but-not-great players funneled into the same +150 to +200 range in the top-20 market, which really isn’t calling out to me. Instead, I’ll ride course history with Patrick Cantlay at even odds, hoping the leader in SG: TOT at Muirfield Village doesn’t experience any set backs this week.
GOLF DAILY FANTASY CONTESTS
Check out my golf DFS picks post for the Memorial Tournament for Underdog drafts strategy, along with traditional DFS contests.
ONE AND DONE
My Pick: Patrick Cantlay
I have a lot of Patrick Cantlay on my card this week despite not feeling overly bullish about his prospects leading in. When it comes to using Patrick Cantlay in One And Done, you can’t go wrong with choosing the RBC Heritage, Memorial Tournament, or BMW Championship. Having already used all of the other favorites ahead of him this OAD season, I’m going with Cantlay as the best man available by process of elimination.
If not Cantlay, I would also consider playing Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, or Xander Schauffele in OAD.
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The Memorial tournament BETS: THE CARD
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own Memorial Tournament bets, and see you on Sunday for the U.S. Open preview.