The Miami Marlins (44-50) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-55) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, with each team aiming to win the series. Sandy Alcantara gets the starting nod for Miami (
to win), and Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s ( ) choice to start.The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET.
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Marlins vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Alcantara (MIA) | Pitcher | Keller (PIT) |
---|---|---|
9 – 4 | W/L | 3 – 7 |
138.1 | IP | 89.0 |
1.76 | ERA | 4.55 |
0.904 | WHIP | 1.461 |
8 | K/9 | 7.8 |
2.1 | BB/9 | 3.4 |
Marlins Probable Starter Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara will look to secure his 10th win when he makes the start for the Marlins, his 20th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 1.76 ERA and 123 strikeouts in 138 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Friday, July 15 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went 8 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 1.76, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .189 against him.
- Alcantara is aiming for his fifth straight quality start.
- The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.366) and is 15th in MLB play with 97 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 687 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 341 runs.
- Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old’s 1.76 ERA ranks second, .904 WHIP ranks fifth, and 8 K/9 ranks 35th.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Stats vs Alcantara
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Gamel | 8 | .250 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .708 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 7 | .429 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .429 | .858 |
Kevin Newman | 6 | .500 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.167 |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | 5 | .200 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.300 |
Josh VanMeter | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Greg Allen | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller
- The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (3-7) for his 17th start of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 16, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.55 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .274 in 18 games this season.
- He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
- The Marlins rank 21st in MLB with a .237 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 25th in the league (.376) and 91 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Stats vs Keller
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Cooper | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .600 |
Avisaíl García | 5 | .400 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .400 | .800 |
Miguel Rojas | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Brian Anderson | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Jesús Sánchez | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Joey Wendle | 3 | .667 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.334 |
Jacob Stallings | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Jesús Aguilar | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 |
Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins are 26-18 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.1% of those games).
- Miami is 5-5 (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -170 or shorter.
- The Marlins have a 63% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Miami has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-46-3).
- The Marlins have a 44-50-0 record against the spread this season.
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Pirates Betting Trends
- This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 79 times and won 31, or 39.2%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 14-27 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +146 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.7% chance to win.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 95 games with a total.
- In 95 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 49-46-0 ATS.
Marlins Players to Watch
- Jesus Aguilar is batting .248 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks.
- Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Aguilar’s batting average ranks 87th, his on-base percentage ranks 127th, and he is 103rd in the league in slugging.
- Aguilar brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a walk.
- Miguel Rojas is hitting .238 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
- Among qualified hitters, Rojas ranks 111th in batting average, 137th in on-base percentage, and 136th in slugging.
- Rojas enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
- Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-high OBP (.347) and slugging percentage (.426), and leads the Marlins in hits (83). He’s batting .279 with 21 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks.
- Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .201.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Aguilar | 326 | .248 | 32 | 11 | 36 | .297 | .690 |
Garrett Cooper | 298 | .279 | 28 | 7 | 40 | .347 | .773 |
Avisaíl García | 296 | .233 | 28 | 7 | 29 | .268 | .599 |
Miguel Rojas | 286 | .238 | 27 | 6 | 22 | .286 | .639 |
Jesús Sánchez | 273 | .201 | 34 | 11 | 30 | .265 | .646 |
Jacob Stallings | 213 | .183 | 18 | 2 | 22 | .242 | .472 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 193 | .212 | 20 | 6 | 19 | .260 | .612 |
Brian Anderson | 180 | .256 | 26 | 3 | 12 | .346 | .724 |
Joey Wendle | 150 | .287 | 13 | 2 | 18 | .337 | .737 |
Nick Fortes | 78 | .244 | 18 | 3 | 12 | .330 | .753 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Ke’Bryan Hayes leads Pittsburgh in slugging percentage (.352) thanks to 23 extra-base hits.
- Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, Hayes is 87th in batting average, 87th in on-base percentage, and 138th in slugging percentage.
- Michael Chavis has collected 60 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .278.
- Ben Gamel has collected 47 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .377 this season.
- Diego Castillo is batting .205 with a .244 OBP and 25 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 330 | .248 | 40 | 4 | 28 | .323 | .675 |
Michael Chavis | 252 | .238 | 24 | 10 | 32 | .278 | .691 |
Diego Castillo | 234 | .205 | 24 | 10 | 25 | .244 | .620 |
Ben Gamel | 191 | .246 | 26 | 4 | 22 | .333 | .710 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 154 | .175 | 11 | 2 | 16 | .260 | .500 |
Josh VanMeter | 137 | .190 | 12 | 3 | 11 | .252 | .559 |
Oneil Cruz | 102 | .206 | 14 | 4 | 17 | .241 | .633 |
Cal Mitchell | 95 | .200 | 6 | 2 | 7 | .238 | .554 |
Kevin Newman | 94 | .266 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .324 | .696 |
Tyler Heineman | 93 | .204 | 10 | 0 | 4 | .253 | .500 |
Marlins vs Pirates Player Props
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