The Cincinnati Reds (41-61) will try to continue their three-game winning streak when they face the Miami Marlins (47-56) at LoanDepot park on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Miami’s (
to win) Braxton Garrett gets the start against Cincinnati’s ( ) Graham Ashcraft.The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of August 2, 2022 at 5:33 PM ET.
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Marlins vs Reds Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Garrett (MIA) | Pitcher | Ashcraft (CIN) |
---|---|---|
2 – 4 | W/L | 4 – 2 |
52.1 | IP | 66.0 |
3.96 | ERA | 4.64 |
1.185 | WHIP | 1.424 |
9.5 | K/9 | 6.3 |
2.1 | BB/9 | 2.3 |
Marlins Probable Starter Braxton Garrett
- Garrett makes the start for the Marlins, his 11th of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.96 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 52 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the left-hander went 5 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- In 10 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 3.96 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .248 to opposing batters.
- Garrett has three quality starts this season.
- The opposing Reds offense has a collective .242 batting average, and is 22nd in the league with 816 total hits and 17th in MLB action with 447 runs scored. It has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and ranks 20th in home runs (98) in all of MLB.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 2, 2022 at 5:33 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Stats vs Garrett
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan India | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Kyle Farmer | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 1.000 |
Michael Papierski | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Albert Almora Jr. | 2 | 1.000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Matt Reynolds | 2 | 1.000 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Donovan Solano | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.500 |
Joey Votto | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 |
Brandon Drury | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 |
Reds Probable Starter Graham Ashcraft
- The Reds will hand the ball to Ashcraft (4-2) for his 13th start of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
- The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.64 ERA this season with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 12 games.
- In 12 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in six of them.
- The Marlins rank 24th in MLB with 407 runs scored this season. They have a .237 batting average this campaign with 97 home runs (21st in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 2, 2022 at 5:33 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Stats vs Ashcraft
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joey Wendle | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .500 |
Jesús Aguilar | 4 | .750 | 3 | 1 | 3 | .750 | 2.500 |
JJ Bleday | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Jacob Stallings | 3 | .667 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.667 |
Luke Williams | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Miguel Rojas | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .666 |
Avisaíl García | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Lewin Díaz | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins have won 59.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (28-19).
- Miami is 13-11 (winning 54.2% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -141 or shorter.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 58.5%.
- Miami has played in 103 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-50-3).
- The Marlins have put together a 45-58-0 record against the spread this season (covering 43.7% of the time).
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Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have won 30, or 38.5%, of the 78 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Cincinnati has a record of 22-34 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +121 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 45.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Games involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 102 chances this season.
- The Reds are 49-53-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Players to Watch
- Miguel Rojas has 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks while hitting .240.
- Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Rojas’ batting average ranks 106th, his on-base percentage ranks 136th, and he is 137th in the league in slugging.
- Jesus Aguilar paces his team with a .383 slugging percentage. He has 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 22 walks while batting .239.
- Among qualifying batters, Aguilar ranks 110th in batting average, 140th in on-base percentage, and 112th in slugging.
- Jesus Sanchez is hitting .204 with 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
- Joey Wendle has 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .274.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Aguilar | 355 | .239 | 33 | 12 | 42 | .286 | .669 |
Avisaíl García | 322 | .233 | 29 | 7 | 30 | .270 | .593 |
Miguel Rojas | 313 | .240 | 27 | 6 | 27 | .288 | .636 |
Jesús Sánchez | 294 | .204 | 36 | 12 | 33 | .270 | .658 |
Jacob Stallings | 234 | .209 | 20 | 2 | 23 | .273 | .538 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 221 | .213 | 22 | 7 | 21 | .261 | .614 |
Joey Wendle | 186 | .274 | 15 | 2 | 21 | .320 | .696 |
Nick Fortes | 90 | .267 | 22 | 4 | 15 | .347 | .803 |
Luke Williams | 76 | .237 | 14 | 1 | 6 | .310 | .626 |
JJ Bleday | 36 | .167 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .211 | .544 |
Reds Players to Watch
- Brandon Drury leads Cincinnati in OBP (.335), slugging percentage (.520) and total hits (96) this season.
- Of all qualifying batters in MLB, Drury is 43rd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage and 13th in slugging percentage.
- Kyle Farmer is slugging .375 while driving in 50 runs and batting .252 this season.
- Farmer is 81st in batting average, 84th in on-base percentage and 120th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
- Joey Votto has 60 hits this season and has a slash line of .220/.334/.399.
- Nick Senzel has three home runs, 18 RBI and a batting average of .251 this season.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Drury | 350 | .274 | 62 | 20 | 59 | .335 | .855 |
Kyle Farmer | 309 | .252 | 38 | 6 | 50 | .325 | .700 |
Joey Votto | 273 | .220 | 29 | 10 | 38 | .334 | .733 |
Nick Senzel | 247 | .251 | 34 | 3 | 18 | .306 | .626 |
Mike Moustakas | 220 | .205 | 26 | 6 | 21 | .291 | .627 |
Jonathan India | 196 | .255 | 25 | 7 | 23 | .318 | .731 |
Matt Reynolds | 181 | .260 | 29 | 3 | 18 | .328 | .687 |
Albert Almora Jr. | 171 | .246 | 19 | 5 | 28 | .270 | .662 |
Dónovan Solano | 103 | .311 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .363 | .810 |
Michael Papierski | 60 | .150 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .400 |
Marlins vs Reds Player Props
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