Marlins Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 24, 2022

Written By Staff on July 24, 2022

The Miami Marlins (44-50) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-55) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, with each team aiming to win the series. Sandy Alcantara gets the starting nod for Miami (-170 to win), and Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s (+146) choice to start.

The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET.

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Marlins vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Alcantara (MIA) Pitcher Keller (PIT)
9 – 4 W/L 3 – 7
138.1 IP 89.0
1.76 ERA 4.55
0.904 WHIP 1.461
8 K/9 7.8
2.1 BB/9 3.4

Marlins Probable Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara will look to secure his 10th win when he makes the start for the Marlins, his 20th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 1.76 ERA and 123 strikeouts in 138 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Friday, July 15 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went 8 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 1.76, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .189 against him.
  • Alcantara is aiming for his fifth straight quality start.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.366) and is 15th in MLB play with 97 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 687 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 341 runs.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old’s 1.76 ERA ranks second, .904 WHIP ranks fifth, and 8 K/9 ranks 35th.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Alcantara

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ben Gamel 8 .250 2 0 0 .333 .708
Ke’Bryan Hayes 7 .429 3 0 0 .429 .858
Kevin Newman 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.167
Yoshi Tsutsugo 5 .200 1 1 2 .500 1.300
Josh VanMeter 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Greg Allen 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (3-7) for his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 16, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.55 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .274 in 18 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • The Marlins rank 21st in MLB with a .237 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 25th in the league (.376) and 91 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Keller

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Garrett Cooper 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Avisaíl García 5 .400 2 0 1 .400 .800
Miguel Rojas 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Bryan De La Cruz 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Brian Anderson 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jesús Sánchez 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Joey Wendle 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
Jacob Stallings 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jesús Aguilar 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins are 26-18 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.1% of those games).
  • Miami is 5-5 (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -170 or shorter.
  • The Marlins have a 63% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Miami has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-46-3).
  • The Marlins have a 44-50-0 record against the spread this season.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 79 times and won 31, or 39.2%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 14-27 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +146 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.7% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 95 games with a total.
  • In 95 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 49-46-0 ATS.

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .248 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Aguilar’s batting average ranks 87th, his on-base percentage ranks 127th, and he is 103rd in the league in slugging.
  • Aguilar brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a walk.
  • Miguel Rojas is hitting .238 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters, Rojas ranks 111th in batting average, 137th in on-base percentage, and 136th in slugging.
  • Rojas enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-high OBP (.347) and slugging percentage (.426), and leads the Marlins in hits (83). He’s batting .279 with 21 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .201.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 326 .248 32 11 36 .297 .690
Garrett Cooper 298 .279 28 7 40 .347 .773
Avisaíl García 296 .233 28 7 29 .268 .599
Miguel Rojas 286 .238 27 6 22 .286 .639
Jesús Sánchez 273 .201 34 11 30 .265 .646
Jacob Stallings 213 .183 18 2 22 .242 .472
Bryan De La Cruz 193 .212 20 6 19 .260 .612
Brian Anderson 180 .256 26 3 12 .346 .724
Joey Wendle 150 .287 13 2 18 .337 .737
Nick Fortes 78 .244 18 3 12 .330 .753

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads Pittsburgh in slugging percentage (.352) thanks to 23 extra-base hits.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, Hayes is 87th in batting average, 87th in on-base percentage, and 138th in slugging percentage.
  • Michael Chavis has collected 60 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .278.
  • Ben Gamel has collected 47 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .377 this season.
  • Diego Castillo is batting .205 with a .244 OBP and 25 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 330 .248 40 4 28 .323 .675
Michael Chavis 252 .238 24 10 32 .278 .691
Diego Castillo 234 .205 24 10 25 .244 .620
Ben Gamel 191 .246 26 4 22 .333 .710
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 154 .175 11 2 16 .260 .500
Josh VanMeter 137 .190 12 3 11 .252 .559
Oneil Cruz 102 .206 14 4 17 .241 .633
Cal Mitchell 95 .200 6 2 7 .238 .554
Kevin Newman 94 .266 8 0 12 .324 .696
Tyler Heineman 93 .204 10 0 4 .253 .500

Marlins vs Pirates Player Props

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