Marlins Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 11, 2022

Written By Staff on July 10, 2022

The Miami Marlins (41-43) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-50) on Monday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET at LoanDepot park. The Marlins enter the matchup after a series split with the Mets, and the Pirates are coming off a series win over the Brewers. Trevor Rogers starts for Miami (-174 to win) while Pittsburgh (+147) will counter with Mitch Keller.

The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Marlins vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Rogers (MIA) Pitcher Keller (PIT)
4 – 7 W/L 2 – 6
72.2 IP 76.0
5.57 ERA 5.21
1.569 WHIP 1.553
8.3 K/9 7.8
4.5 BB/9 3.8

Marlins Probable Starter Trevor Rogers

  • Rogers (4-7) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 17th start of the season. He has a 5.57 ERA in 72 2/3 innings pitched, with 67 strikeouts.
  • In his last outing on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels, the lefty tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.57, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are hitting .268 against him.
  • Rogers enters this outing with one quality start under his belt this year.
  • He will face a Pirates squad that is batting .220 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .371 (27th in MLB) with 94 total home runs (13th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Rogers

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kevin Newman 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Michael Chavis 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Daniel Vogelbach 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (2-6) for his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up four earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 5.21 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .285.
  • He has three quality starts in 14 chances this season.
  • The Marlins have scored 359 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They have 682 hits, 19th in baseball, with 90 home runs (16th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Keller

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Garrett Cooper 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Avisaíl García 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Jon Berti 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Miguel Rojas 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have gone 23-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.7% of those games).
  • Miami has a record of 4-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter (57.1%).
  • The Marlins have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.5% in this game.
  • Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-40-3).
  • The Marlins have a 43-41-0 record ATS this season (covering 51.2% of the time).
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • This season, the Pirates have won 27 out of the 70 games, or 38.6%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Pittsburgh has entered 39 games this season as the underdog by +147 or more and is 14-25 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.5% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 86 games with a total.
  • The Pirates are 43-43-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper has racked up a team-high OBP (.368) and slugging percentage (.459), while leading the Marlins in hits (81). He’s batting .300 with 20 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in baseball, Cooper ranks 18th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging.
  • Miguel Rojas is hitting .247 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters, Rojas’ batting average ranks 87th, his on-base percentage ranks 121st, and he is 127th in the league in slugging.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .247 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Jon Berti is hitting .277 with 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 24 walks.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 292 .247 30 11 35 .292 .700
Garrett Cooper 270 .300 27 7 40 .368 .827
Avisaíl García 262 .229 24 6 25 .264 .588
Jesús Sánchez 253 .209 32 11 30 .264 .663
Miguel Rojas 251 .247 24 6 21 .298 .669
Jacob Stallings 198 .187 18 2 22 .250 .487
Jon Berti 184 .277 31 2 18 .365 .751
Bryan De La Cruz 164 .226 20 6 18 .277 .667
Brian Anderson 144 .257 24 3 10 .352 .741
Joey Wendle 116 .267 13 2 14 .326 .714

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds has 79 hits and an OBP of .343 to go with a slugging percentage of .465. All three of those stats lead Pittsburgh hitters this season.
  • Reynolds is 66th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters in the majors.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is slugging .359 while driving in 26 runs and batting .251 this season.
  • Hayes is 80th in batting average, 83rd in on-base percentage and 132nd in slugging percentage in the majors.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has collected 53 base hits, an OBP of .339 and a slugging percentage of .455 this season.
  • Michael Chavis has been key for Pittsburgh with 55 hits, an OBP of .282 plus a slugging percentage of .430.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 303 .261 40 15 32 .343 .808
Ke’Bryan Hayes 295 .251 39 4 26 .325 .684
Michael Chavis 228 .241 24 10 30 .282 .712
Daniel Vogelbach 220 .241 27 12 32 .339 .794
Jack Suwinski 213 .202 31 13 24 .289 .716
Diego Castillo 212 .198 23 10 23 .241 .618
Ben Gamel 162 .253 23 4 20 .339 .734
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 132 .189 9 2 15 .279 .544
Josh VanMeter 123 .195 11 3 10 .265 .582
Michael Perez 105 .152 8 6 11 .198 .522

Marlins vs Pirates Player Props

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