What Are Kyler Murray’s NFL Props Set After Signing Contract?

Written By Staff on July 22, 2022
Kyler Murray Props

After an offseason of negotiations, Kyler Murray signed a five-year, $230.5 million contract extension with the Arizona Cardinals on Thursday. Where does Murray stand in the NFL this coming season for passing yards, touchdowns, and props to lead the league in various statistics? Below, we’ll look at Kyler Murray props for the coming season.

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Kyler Murray NFL Player Props 2022

Passing Yards: over

In 2021, Murray missed three games due to injury. That ailed him for the back half of the season. He finished 14th in the NFL with 3,787 yards (270.5 yards per game). That was behind players like Mac Jones and Jimmy Garoppolo. If he maintains his per-game average from last season, 15 games should be enough for him to surpass his yardage total.

However, it’s worth noting that go-to receiver DeAndre Hopkins will not play the first six games of the season due to a PED suspension. Instead, Murray will try to connect with college teammate Marquise Brown, acquired during the NFL Draft in a trade with Baltimore.

To Lead The NFL In Passing

Better options exist to lead the NFL in passing yards than Murray. In Kliff Kingsbury’s system, the Cardinals passed at the 12th-lowest frequency; although, many of the attempts aimed downfield (7.9 air yards per attempt was eighth in the league). Missing Hopkins will certainly affect this number too. Murray likely won’t find himself in contention for the top of the NFL in passing yards as other players like Tom Brady, Justin Herbert and Dak Prescott on teams that pass at higher rates.

Rushing Yards: over

Murray’s rushing output dropped severely last season. A combination of injury and mitigating the risk of further injury led him to rush for 423 yards on 88 attempts – 45 fewer attempts and nearly 400 fewer yards than 2020. This season, he’s projected to maintain a similar rushing volume as Kingsbury balances using his rushing ability with protecting Murray’s health.

Can Kyler Murray Win NFL MVP?

To Win NFL MVP

During the Cardinals’ early season heater, Murray found himself as one of favorites to win the 2021 NFL MVP. That made sense as in recent years, a QB of one of the top teams has almost always won. In fact, that’s been true every year since 2013 and also happened in the five years before RB Adrian Peterson won in 2012.

So can Murray contend in 2022? We have reasons for skepticism and reasons for optimism.

A big factor could be missing Hopkins. Murray will likely have a difficult time putting up big numbers without his elite receiver. He had rather stark splits with and without Hopkins:

  • With Hopkins (10 games): 278.2 YPG, 19 TD, 8.69 YPA
  • Without Hopkins (four games): 251.2 YPG, 5 TD, 6.24 YPA

Obviously, the yards per attempt sticks out. Murray simply couldn’t go downfield as effectively; although, Brown could perhaps help out there as a noted deep threat.

The team’s concerted effort to limit his rushing output also bodes poorly.

On the bright side, the schedule could help. While they drew the ultra-tough AFC West, these teams are generally stronger on offense than defense. Winning shootouts against top competition seems a sure way to boost Murray’s MVP profile. And the NFC South shouldn’t bring tough matchups outside of the Buccaneers.

Despite Seattle’s step back, the NFC West will prove no picnic. The Rams and 49ers remain formidable adversaries and the Cardinals likely need to leapfrog them for Murray to truly find award contention.

A lot of his candidacy seems likely to come down to whether the Cardinals take the reins off a bit and whether he finds a highly profitable connection with his new weapon. It seems like the price to win the passing yardage crown offers a bit better payout, as you don’t need to sweat the Cardinals success as a team.

But the answer could easily be bet neither.

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