Luka Doncic NBA Finals Player Props: MVP, Series, Game 3 Betting Odds

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Luka Doncic Props

Mavericks star Luka Doncic, the 2023-24 regular-season scoring champion, will attempt to carry Dallas out of a 2-0 series hole in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday night (8:30 p.m. ET on ABC). The public may no longer have interest in Dallas’ odds to win the NBA Finals, but Doncic is still among the favorites for the Bill Russell Trophy, given to the Finals MVP. Let’s dissect Luka Doncic props and series-long options ahead of this pivotal matchup.

Click any of Doncic’s NBA betting odds below to place a wager. These prices are the best available in your state.

bet on Doncic’s finals MVP odds?

As of this publishing, the best NBA Finals MVP odds for Doncic are . This market has recently been a more valuable way to bet on the champion before the series began.

Additionally, seven of the last eight Finals MVPs were favored to win the award. Kawhi Leonard is the lone exception, but even he had the best odds (+235) among all Raptors when Toronto upset Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors in the 2019 NBA Finals.

At most of the best sports betting sites, Doncic had better pre-flop MVP odds than the Mavericks’ odds of winning it all. After Dallas failed to steal home-court advantage, that price is still more valuable than Dallas’ series odds of .

Moreover, Doncic leads all Finals participants in scoring with 31 points per game. Will voters contemplate awarding him the NBA Finals MVP even if Boston wins the title? Only one losing player, (the late) Hall of Famer Jerry West, has claimed the award.

West and the Los Angeles Lakers fell to the Celtics in seven games during the 1969 NBA Finals. Granted, Doncic’s career arc is trending in a similar direction. Still, the likelihood of him winning MVP over Boston’s Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, or Jrue Holiday is slim, especially if the Mavs are swept or only win one game.

Related: Mavs vs. Celtics Game 3 Spread To Make NBA Finals History?

NBA Finals MVP Trend

The NBA developed the Player Impact Estimate (PIE), a valuable resource for sifting through the NBA Finals MVP market, to better replace PER. It measures a player’s all-around contribution to the game as a percentage. In the last 27 years, the Finals MVP victor has been gifted it 25 times as the PIE leader from the winning team. Celtics center Kristaps Porzingis (22.3 PIE) leads the pack among qualified players.

However, given Porzingis’ unknown Game 3 status and Holiday (17.9 PIE) nearly doubling Porzingis’ minutes played in the series, Holiday has become an alluring pick of late. Per the betting table below, the highest price on Holiday to win MVP is after his pre-flop odds were as high as +6600.

For context, Doncic’s PIE (19.7) falls between Porzingis’s and Holiday’s ratings, with Brown’s (12.3) and Tatum’s (9.6) further down the list.

Luka Doncic Props For Game 3 & Series-Long Options

After scoring 30-plus points in the first two contests, BetMGM Sportsbook is offering +275 odds on Doncic to generate this same output the rest of the way. He’s also to produce the most points in Game 3. You can sift through the rest of his prop bets below.

NBA Finals Game 3 Player Props

NBA Finals Game 3 Odds

Photo by Associated Press