2024 Kentucky Derby Odds: Futures Pool No. 4 For 150th Run For The Roses

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Written By Dave Bontempo | Last Updated
2024 kentucky derby odds

The new favorite is Locked, and Futures Pool No. 4 for 2024 Kentucky Derby odds is loaded, as the next betting window opens Friday at noon and closes Sunday at 6 p.m. ET. Horses sporting strong recent performances give bettors numerous options on 3-year-old thoroughbreds coming into their own for the winter and spring Derby-prep campaign.

Locked is the 10-1 individual favorite among 40 horses that can be bet, while the field – listed as “All Other 3-Year-Olds” – is pegged as the 2-1 overall favorite. Gamblers can lock in KY Derby odds on entries at prices much longer than when the 150th running of the famed Triple Crown race occurs on the first Saturday in May, with a record purse for the race announced at $5 million.

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2024 Kentucky Derby Odds: Futures Pool No. 4 Opening Odds

This futures pool will be the most intriguing. Seven of the horses face each other in the $400,000 Risen Star Stakes Saturday at Fair Grounds. The winner obtains 50 points, traditionally enough to guarantee a qualifying berth in the Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs on May 4.

The futures pool is pari-mutuel until the odds lock at 6 p.m. Sunday. The Risen Star winner may thus have a substantially lower price on Sunday versus Friday, giving gamblers plenty of time to ponder over when and how heavily to wager.

Here is a look at the field with updated futures odds. Click on the odds to bet now, once the pool opens Friday. It will be listed at FanDuel Racing as its own entity, alongside the other race tracks around the country.

NumberHorseMorning Line Odds
1Agate Road50-1
2Amante Bianco90-1
3Born Noble40-1
4Capital Idea80-1
5Catching Freedom25-1
6Conquest Warrior20-1
9Domestic Product60-1
11El Grande 080-1
12Epic Ride60-1
14Forever Young 30-1
15Hades 30-1
16Hall of Fame 20-1
17Honor Marie25-1
18Imperial Gun80-1
19Just Steel80-1
20Just A Touch 60-1
22Lat Long90-1
23Liberal Arts60-1
25Lucky Jeremy90-1
26Mystik Dan20-1
28No More Time40-1
29Real Men Violin90-1
31Sierra Leone15-1
32Speak Easy30-1
35Track Phantom20-1
36Tuscan Gold50-1
37Tuscan Sky80-1
38Uncle Heavy40-1
39West Saratoga99-1
40All Other 3-Year Olds

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool Schedule

This is the lineup for the two subsequent betting windows to gain Kentucky Derby 2024 betting odds after Pool No. 4  closes:

  • March 15-17 (Pool No. 5)
  • April 4-6 (Pool No. 6)

The Risk and Reward of the Futures Pool

Gamblers are paid handsomely now at odds that will plummet if a horse performs well or wins a major Road To The Kentucky Derby race.

A futures wager on 2024 Kentucky Derby odds is not refunded if the horse does not run in the Derby. A gambler thus projects several training and race patterns into a belief on whether a horse will compete in Louisville.

Bettors can also wager on the exacta combinations.


Here’s a look around the circuit at what has changed since futures Pool No. 3 closed last month.

New Individual Favorite

Fierceness, the 8-1 favorite in the last pool, has drifted down to 12-1. He was beaten decisively in the Holy Bull, coming up empty in the stretch to Hades. Despite that strong performance, Hades remains an excellent value at 30-1.

Risen Star Stakes Horses To Watch

Track Phantom, whom we highlighted as top value at 60-1 before Pool No. 3, triumphed in the Lecomte and is down to 20-1. He also figures to be one of the Risen Star top betting choices. Futures odds on Track Phantom could fluctuate substantially over the weekend if he wins the Risen Star.

Sierra Leone, 15-1: was 36-1 after Pool No. 2 and 30-1 after Pool 3. These are his lowest odds of the campaign. Interestingly, his odds change does not reflect a recent performance, merely the expectation of improvement. He was second to Dornoch (15-1) at the Remsen in November. He is one of the top contenders in the Risen Star.

Hall of Fame (20-1) already notched a 94 Beyer speed figure, tops in the Risen Star field.

The other horses in the Risen Star and also listed in 2024 Kentucky Derby odds via Futures Pool No. 4:

  • Honor Marie (25-1)
  • Catching Freedom (25-1)
  • Real Men Violin (90-1)
  • Resilience (99-1)

Other Horses To Know

Outside of this race, another horse getting play is Mystik Dan. He is 20-1 after rallying to win the Southwest at 21-1 in January. He came from sixth, gained the lead around the turn, and destroyed the field in the home stretch. It earned him a 101 Beyer, tops among Kentucky-Derby eligibles.

Mystik Dan is probable for the  Arkansas Derby on March 30.

Ironically, he’s been on and off the futures board. He was 99-1 after Pool No. 2 and not listed in Pool 3. The last victory elevated his betting profile.

No Threat of Bob Baffert Horses

Nysos, the circuit leader with a 105 Beyer, is not eligible for the Kentucky Derby. He is trained by Bob Baffert, who remains under an indefinite suspension from Churchill Downs Inc. over Medina Spirit’s disputed drug test in 2021. Unlike past years, Baffert announced his owners will not switch any of their horses to other trainers this winter to be eligible for Derby qualifying points in prep races.

Good luck if you dabble in 2024 Kentucky Derby odds this weekend. The menu becomes more interesting by the week.

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