2024 Kentucky Derby Odds: Futures Pool No. 3 For 150th Run For The Roses

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Written By Dave Bontempo | Last Updated
2024 kentucky derby odds

Potential value remains strong as Futures Pool No. 3 for 2024 Kentucky Derby odds unfold this weekend. Churchill Downs has included 21 new horses that were not in Pool No. 2. Collectively, it is a field of 40, many sporting colossal prices. Pool No. 3 wagering opens Friday at noon and closes Sunday at 6 p.m. ET. All but two of the horses are 20-1 or longer, and there are still many quality selections up to 99-1.

Gamblers can lock in KY Derby odds on entries at prices much longer than when the 150th running of the famed Triple Crown race occurs on the first Saturday in May, with a record purse for the race announced at $5 million.

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2024 Kentucky Derby Odds: Futures Pool No. 3

Please note 2024 Kentucky Derby odds in this pool may shift until the pool closes. Click on the odds to bet now.

NumberHorseMorning Line Odds
1Amante Bianco60-1
2Ari’s Magic99-1
3Book ’em Danno80-1
4Born Noble60-1
5Carbone60-1
6Cardinale80-1
7Catching Freedom40-1
8Change of Command60-1
9Conquest Warrior40-1
10Deterministic99-1
11Dornoch20-1
12Drum Roll Please40-1
13El C api50-1
14Ethan Energy60-1
15Fierceness8-1
16Forever Young30-1
17Honor Marie30-1
18Imperial Gun99-1
19Just Steel80-1
20Knightsbridge 50-1
21Lat Long 99-1
22Liberal Arts 80-1
23Locked15-1
24Merit99-1
25Nash30-1
26Otello99-1
27Otto the Conqueror99-1
28Parchment Party40-1
29Real Men Violin80-1
30Resilience99-1
31Sierra Leone30-1
32Snead50-1
33Stretch Ride50-1
34Stronghold99-1
35The Wine Steward50-1
36Timberlake25-1
37Time for Truth99-1
38Track Phantom60-1
39Tuscan Sky99-1
40All Other 3-Year Olds 7-5

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool Schedule

This is the lineup for the remaining three betting windows to gain Kentucky Derby 2024 betting odds after Pool No. 3 closes.

  • Feb. 16-18 (Pool 4)
  • March 15-17 (Pool 5)
  • April 4-6 (Pool 6)

The Risk and Reward of the Futures Pool

Gamblers are paid handsomely now at odds that will plummet if a horse performs well or wins a major spring stakes race.

A futures wager is not refunded if the horse does not run in the Derby. A gambler thus projects several training and race patterns into a belief on whether a horse will compete in Louisville.

Bettors can also wager on the exacta combinations.

Timing Is Everything

Fierceness, the 8-1 individual horse favorite, was a whopping 99-1 choice before winning the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last November. That was only a couple months ago.

The “any other horse” wager has shot up from 4-5 to 7-5 and may continue to rise if a couple horses assert themselves as solid contenders. The wager has been expanded to include all 3-year-olds. The previous field bets broke the field into separate bets for fillies and colts.

Contenders in 2024 Kentucky Derby Odds

Locked is the second choice at 15-1 in Pool No. 3 after running a strong third to Fierceness and Muth in the BC Juvenile.

Muth is not on the Pool 3 board. He is trained by Bob Baffert, whose horses are not allowed to enter the Run for the Roses. According to reports, Baffert has until Jan. 29 to switch barns for Muth to obtain Derby-qualifying points in the prep races. Stay tuned on that one. Baffert remains under an indefinite suspension from Churchill Downs Inc. over Medina Spirit’s disputed drug test in 2021.

Who Might Evolve?

Gamblers have ample opportunity to take some fliers on horses proving themselves at a lower level.

Book’ em Danno, 80-1 in the pool, enters off a convincing double-digit victory in the $125,000 Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs at prohibitive betting odds of 1-9. He broke near the back of the pack, caught up around the final turn, and steamrolled the field. Gamblers like the momentum of horses who win going away.

Conquest Warrior, 40-1,  just won for $89,000 maidens at Gulfstream Park, and his manner of victory impressed trip handicappers. He was squeezed back to last at the start and then checked three times, once in the home stretch. But he had a ton of run and got up at the wire. Bettors projecting his potential with a stronger break will snare a high price on him. Of course, he must step up in class soon.

The $250,000 Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct Park last month showcased two horses getting Pool No. 3 play. Dornoch, 20-1,  led almost all the way in the 1 1/8-mile, two-turn event. Caught in a contentious pace, he hit the rail in the stretch and appeared outdone when Sierra Leone made a monstrous move from 12 lengths off to shoot by him. Jockey Luis Saez initially looked ready to accept second. But when Sierra Leone could not put Dornoch away, Saez made one last move and stole the race in a photo. Dornoch is a full brother to Mage, the 2023 Kentucky Derby winner. Despite being nosed, it was a stellar second outing for Sierra Leone, who was sired by Gun Runner, trained by Chad Brown, and listed at 30-1 in the pool.

The Remsen is the longest juvenile race on the circuit and has foreshadowed several Kentucky Derby winners like Go for Gin (1994) and Thunder Gulch (1995).

Track Phantom, 60-1, has beaten Nash, who is 30-1. Bettors may see value in that. He is entered in the Grade III Lecomte Saturday at Fair Grounds.

Best of luck if you decide to dabble in Pool No. 3 for 2024 Kentucky Derby odds.

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