With The Masters being the only of the four Majors played on the same course each year, this is the one Major where previous results can be strongly predictive. With the intricate and specific nature of Augusta National Golf Club, this is a course where past success can be predictive, as many of the same names tend to show on leaderboards throughout Masters course history.
Since 2011, only one champion has teed off at worse than 50-1 odds (+5000), and as of the morning before Round 1, there are 24 golfers with odds at or shorter than that price. If you’re making choices in that range for who to bet, it’s key to know which of those golfers have good course form at Augusta, and which haven’t been finding success in recent years.
Masters Course History
Of the 24 golfers with odds from 50-1 (+5000) or shorter, here are their results in the last three Masters – the November 2020 Masters that was delayed by the pandemic, and then the regularly scheduled 2021 and 2022 Masters. An asterisk (*) next to the player’s name means they have previously won the Masters.
Course form, of course, isn’t dispositive – for young players like Cameron Young and Max Homa, they are different, and markedly better, players now than they were in past years when playing at Augusta. Some, like Jason Day and (potentially) Brooks Koepka, have found past form in the run up this year.
Those caveats there, there’s a reason Augusta tends to reward many players multiple time. Knowing Augusta National’s quirks and being able to exploit them is key, and those who are able to succeed here tend to be able to repeat their successes.
In terms of past champions less than 50/1 (+5000), there are four – Scottie Scheffler (2022), Jordan Spieth (2015), Dustin Johnson (2020), and Hideki Matsuyama (2021). Here is the full Masters course history from this tier of players over the past three years, with results listed in order of 2020, 2021 and 2022 finishes:
Scottie Scheffler*: 19th , 18th , 1st
Rory McIlroy: ,5th , Missed Cut, 2nd
Jon Rahm: 7th , 5th ,27th
Jordan Spieth*: 46th , 3rd ,Missed Cut
Tony Finau: 38th , 10th , 35th
Patrick Cantlay: 17th , Missed Cut, 39th
Jason Day: Missed Cut , Missed Cut, Did Not Qualify
Justin Thomas: 4th , 21st , 8th
Dustin Johnson: 1st , Missed Cut, 12th
Xander Schauffle: 17th , 3rd , Missed Cut
Max Homa: Missed Cut , Missed Cut , 48th
Cameron Young: Did Not Qualify, Did Not Qualify, Missed Cut
Cameron Smith: 17th, 2nd, 3rd
Viktor Hovland: Did Not Qualify, 21st , 27th
Brooks Koepka: 7th , Missed Cut , Missed Cut
Will Zalatoris: Did Not Qualify, 2nd , 6th
Sungjae Im: 2nd , Missed Cut , 8th
Sam Burns: Did Not Qualify , Did Not Qualify , Missed Cut
Hideki Matsuyama*: 13th , 1st , 14th
Tyrrell Hatton: Missed Cut , 18th , 52nd
Justin Rose: 23rd , 7th , Missed Cut
Matthew Fitzpatrick: 46th , 34th , 14th
Corey Connors: 10th , 8th , 6th
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