Indiana faces Miami (Fla.) at 8:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 19 on TNT. The 4-seed Hoosiers are spread favorites, with the 5-seed Hurricanes to win the game on the moneyline. The point total for Indiana vs. Miami odds is set at .
In this article, we’ll dissect what you need to know before placing a bet on these second round odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.
Indiana vs. Miami Odds
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Hoosiers’ Sizable Edges
After comfortably knocking off Kent State in the Round of 64, Mike Woodson’s team opened as a one-point favorite at some shops. Hence, there’s been some initial movement towards Indiana. It’s for good reason, too, as the First-Team All-American Trayce Jackson-Davis is positioned to string together another domineering performance.
The 6-foot-9, 245-pound point-forward became the first player in NCAA men’s tournament history with 20+ pts, 5+ assists, and 5+ blocks in a single game. More impressively, Jackson-Davis is the first player in the last 25 years to put up that stat line with no fouls against a D-I opponent in any contest.
Enter the Hurricanes. Jim Larrañaga’s squad snuck by Drake, as the Bulldogs scored one point over the final 5:40. Miami’s ball pressure played a significant role, as it forced four turnovers during that span. K-State transfer Nijel Pack, who notched a game-high 21 points, came up with a pair of steals.
Nevertheless, Indiana possesses a trio of advantages. For starters, the Hoosiers have manufactured the seventh-highest PPP — among tournament teams — against the press (via a minimum of 100 possessions). If freshman guard Jalen Hood-Schifino & Co. have success against it like they did against Kent State, it negates one of the Hurricanes’ greatest defensive strengths. Keep in mind, Miami ranks No. 114 in adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom).
Moreover, Larrañaga’s post-up defense ranks bottom-60 across D-I (via ShotQuality). Overall, it allows the 82nd-highest 2-point scoring rate. Led by Jackson-Davis and even veteran forward Race Thompson, Indiana’s lengthier frontcourt has a second opportunity to deliver in the Big Dance.
On the flip side, the Hoosiers yield the third-lowest transition rate in regards to programs in the dance. Considering Pack and his teammates utilize their fast-break offense at a top-20 frequency, that’s certainly a concern — despite their hyper-efficient attack.
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Indiana Sports Betting Promos
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