bet365 Jayden Daniels Odds: Will Commanders QB Win MVP & Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Look at the odds for NFL Week 6, and the Battle of the Beltway between the Baltimore Ravens and Washington Commanders is arguably the most intriguing. Lamar Jackson, the two-time league MVP, will duel the Commanders’ rookie sensation, whose chances of winning the same award have risen considerably. Below are bet365 Sportsbook’s odds for Jayden Daniels, in both MVP and Offensive Rookie of the Year, and why he’s become a viable candidate.
NFL MVP odds
Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds
making the case: Jayden Daniels’ MVP odds
Bettors haven’t seen a rookie win NFL MVP in nearly 70 years. The late Jim Brown, arguably the greatest football player ever, accomplished that to kick off his Hall-of-Fame run with the Cleveland Browns. Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud made a case last season, with his odds dipping to the +1700 range following wins over the Bengals and Cardinals in mid-November.
Daniels’ NFL MVP odds opened at +20000 before the market became captivated by the Commanders’ upset victory against Cincinnati in Week 3. He totaled 293 yards and three scores, and his odds shrunk to +10000. Per the betting table above, they are currently Jayden Daniels +30000 on Bet365. Daniels has guided them to a 4-1 record, straight up and against the spread.
Over his first five tilts, Washington has accrued the fourth-most points per drive since at least 2000. That level of efficiency is behind the following three teams, which all made their mark:
- 2020 Green Bay Packers (Aaron Rodgers’ third MVP)
- 2000 St. Louis Rams (Marshall Faulk’s lone MVP)
- 2013 Denver Broncos (Peyton Manning’s fifth and final MVP)
Over the last decade, every NFL MVP but two finished the regular season in the top two in the EPA+CPOE composite. Daniels is No. 1 among QBs with at least 100 plays. Joe Burrow, Derek Carr, and Josh Allen are the closest to him. Meanwhile, Allen is the only one of those signal-callers with better MVP odds.
He led the way after Week 3, but the Bills have dropped consecutive games. The most recent came against Stroud, who boats C.J. Stroud +50000 on Bet365 NFL MVP odds.
I’d pass on Daniels’ MVP odds for now, considering they’re theoretically at the peak of their market value. That is, assuming you think his statistical production will normalize at some point shortly.
OROY Runaway?
Daniels’ historic rise doesn’t stop there. He’s also the first player in NFL history to manufacture over 1,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards in his first five games. His 300 rushing yards rank No. 16 across the league and are the second-most for a quarterback behind Jackson (336).
The LSU product is rightfully Jayden Daniels -20000 among Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. Caleb Williams, favored ahead of Week 1, Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison Jr. follow suit. Unlike Daniels’ MVP odds, he was second behind Williams to begin the season.
After the Daniels and Jackson face-off, Daniels will take on the lowly Panthers before battling the Bears and Giants. Williams is steadily improving, as is Chicago’s offense collectively. This game could significantly impact OROY odds.
Then again, if Daniels struggles versus the Ravens’ experienced defense, he could slip in both markets. As of this publication, Washington is a Washington Commanders +7 (-110) on Bet365 road underdog. Click any odds below to place a bet on this game.
watch: sportsbook trader discusses Jayden Daniels odds
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