Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots: Best Picks & Player Props

Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Published at January 11, 2026

Nov 23, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) hands off to running back TreVeyon Henderson (32) in the first quarter at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Greene-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images

After Saturday provided us with some of the best football we've seen in quite some time, it's a three-game set for your Sunday viewing pleasure. After the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Buffalo Bills do battle, the defending Super Bowl champions Philadelphia Eagles, host the San Francisco 49ers.

Finally, in the nightcap, MVP candidate Drake Maye and the New England Patriots host Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. We're expecting this game to be just as thrilling as the rest.

Without further ado, here are our best bets for Sunday's fantastic contest. Make sure you browse all of our favorite sports betting apps and take advantage of all of the latest sportsbook promos.

Game Lines

New England Patriots -3.5 (-110)

🏈Odds via FanDuel📈

If we're being frank, we're expecting the Patriots to steamroll the Chargers tonight. Justin Herbert's red-zone numbers have been awful all season and are only getting worse with OT Joe Alt out of the picture. They've been without superstar OL Rashawn Slater, while backup OT Austin Deculus, who has started five games this season, is questionable.

This Chargers team will have to rely on Omarion Hampton not only staying healthy tonight, as he battles an ankle injury, but they'll need him to absolutely thrive against the eighth-ranked total defense in football.

Even as we get into the playoffs, even with Drake Maye as an MVP contender, we still don't think bettors are giving the Patriots enough love at the books. New England is, for the most part, healthy, and we think they'll have no problem getting past Los Angeles at home.

Under 45.5 (-110)

🏈Odds via DraftKings📈

We're not exactly sure on this one, but we're leaning under. Our official prediction is New England 27, Los Angeles 17, which would put us right at 44. While both of these teams possess top-10 scoring defenses, we think this number is a bit skewed, thanks to the strengths of their schedules. It seems that the sportsbooks have set this line really well, and we're staying away from this bet completely.

Player Props

Stefon Diggs 100+ Receiving Yards (+475)

🏈Odds via Caesars Sportsbook📈

We think Diggs is going to be the one who changes the game tonight. This feels like a great game for Drake Maye to air the ball out early and often, and Diggs should be the main recipient, especially with Kayshon Boutte feeling less than 100%.

Diggs went over 100 receiving yards five times this season, including two of the last three games of the season, en route to seventh-career 1,000-yard season. He's an aging superstar at wide receiver, and we cannot wait to watch him perform against a weak Chargers secondary.

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Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-114)

🏈Odds via FanDuel📈

Maye is bound to have a phenomenal game, with the Chargers having trouble containing dual-threat quarterbacks this season. Whenever Los Angeles has had to pay special attention to a quarterback's legs, their defense bends and sometimes breaks.

While the Chargers haven't allowed a quarterback to throw for over 300 passing yards or for three touchdowns all season, they've allowed two touchdown passes to: Daniel Jones, CJ Stroud, Geno Smith, and Dak Prescott - all great passers who can use their legs. It's time to add Maye to that category.

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Ladd McConkey 60+ Receiving Yards (+225)

🏈Odds via FanDuel📈

McConkey has found it a little more difficult in his sophomore season, with Keenan Allen, Quentin Johnston, and Oronde Gadsden, and even Omarion Hampton eating up a ton of the touches that were his last year. Still, McConkey managed a more-than-respectable 800 yards and six touchdowns this season.

With the amount of single-high Cover 1 and Cover 3 coverage that the Patriots employ, Justin Herbert should be able to find McConkey early and often in the seams. This is a no-brainer, and you can try to push your luck with a higher number or stay safe by going Over 40.5 at -114.