The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you’ll want the skinny on the horses. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Below we’ll explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings.
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Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figures
Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May.
|Post/Number||Horse||Best BSF||Most Recent BSF||Odds Estimate|
|9||Tiz the Bomb||94||94||+3000|
|7||Crown Pride (JPN)||N/A||N/A||+3000|
|17||Classic Causway||90||< 80||+3000|
|4||Summer Is Tomorrow||N/A||N/A||+5000|
|11||Pioneer Of Medina||93||93||+3000|
Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty.
Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field.
Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. Hence, their status as longshots.
Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. It’s important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello.
Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly.
Full 2022 Kentucky Derby Field, Odds
|Post||Horse||Latest odds (6:30 p.m. ET||Morning Line Odds||Trainer||Jockey||W-P-S (Races)|
|1||Mo Donegal||9-1||10-1||Todd Pletcher||Irad Ortiz Jr.||3-0-2 (5)|
|2||Happy Jack||20-1||30-1||Doug O'Neill||Rafael Bejarano||0-0-2 (3)|
|3||Epicenter||5-1||7-2||Steve Asmussen||Joel Rosario||4-1-0 (6)|
|4||Summer Is Tomorrow||33-1||30-1||Bhupat Seemar||Mickael Barzalona||2-3-0 (7)|
|5||Smile Happy||14-1||20-1||Kenny McPeek||Corey Lanerie||2-2-0 (4)|
|6||Messier (CAN)||6-1||8-1||Tim Yakteen*||John Velazquez||3-3-0 (6)|
|7||Crown Pride (JPN)||17-1||20-1||Koichi Shintani||Christophe Lemaire||3-0-0 (4)|
|8||Charge It||15-1||20-1||Todd Pletcher||Luis Saez||1-2-0 (3)|
|9||Tiz the Bomb||27-1||30-1||Kenny McPeek||Brian Hernandez Jr.||5-1-0 (8)|
|10||Zandon||6-1||3-1||Chad Brown||Flavien Prat||2-1-1 (4)|
|11||Pioneer of Medina||53-1||30-1||Todd Pletcher||Joe Bravo||2-1-2 (6)|
|12||Taiba||5-1||12-1||Tim Yakteen*||Mike Smith||2-0-0 (2)|
|13||Simplification||35-1||20-1||Antionio Sano||Jose Ortiz||3-1-2 (7)|
|14||Barber Road||54-1||30-1||John Ortiz||Rey Gutierrez||2-4-1 (8)|
|15||White Abarrio||14-1||10-1||Saffie Joseph Jr.||Tyler Gaffalione||4-0-1 (5)|
|16||Cyberknife||15-1||20-1||Brad Cox||Florent Geroux||3-2-0 (6)|
|17||Classic Causway||75-1||30-1||Brian Lynch||Julien Leparoux||3-1-1 (6)|
|18||Tawny Port||74-1||30-1||Brad Cox||Ricardo Santana Jr.||3-1-0 (5)|
|19||Zozos||43-1||20-1||Brad Cox||Manny Franco||2-1-0 (3)|
|21||Rich Strike||80-1||30-1||Eric Reed||Sonny Leon||1-0-3 (7)|