Luka Doncic NBA Finals Player Props: MVP, Series, Game 1 Betting Odds

Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
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Mavericks star Luka Doncic, the 2023-24 regular-season scoring champion, will make his NBA Finals debut on Thursday night (8:30 p.m. ET on ABC) when Dallas faces Boston in Game 1. Along with the public supporting his underdog Mavericks in odds to win the NBA Finals, Doncic is among the favorites to win the Bill Russell Trophy, given to NBA Finals MVP. Let’s analyze Luka Doncic props for Game 1 and series-long options.

Click any of Doncic’s NBA betting odds below to place a wager. These prices are the best available in your state.

Are Luka Doncic Finals MVP odds worthwhile?

The best NBA Finals MVP odds for Doncic are currently . In recent years, this market has evolved into a more valuable route to wager on the series’ victor. In fact, seven of the last eight Finals MVPs were favored to win the award.

While Kawhi Leonard is the lone exception, he had the best odds (+235) among all Raptors when Toronto upset Golden State in 2019.

At most of the best sports betting sites, Doncic’s MVP odds are greater than that of Mavericks odds to win the championship. But FanDuel Sportsbook has Dallas priced at to win it all. Never bet a player for Finals MVP at odds that are the same or worse than his team’s odds to win the series. Otherwise, Doncic MVP odds are the go-to option for those who believe in the Mavs.

Additionally, Basketball Reference’s Simple Ratings System (SRS) is a distinguished resource for comparing a team’s worth to the betting market’s evaluation. SRS has a wider gap between the Mavericks and Celtics than all but one Finals clash over the last 20 years.

When opponents with this level of disparity squared off on the biggest stage, per SRS’ ratings, the betting favorite was never shorter than -300. Nevertheless, Boston is lined at .

While there’s been a slight odds adjustment of late, sportsbooks opened this series price fairly close to its current position. Thus, bettors must determine whether Dallas’ market rating is justified or inflated. Remember that the Mavs’ perimeter defense may eventually undergo regression, with their opponents shooting just a 28.3% 3-point clip over their first three postseason series.

For those swayed in the other direction, Doncic MVP odds have merit.

Luka Doncic Props For Game 1 & Series-Long Options

After struggling at times against Oklahoma City in the Western Conference semifinals, Doncic thoroughly dominated Minnesota, averaging 32.4 points per game with a 62.7% true shooting (TS%) clip. Overall, he ranks only behind three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic regarding 2024 postseason win shares. His Game 1 points prop of seems completely justified.

Meanwhile, BetMGM Sportsbook has Doncic as the odds-on favorite (-190) to score the most points throughout the series. Celtics star Jayson Tatum, favored to win Finals MVP, is right behind him at +275. Considering versatile wing Derrick Jones Jr. will likely be responsible for defending Tatum, the five-time All-Star could struggle to create space in the lane and from behind the arc. Although Tatum’s teammate Jaylen Brown has the size to contain Doncic, he isn’t necessarily considered a lockdown defender.

Tatum will undoubtedly produce at a high level, but I’m more inclined to bet Doncic will lead all players in scoring — no matter the result of this series.

NBA Finals Game 1 Player Props

NBA FInals Game 1 Odds

Photo by Associated Press