Jets vs. Patriots Odds Preview: Best NFL Week 3 Betting Sites
The New England Patriots (0-2) visit the New York Jets (1-1) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 24. Patriots odds show New England is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Jets odds at as the best price for New York to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Jets vs. Patriots odds.
Jets vs. Patriots Betting Odds
NFL Week 3 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.
Jets vs. Patriots Props
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In this game, I’m interested in a rushing prop for a disgruntled New York Jet.
Breece Hall Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-135)
After the loss to the Cowboys, RB Breece Hall made some noise about his lack of touches. He only toted the rock four times the entire game, after ripping off 127 yards on 10 carries against the Bills in Week 1.
The team would do well to make their young back happy, on a couple of levels. Obviously, keeping Hall happy and engaged will serve the franchise going forward.
But perhaps even more importantly, washed vet Dalvin Cook simply has not demonstrated that he deserves to relegate Hall to a bit role. Cook gained just 12 yards on five touches against the Cowboys and lost a fumble to boot.
Now, the ceiling remains somewhat low for Hall as he’s only playing about a third of the snaps so far. But that number gets closer to 50% as Cook continues to sputter, Hall should find his way to double-digit carries. Especially in a game likely to feature poor weather (read on for more), the Jets look incentivized to attack via the ground.
Jets vs. Patriots Player Props
Jets vs. Patriots weather
MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is forecast to see 65-degree weather on Sunday afternoon. Winds should be fairly strong at 10 to 20 mph, with rain expected as well (70% chance).
Given we are already looking at two weak offenses and two strong defenses, this weather has the potential to turn the game into a real slog. Running the ball well would be helpful in such circumstances but it’s an open question whether either side can do so.
Jets vs. Patriots Injury Report
NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week:
Starters On The Injury Report
LT Trent Brown missed Week 2 in concussion protocol for the Patriots. He figures to return this week after logging limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday.
On the Jets side of things, the secondary continues to take hits. S Tony Adams has yet to practice. Adams himself is an injury replacement for Chuck Clark, already on IR. However, amazingly, the team still has solid depth there with Adrian Amos as a potential replacement. LT Duane Brown is a bigger concern. If he can’t go, we may see Mekhi Becton switch back to the left side, and either Billy Turner or Max Mitchell take up residence on the right side.
Patriots Offense vs. Jets Defense
While this looks like an extraordinarily tough matchup for the Patriots offense, they do look likely to get a piece of good news in the form of a return from LT Trent Brown. Brown missed the last game against Miami but has logged a couple of limited practices to start the week.
With the line hopefully near full strength — RT Riley Reiff remains on IR — the Patriots have a chance to hold their own against a very strong Jets front. That unit did struggle at times against the Cowboys, but given how strong the Cowboys have looked and how little support the offense provided, that was understandable.
QB Mac Jones has looked good at times through the first couple of weeks. He found some holes in the middle of the Eagles defense, but that looks like a potential weak point through the first two weeks. Given that this Jets secondary figures to make life very difficult on a below-par receiving group, it’s going to take some real magic from coordinator Bill O’Brien in order for this offense to look good in Week 3.
Jets Offense vs. Patriots Defense
The Zach Wilson show appears to have picked up where it left off in 2022. Wilson sputtered along, leading the offense to an abhorrent -0.43 EPA/play. That follows a putrid season in which he found it especially difficult facing Bill Belichick’s defenses, totaling 20 points across two games.
Between Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, though, the Jets probably have the two most capable playmakers in this game. If there’s an edge to be had for either team’s offense, that’s probably it.
Whether Wilson can get the ball anywhere downfield to Wilson is another story entirely, of course. Particularly in a game scheduled to see bad weather and facing a defensive mastermind infamous for confusing young QBs, turnovers and sacks loom as a major issue.
Reasons To Bet The Over/Under
I see two clear angles to potentially bet the over or the under in this game, one that provides strong support for each side.
On the one hand, in terms of a pure closing line value play, one could probably do worse than taking under the late-week number here. That’s because the closer the game draws to kickoff, the more certain the forecast becomes. If indeed howling winds and driving rain come into play, then this probably closes around 34.5 or even lower. We are talking about one inept offense and one mediocre offense facing off against two top-quality defenses already. Add in bad weather and this could wind up a race to 17.
On the other hand, buying the over on a dipped number makes some sense too. Particularly with a turnover-prone QB in Zach Wilson, we could see some short fields here.
Either way, if you want to take the over, it probably makes sense to wait and see if bad weather drops the number to rock bottom. Totals of 39 and 13 (!) in last year’s meetings will be fresh in handicappers’ minds.
Can either team move the ball in this matchup?
It’s hard to see how. The Patriots have a concern up front with a banged-up line facing a fierce Jets pass rush. And they don’t exactly have the skill position talent to bail Mac Jones out if he’s forced to check down often. The Jets have Zach Wilson, which is probably enough said, especially against Bill Belichick.
If New York had a more competent and creative coordinator, it might be easier to buy into them as a home underdog here. But Nathaniel Hackett does not seem like the man to lead Wilson to the promised land. Hackett has the tools at his disposal with Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but can he deploy them in an effective manner?
Often, when two bad offenses meet up, it simply comes down to mistakes. Look no further than Browns at Steelers. The Browns arguably outplayed the Steelers from scrimmage, but two giveaways for scores were simply far too much to overcome. Mac Jones seems like the more trustworthy QB in this spot, so the Patriots as short favorites seems right.
I could be talked into a small teaser play on the Jets, however. Given the incredibly low total and the fact the Jets sit on a desirable number for a teaser bet, I may pinch my nose and pray Wilson can keep it together enough that the Jets don’t get buried.
Best of luck betting on Jets vs. Patriots odds.
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