Kansas vs. Iowa State College Basketball Betting Preview: Top 25 Battle in Big 12 Saturday

,
Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
iowa state bets

There are seven Big-12 matchups for those interested in Saturday’s college basketball odds, including No. 7 Kansas (16-3, 4-2) at No. 23 Iowa State (15-4, 4-2). Both teams are motivated to win this matchup and bolster their resume as March inches closer. Let’s dig into my Iowa State bets, and be sure to browse the best college basketball promos before betting to make sure you’re maximizing your chances of winning.

Click on any of the odds below to place a wager as well.

Potential Kansas vs. Iowa State Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Cyclones’ Offense

Let’s begin with the Cyclones, who could continue to see positive regression from deep in this game. Iowa State has struggled in conference play, and the long ball has been a contributing factor, as they’ve connected on a mere 26.5% from deep, the second-lowest mark in the Big 12. That said, Tamin Lipsey is back. Lipsey suffered a shoulder sprain against BYU last Tuesday, forcing him to miss last weekend’s game against TCU. He returned to the lineup Wednesday but had five turnovers and failed to connect from the perimeter. Look for him to have a bounce-back game on Saturday.

To make matters worse for the Jayhawks, the Clones rank No. 1 nationally in quick points off breakaway steals. When they turn their opponents over, they tend to leak out for easy buckets in transition. That could come into play in this game if their on-ball pressure and knack for denying passing lanes bothers Kansas.

Iowa State can also exploit the Jayhawks on the offensive glass with Tre King and Robert Jones, two of the best in the conference at crashing the offensive glass. For reference, Iowa State collects the 56th-highest offensive rebounding rate across D-1. Self’s squad was most recently exploited in this regard by Cincinnati on Tuesday night when the Bearcats collected 14 offensive rebounds and turned them into 13 second-chance points. They could be in for a long day in Ames if they struggle to box out the Cyclones and limit second-chance baskets.

Disruptive Pressure

From a defensive perspective, T.J. Otzelberger‘s no-middle defense could be an issue for Kansas, which relies on getting easy buckets inside the arc. This is where Otzelberger’s squad is particularly stout, allowing opponents to score a mere 39.9% of their points inside the arc, suitable for fourth-best in the nation.

The Jayhawks offense underwent a slight tweak to their rotation earlier this month, inserting Johnny Furphy into the starting lineup and moving fellow frosh Elmarko Jackson to the bench. The switch has resulted in better spacing and more lanes for DaJuan Harris and Kevin McCullar to drive and score, and fewer double teams for Hunter Dickinson. The Cyclones’ defense forces opponents to take contested 2s with their no-middle concept and force opponents to beat them from the perimeter. Unlike BYU, who attempted 35 perimeter shots against Iowa State, Kansas is 317th in 3-point attempts per game, shooting just under 18 per contest. Self’s squad would much rather get inside looks than chuck it up from deep.

The Iowa State defense can be even more of an issue with Lipsey back. With his sticky hands and high motor, Lipsey leads the Big 12 in steal rate at 6.2%. The Jayhawks own the Big 12’s fourth-lowest turnover rate in conference play but scuffled against the similarly aggressive defense of Marquette, who forced Bill Self’s squad into 18 turnovers. The ball pressure Shaka Smart’s defense put on threw off the rhythm of the Jayhawk’s offense, and we could see a similar disruption caused by the Cyclones.

Utilizing Power Ratings

Haslametrics projects a final score of 76.8-69.1, favoring Iowa State. Erik Haslam, who owns and operates this college hoops analytics site, will make his return to Outside Shots in March.

Join TheLines.com’s managing editor Stephen Andress and senior college hoops writer Eli Hershkovich as they analyze this weekend’s slate further, on the latest podcast below.

final thoughts

Although the Iowa State offense leaves a lot to be desired at times, I expect their defense to dictate the pace of this one and speed up the Jayhawks, forcing them into mistakes. Let’s ride with the Cyclones for my college basketball best bets.

This spread was Iowa State -3.5 Friday night. The best available line is currently Cyclones .

Best of luck with your Iowa State bets this weekend!

COLLEGE PLAYER PROPS: KANSAS VS. IOWA STATE

These odds typically generate on gameday. Check back in then if they aren’t populated yet.

College Basketball Picks Also Available At PrizePicks

Claim Your $100 Bonus at Prize Picks
1
$100 BOnus
On Deposit
100% Deposit Match up to $100
Win Payouts of up to 25X
The Largest Squad in Daily Fantasy Sports 
Use Promo Code: THELINES

Where Can You Bet On College Basketball Player Props?

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw betting on college props. Ten other states match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia allows betting on in-state school but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks allow wagering on college props, including in-state teams.

BEST SPORTS BETTING PROMO CODES FOR COLLEGE BASKETBALL

If you’re in a state with legal wagering, TheLines has you covered with the best sportsbook promo codes for your bets on college basketball odds or any other collegiate game.

  • Join TheLines.com’s sports betting Discord channel, with over 4,400 members, discussing college basketball betting and more.
Rank
Sportsbooks
Bonus
Features
Play
1
UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
2
BET $50 
GET $200
If Your First Bet Wins
Bet $50 Get $200 in Bonus Bets
Get Betway Boosts & Enhanced Odds
To Claim: Click Play Now
3
Bet $5
get $150
In Bonus Bets
Bet $5 Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
4
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
5
Bet $5
Get $150
If Your Bet Wins
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
6
$100 bonus
No Regret First Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Hit
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
7
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV

21+ in most states to use sportsbook bonus codes. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

RELATED ARTICLES