The Miami Marlins (41-44) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (36-50) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Daniel Castano gets the starting nod for Miami ( to win), and Chris Stratton is Pittsburgh’s () choice to start.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET.
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Marlins vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
| Castano (MIA) | Pitcher | Stratton (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 – 2 | W/L | 5 – 4 |
| 30.0 | IP | 35.0 |
| 3.60 | ERA | 5.14 |
| 1.467 | WHIP | 1.514 |
| 5.1 | K/9 | 8.5 |
| 2.7 | BB/9 | 2.8 |
Marlins Probable Starter Daniel Castano
- Castano makes the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Thursday against the New York Mets, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- In eight games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .287 against him.
- Castano has two quality starts under his belt this season.
- He will face off against a Pirates squad that is batting .221 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .373 (27th in MLB) with 95 total home runs (13th in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Probable Starter Chris Stratton
- The Pirates will send out Stratton for his first start of the season.
- The 31-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen 36 times.
- He has pitched to a 5.14 ERA this season with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 36 games.
- The Marlins rank 21st in MLB with 360 runs scored this season. They have a .240 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (16th in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:43 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been the moneyline favorite 36 total times this season. They’ve gone 23-13 in those games.
- Miami has gone 4-6 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -151 or shorter (40%).
- The Marlins have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.2% in this game.
- Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times this season for a 41-41-3 record against the over/under.
- The Marlins have covered 50.6% of their games this season, going 43-42-0 against the spread.
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Pirates Betting Trends
- The Pirates have entered the game as underdogs 71 times this season and won 28, or 39.4%, of those games.
- This season, Pittsburgh has won 20 of its 53 games, or 37.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +128 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.9% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 35 of their 87 chances.
- The Pirates are 44-43-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Players to Watch
- Garrett Cooper has totaled 82 hits with a .367 on-base percentage and a .460 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Marlins. He is batting .299 with 21 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks.
- Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Cooper ranks 19th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
- Jon Berti is hitting .277 with 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 25 walks.
- Jesus Aguilar is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
- Miguel Rojas is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Aguilar | 294 | .245 | 30 | 11 | 35 | .292 | .697 |
| Garrett Cooper | 274 | .299 | 28 | 7 | 40 | .367 | .827 |
| Avisaíl García | 266 | .229 | 24 | 6 | 26 | .263 | .586 |
| Jesús Sánchez | 256 | .207 | 32 | 11 | 30 | .264 | .659 |
| Miguel Rojas | 255 | .243 | 24 | 6 | 21 | .293 | .658 |
| Jacob Stallings | 200 | .185 | 18 | 2 | 22 | .248 | .483 |
| Jon Berti | 184 | .277 | 31 | 2 | 18 | .368 | .754 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 168 | .226 | 20 | 6 | 18 | .276 | .663 |
| Brian Anderson | 148 | .250 | 24 | 3 | 10 | .343 | .721 |
| Joey Wendle | 120 | .275 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .331 | .723 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has been key for Pittsburgh with four home runs, 26 RBI and a batting average of .250 this season.
- Among all qualifying hitters, Hayes is 83rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 84th, and he is 135th in slugging percentage.
- Daniel Vogelbach has collected 53 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .340.
- Michael Chavis has collected 55 base hits, an OBP of .280 and a slugging percentage of .422 this season.
- Jack Suwinski has been key for Pittsburgh with 43 hits, an OBP of .288 plus a slugging percentage of .425.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | 300 | .250 | 40 | 4 | 26 | .323 | .680 |
| Michael Chavis | 232 | .237 | 24 | 10 | 30 | .280 | .702 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 223 | .238 | 27 | 12 | 32 | .340 | .788 |
| Diego Castillo | 216 | .204 | 23 | 10 | 25 | .246 | .626 |
| Jack Suwinski | 214 | .201 | 31 | 13 | 24 | .288 | .713 |
| Ben Gamel | 166 | .247 | 23 | 4 | 20 | .332 | .718 |
| Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 132 | .189 | 9 | 2 | 15 | .279 | .544 |
| Josh VanMeter | 127 | .197 | 12 | 3 | 10 | .264 | .587 |
| Michael Perez | 105 | .152 | 8 | 6 | 11 | .198 | .522 |
| Oneil Cruz | 75 | .213 | 11 | 4 | 15 | .241 | .681 |
Marlins vs Pirates Player Props
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