Kentucky Derby Betting: Strong Trend Immediately Tosses 6 From Win Bets
Kentucky Derby odds are near the top of the list among popular sports betting events. There are only a few days left to place your wagers, and TheLines is here to assist. There are many alluring angles to sift through to find the 150th Run for the Roses winner, including one that involves their final prep races before the race. Let’s dig into this Kentucky Derby betting trend.
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what is the Final prep race trend?
Over the last 27 Kentucky Derbys, 24 winners finished in the top two of their most recent prep race. The other three victors landed in the top four of their respective prep races. Hence, success tends to carry over at Churchill Downs. Below, you’ll find the results of each Derby contestant.
| Post Position | Horse | Morning-Line Odds | Final Prep Race | Result |
| 1. | Dornoch | 20-1 | Blue Grass Stakes | 4th |
| 2. | Sierra Leone | 3-1 | Blue Grass Stakes | 1st |
| 3. | Mystik Dan | 20-1 | Arkansas Derby | 3rd |
| 4. | Catching Freedom | 8-1 | Louisiana Derby | 1st |
| 5. | Catalytic | 30-1 | Florida Derby | 2nd |
| 6. | Just Steel | 20-1 | Arkansas Derby | 2nd |
| 7. | Honor Marie | 20-1 | Louisiana Derby | 2nd |
| 8. | Just A Touch | 10-1 | Blue Grass Stakes | 2nd |
| 10. | T O Password (JPN) | 30-1 | Fukuryu Stakes | 1st |
| 11. | Forever Young | 10-1 | UAE Derby | 1st |
| 12. | Track Phantom | 20-1 | Louisiana Derby | 4th |
| 13. | West Saratoga | 50-1 | Jeff Ruby Stakes | 2nd |
| 14. | Endlessly | 30-1 | Jeff Ruby Stakes | 1st |
| 15. | Domestic Product | 30-1 | Tampa Bay Derby | 1st |
| 16. | Grand Mo The First | 50-1 | Florida Derby | 3rd |
| 17. | Fierceness | 5-2 | Florida Derby | 1st |
| 18. | Stronghold | 20-1 | San Anita Derby | 1st |
| 19. | Resilience | 20-1 | Wood Memorial | 1st |
| 20. | Society Man | 50-1 | Wood Memorial | 2nd |
| 21. | Epic Ride | 30-1 | Blue Grass Stakes | 3rd |
| 22. | Mugatu (AE) | 30-1 | Blue Grass Stakes | 5th |
Prep Race Takeaways
Per the table, 15 horses finished top two in their respective contests, and six others finished third or fourth. Granted, only a few can deliver stellar results. But it gives us a sense of which longshots are worth monitoring for exactas, and trifectas, superfectas.
Mystik Dan, who finished third in the Arkansas Derby, has caught the attention of Dave Bontempo, TheLines.com’s horse-racing guru, plus another expert. Moreover, the speedy three-year-old tallied his top Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) in sloppy conditions at the Southwest Stakes in February. Similar weather could be en route for Saturday’s most anticipated race.
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