Kentucky Derby Betting: Strong Trend Immediately Tosses 6 From Win Bets
Kentucky Derby odds are near the top of the list among popular sports betting events. There are only a few days left to place your wagers, and TheLines is here to assist. There are many alluring angles to sift through to find the 150th Run for the Roses winner, including one that involves their final prep races before the race. Let's dig into this Kentucky Derby betting trend.
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what is the Final prep race trend?
Over the last 27 Kentucky Derbys, 24 winners finished in the top two of their most recent prep race. The other three victors landed in the top four of their respective prep races. Hence, success tends to carry over at Churchill Downs. Below, you'll find the results of each Derby contestant.
Post Position Horse Morning-Line Odds Final Prep Race Result 1. Dornoch 20-1 Blue Grass Stakes 4th 2. Sierra Leone 3-1 Blue Grass Stakes 1st 3. Mystik Dan 20-1 Arkansas Derby 3rd 4. Catching Freedom 8-1 Louisiana Derby 1st 5. Catalytic 30-1 Florida Derby 2nd 6. Just Steel 20-1 Arkansas Derby 2nd 7. Honor Marie 20-1 Louisiana Derby 2nd 8. Just A Touch 10-1 Blue Grass Stakes 2nd 10. T O Password (JPN) 30-1 Fukuryu Stakes 1st 11. Forever Young 10-1 UAE Derby 1st 12. Track Phantom 20-1 Louisiana Derby 4th 13. West Saratoga 50-1 Jeff Ruby Stakes 2nd 14. Endlessly 30-1 Jeff Ruby Stakes 1st 15. Domestic Product 30-1 Tampa Bay Derby 1st 16. Grand Mo The First 50-1 Florida Derby 3rd 17. Fierceness 5-2 Florida Derby 1st 18. Stronghold 20-1 San Anita Derby 1st 19. Resilience 20-1 Wood Memorial 1st 20. Society Man 50-1 Wood Memorial 2nd 21. Epic Ride 30-1 Blue Grass Stakes 3rd 22. Mugatu (AE) 30-1 Blue Grass Stakes 5th
Prep Race Takeaways
Per the table, 15 horses finished top two in their respective contests, and six others finished third or fourth. Granted, only a few can deliver stellar results. But it gives us a sense of which longshots are worth monitoring for exactas, and trifectas, superfectas.
Mystik Dan, who finished third in the Arkansas Derby, has caught the attention of Dave Bontempo, TheLines.com's horse-racing guru, plus another expert. Moreover, the speedy three-year-old tallied his top Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) in sloppy conditions at the Southwest Stakes in February. Similar weather could be en route for Saturday's most anticipated race.
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Kentucky Derby 150 Podcast