Did Justin Verlander, Trea Turner Signings Shift MLB Futures?

Written By Zach Tilley on December 6, 2022
trea turner

Trea Turner and Justin Verlander, two of the biggest MLB free agent names this offseason, agreed to sign with new ball clubs Monday. Turner, the former Dodgers shortstop, agreed to an 11-year, $300 million contract with the Philadelphia Phillies. Meanwhile, the Phillies’ division rival New York Mets agreed to sign Justin Verlander, after having lost Jacob deGrom to the Texas Rangers. Verlander, a former AL MVP and Cy Young winner, as well as two-time World Series Champion, signed a two-year, $86 million deal.

What did these massive signings do to MLB odds, both for the World Series and NL East markets? Let’s take a look.

World Series Odds

Check out the early World Series odds for 2023 compared to the movement after the free agent signings were made. The signings didn’t shift things much in the 24 hours after the news. Phillies fans that may be surprised by this after adding Trea Turner should remember Bryce Harper (elbow) will be out of the lineup for at least half the season.

  • New York Mets were at +1100; currently sitting at
  • Philadelphia Phillies were at +1300; currently sitting at
  • Houston Astros were at +600; currently sitting at
  • Los Angeles Dodgers were at +500; currently sitting at

National League Odds

A bit of shuffling within National League markets should be expected as the offseason continues into Spring Training for these clubs. With the Dodgers losing a key piece, they could find their odds lengthening compared to recent seasons.

NL East Futures

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American League Odds

The Astros remain favorites to win the AL Pennant and the AL West, for the time being. Time will tell whether or not Verlander’s absence makes a lasting impact on the pitching staff.

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