Marlins Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 12, 2022

Written By Staff on July 12, 2022

The Miami Marlins (41-44) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (36-50) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Daniel Castano gets the starting nod for Miami (-151 to win), and Chris Stratton is Pittsburgh’s (+128) choice to start.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET.

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Marlins vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Castano (MIA) Pitcher Stratton (PIT)
1 – 2 W/L 5 – 4
30.0 IP 35.0
3.60 ERA 5.14
1.467 WHIP 1.514
5.1 K/9 8.5
2.7 BB/9 2.8

Marlins Probable Starter Daniel Castano

  • Castano makes the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Thursday against the New York Mets, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • In eight games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .287 against him.
  • Castano has two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • He will face off against a Pirates squad that is batting .221 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .373 (27th in MLB) with 95 total home runs (13th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Probable Starter Chris Stratton

  • The Pirates will send out Stratton for his first start of the season.
  • The 31-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen 36 times.
  • He has pitched to a 5.14 ERA this season with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 36 games.
  • The Marlins rank 21st in MLB with 360 runs scored this season. They have a .240 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (16th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been the moneyline favorite 36 total times this season. They’ve gone 23-13 in those games.
  • Miami has gone 4-6 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -151 or shorter (40%).
  • The Marlins have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.2% in this game.
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times this season for a 41-41-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have covered 50.6% of their games this season, going 43-42-0 against the spread.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have entered the game as underdogs 71 times this season and won 28, or 39.4%, of those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has won 20 of its 53 games, or 37.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +128 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.9% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 35 of their 87 chances.
  • The Pirates are 44-43-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper has totaled 82 hits with a .367 on-base percentage and a .460 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Marlins. He is batting .299 with 21 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Cooper ranks 19th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
  • Jon Berti is hitting .277 with 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 25 walks.
  • Jesus Aguilar is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Miguel Rojas is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 294 .245 30 11 35 .292 .697
Garrett Cooper 274 .299 28 7 40 .367 .827
Avisaíl García 266 .229 24 6 26 .263 .586
Jesús Sánchez 256 .207 32 11 30 .264 .659
Miguel Rojas 255 .243 24 6 21 .293 .658
Jacob Stallings 200 .185 18 2 22 .248 .483
Jon Berti 184 .277 31 2 18 .368 .754
Bryan De La Cruz 168 .226 20 6 18 .276 .663
Brian Anderson 148 .250 24 3 10 .343 .721
Joey Wendle 120 .275 13 2 14 .331 .723

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has been key for Pittsburgh with four home runs, 26 RBI and a batting average of .250 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Hayes is 83rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 84th, and he is 135th in slugging percentage.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has collected 53 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .340.
  • Michael Chavis has collected 55 base hits, an OBP of .280 and a slugging percentage of .422 this season.
  • Jack Suwinski has been key for Pittsburgh with 43 hits, an OBP of .288 plus a slugging percentage of .425.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 300 .250 40 4 26 .323 .680
Michael Chavis 232 .237 24 10 30 .280 .702
Daniel Vogelbach 223 .238 27 12 32 .340 .788
Diego Castillo 216 .204 23 10 25 .246 .626
Jack Suwinski 214 .201 31 13 24 .288 .713
Ben Gamel 166 .247 23 4 20 .332 .718
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 132 .189 9 2 15 .279 .544
Josh VanMeter 127 .197 12 3 10 .264 .587
Michael Perez 105 .152 8 6 11 .198 .522
Oneil Cruz 75 .213 11 4 15 .241 .681

Marlins vs Pirates Player Props

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