Super Bowl 57: Jalen Hurts Player Props For Eagles Vs. Chiefs

Written By Brett Gibbons on February 9, 2023 - Last Updated on February 12, 2023
Jalen Hurts props

Jalen Hurts lead the Philadelphia Eagles into the Super Bowl to face the Kansas City Chiefs. Before missing a few late games with injury, Hurts was a clear-cut MVP candidate, up there with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. The college champion looks to add professional champion to his resume in Glendale. Below, we’ll look at Jalen Hurts Super Bowl 57 props, including both passing and rushing production.

Continue the Mahomes prop conversation on our Discord channel. Keep up-to-date with TheLines coverage of Super Bowl 57 leading up to kickoff.

Jalen Hurts Super Bowl Props

Bet on any props in the table below by clicking on the odds. For more props analysis for the Super Bowl, visit or NFL player props page.

Jalen Hurts Passing Props

Hurts’ passing yards prop is awfully high for the Big Game, set at yards. That total sits higher than 71% of his finishes this season, with just five of 17 games having gone over 247 yards. Just one of those games came against a team in the top-half of passing DVOA or passing EPA (Washington, Week 3) while the rest came out to an average DVOA rank of 26.3 and an average passing success rank of 24.3.

The Chiefs passing defense is far from lockdown, but they rank No. 20 in pass defense DVOA and No. 20 in dropback success rate allowed. Do keep an eye on the health of L’Jarius Sneed, who exited the AFC Championship Game with a concussion.

The Eagles’ passing game is predicated on two things: AJ Brown taking the top off coverage and DeVonta Smith creating separation with pristine route running. This season, Sneed allowed the sixth-lowest average depth of target (aDOT) at just 6.9 yards. At 6-foot-1, Sneed physically matches up well with Brown (also 6-foot-1) and, if he plays, may be able to cap his downfield effectiveness.

The Eagles offense is at its best when Hurts is a low volume yet efficient passer, a formula pieced together in each of their first two playoff games.

Combine Jalen Hurts Player Props With FanDuel SGP

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Using Derivative Props

Finding correlations between derivative props is critical in making good prop bets. In this case, not only is Hurts’ yardage prop inflated to the upper echelon for his season output, but so are his passing attempts (). Five times this season, Hurts attempted 33 or more passes. Unsurprisingly, all but one of these games directly coincides with his games over 247 passing yards against the same set of defenses; the exception being he threw 31 passes against the Vikings and 39 against the Cardinals (for 240 yards).

Playing under Hurts’ passing props is heavily juiced (), but if you lean under passing attempts, this should give you the confidence to play under his passing total.

Yards Of First Touchdown Pass

Over at FanDuel Sportsbook, there are even more unique prop markets being offered. One of them is the distance of Hurts’ first completion in the end zone — set at O/U 10.5. The over is priced around -140 while the under is set at plus money.

The latter wager revolves around Hurts and the Eagles’ offense marching into the red zone — and converting through the air. Mind you, the Chiefs showcased the third-worst red-zone scoring defense across the NFL this season. But Hurts tallied 39 carries alone inside the 10-yard line, as opposed to 29 pass attempts.

Jalen Hurts Rushing Props

Looking at Hurts’ playoff output in terms of rushing can be deceiving. The Eagles as a team have posted a ridiculous 0.220 EPA per rush this postseason, with four different players finding pay dirt. Hurts did score in each of those games, but there’s not much actionable evidence to take away from either the Giants or 49ers matchup.

That said, Hurts is lined for rushing yards in the game, a number that’s been fairly static this postseason. Since suffering his shoulder injury against Chicago, Hurts attempted 9.7 rushes per game (11.1 before). This game teeters in between those attempts at projected rushing attempts.


With so many eyes on the Super Bowl, fading public favorite trends is, for once, a strong strategy. Overs typically present a sexy pick, sometimes inflating numbers.

I’m leaning under Hurts’ passing yards this game. Against a middle-of-the-road Chiefs passing defense with capable corners, I don’t expect a season-setting performance through the air. Should Hurts’ pass attempt prop drop down with reasonable juice under anything to 230, I’ll likely bet that, too.

This isn’t to say that Hurts won’t have a good game or even come away with the Super Bowl MVP award. It’s also not an indictment on the Eagles or a projection for them to lose. The Chiefs are 22nd in rush EPA on the season and the Eagles have found immense success on the ground. I project an increased reliance on the ground game in Super Bowl 57.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons