NFL Prop Bets: Kyler Murray Contract Has Intriguing Incentive

Written By Derek Wagner on August 2, 2022
kyler murray contract

Last week, the Arizona Cardinals reached an agreement with Kyler Murray on a new contract worth $230.5 million with $160 million guaranteed. Within the contract lies an interesting rushing production incentive, potentially creating a betting angle in future seasons with a direct tie-in to a couple potential season-long props.

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What Incentive Is In The Kyler Murray Contract?

Courtesy of, we are able to look at full details of Kyler Murray’s contract. It includes these incentives:

  • 600 rushing yards + six rushing TD: $750,000

In three seasons in the league, Kyler has rushed for 1,786 yards, good enough for 595.3 yards per season. He’s also rushed for 20 touchdowns in those three seasons, including 11 touchdowns in 16 total games played in 2020.

In 2021, the league added an extra regular season game. Unfortunately for Kyler, he suffered an ankle injury that caused him to miss three games last season. The third-year quarterback was still able to rush for five touchdowns and 423 yards on the season.

It is not clear on whether this incentive applies to the 2022 season, but most of the other contract bonuses apply to 2023 or later. The contract has a total of $7.5 million in incentives available at $1.5 million available per year; therefore, it’s spread over five years. Murray’s five-year extension runs from 2024-2028, but he received a $29 million signing bonus immediately.

2022 Kyler Murray Props

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has Kyler Murray’s rushing touchdown prop set at Over . Comparatively, DraftKings Sportsbook has his rushing touchdown prop set at Over 6.5 (-115).

Kyler’s lowest rushing yards prop for the season is set at Over .

For the rest of Murray’s 2022 season-long props, check out the box above just after the intro.

Why Bettors Should Care About NFL Contract Incentives

It’s always important to be aware of contract incentives in players’ contracts, as they can lead to betting angles near the end of the regular season, or in this case full-season props.

Last year, Rob Gronkowski secured a $1 million bonus for catching 55 passes and reaching 650 receiving yards. Gronkowski entered the final regular season game against Carolina with 48 receptions for 565 yards. He caught seven passes in the game for 137 receiving yards to reach his incentive.

This is noteworthy because it’s just one of many examples that show incentives matter in these contracts. Players want to get paid and will find a way to do it late in the season if they are close to securing that extra pay day.

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