The No. 8 seed Kentucky Wildcats (9-15) are favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-13) in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 12:00 PM ET on SECN.
The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 2:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting Odds
Kentucky Betting Information
- With a mark of 6-16-2, Kentucky has a losing record against the spread this season.
- The Wildcats have a losing record against the spread when favored by at least 3.5 points, going 2-7-1 this season.
- In 45.8% of its games this season (11/24), Kentucky and its opponents have outscored the set over/under.
- The Wildcats knocked off South Carolina 92-64 in their last contest on Saturday. Brandon Boston Jr. racked up a team-high 21 points to lead the team to the victory. They were favored by 8 points and covered the spread, and the teams combined to go over the 147 point total.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Kentucky Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 24 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| Davion Mintz | 24 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Olivier Sarr | 24 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 15 | 10.3 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 24 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
Mississippi State Betting Information
- The Bulldogs have outperformed the spread so far this season with a record ATS of 15-11.
- For the 13th time this season, the Bulldogs are at least a 3.5-point underdog, where they have a record of 6-6 against the spread.
- 14 of Mississippi State’s 26 games (53.8%) this season haven’t covered the over/under.
- In their last game, the Bulldogs got a team-high 20 points from Tolu Smith in a 78-71 loss to Auburn on Saturday. They failed to covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs, and the teams combined to score 149 points to go over the 141.5 point total.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Mississippi State Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Stewart | 27 | 16.5 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Iverson Molinar | 24 | 16.4 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| Tolu Smith | 27 | 12.7 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Abdul Ado | 27 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Total Facts
- Kentucky’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Thursday’s matchup point total (131 points) in 66.7% of opportunities (16 out of 24 matchups).
- In Mississippi State’s games this season, the competing teams combined for a higher point total than Thursday’s matchup total in 16 out of 27 matchups (59.3%).
- The total for the contest of 131 is 8.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (70.3 points per game) and the Bulldogs (69.4 points per game).
- This game’s over/under is 4.7 fewer points than the 135.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
- The Wildcats have seen a 140.3 average over/under in their games this season, 9.3 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this game is 4.1 points fewer than the average over/under in Bulldogs games this season (135.1 points).
Head to Head
| Date | Favorite | Home Team | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Game Type | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/2/2021 | Kentucky | Mississippi State | -2.5 | 132 | -147 | +120 | Regular Season | 78-73 UK |
| 2/4/2020 | Kentucky | Kentucky | -6.5 | 139.5 | -294 | +231 | Regular Season | 80-72 UK |
| 2/9/2019 | N/A | Mississippi State | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Regular Season | 71-67 UK |
| 1/22/2019 | N/A | Kentucky | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Regular Season | 76-55 UK |
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