Kentucky Derby Betting: Strong Trend Immediately Tosses 6 From Win Bets

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Kentucky Derby Betting

Kentucky Derby odds are near the top of the list among popular sports betting events. There are only a few days left to place your wagers, and TheLines is here to assist. There are many alluring angles to sift through to find the 150th Run for the Roses winner, including one that involves their final prep races before the race. Let’s dig into this Kentucky Derby betting trend.

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what is the Final prep race trend?

Over the last 27 Kentucky Derbys, 24 winners finished in the top two of their most recent prep race. The other three victors landed in the top four of their respective prep races. Hence, success tends to carry over at Churchill Downs. Below, you’ll find the results of each Derby contestant.

Post PositionHorseMorning-Line OddsFinal Prep RaceResult
1.Dornoch20-1Blue Grass Stakes4th
2.Sierra Leone3-1Blue Grass Stakes1st
3.Mystik Dan20-1Arkansas Derby3rd
4.Catching Freedom8-1Louisiana Derby1st
5.Catalytic30-1Florida Derby2nd
6.Just Steel20-1Arkansas Derby2nd
7.Honor Marie20-1Louisiana Derby2nd
8.Just A Touch10-1Blue Grass Stakes2nd
10.T O Password (JPN)30-1Fukuryu Stakes1st
11.Forever Young10-1UAE Derby1st
12.Track Phantom20-1Louisiana Derby4th
13.West Saratoga50-1Jeff Ruby Stakes2nd
14.Endlessly30-1Jeff Ruby Stakes1st
15.Domestic Product30-1Tampa Bay Derby1st
16.Grand Mo The First50-1Florida Derby3rd
17.Fierceness5-2Florida Derby1st
18.Stronghold20-1San Anita Derby1st
19.Resilience 20-1Wood Memorial1st
20.Society Man50-1Wood Memorial2nd
21.Epic Ride30-1Blue Grass Stakes3rd
22.Mugatu (AE)30-1Blue Grass Stakes5th

Prep Race Takeaways

Per the table, 15 horses finished top two in their respective contests, and six others finished third or fourth. Granted, only a few can deliver stellar results. But it gives us a sense of which longshots are worth monitoring for exactas, and trifectas, superfectas.

Mystik Dan, who finished third in the Arkansas Derby, has caught the attention of Dave Bontempo,’s horse-racing guru, plus another expert. Moreover, the speedy three-year-old tallied his top Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) in sloppy conditions at the Southwest Stakes in February. Similar weather could be en route for Saturday’s most anticipated race.

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