Illinois Vs. Ohio State College Basketball Betting Odds & Predictions: Big 10 Showdown Tuesday
Ten top-25 teams are playing on Tuesday’s college basketball odds board, including No. 10 Illinois (15-5, 6-3) vs. Ohio State (13-6, 3-5). Illinois is lined as a favorite in Columbus. The Buckeyes are underdogs to win outright. The Over/Under is set at . Let’s dig into my Ohio State bets and matchup predictions, and be sure to browse the best college basketball promos before betting to make sure you’re maximizing your chances of winning.
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POTENTIAL ILLINOIS VS. OHIO STATE BETS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, TOTAL
From a situational standpoint, OSU is catching Illinois at a good time. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a scare to lowly Indiana on Saturday, where they trailed 49-42 in the second half before emerging victorious. The most concerning part was that Indiana was able to hang around without freshman big man Kelel Ware (foot). Ultimately, the Hoosier’s inability to shoot came back to bite them, as they went 0-9 from deep.
Neutralizing Transition Buckets
While Illinois hasn’t been spectacular this year on the defensive end, they have Terrance Shannon Jr. back, a catalyst for taking the ball away and leaking out for transition points. When they do force takeaways, they’re one of the more efficient teams in the country in transition (per ShotQuality). That said, Ohio State does an excellent job at limiting turnovers. Led by Bruce Thornton at the point, the Buckeyes cough it up only 10.6 times per game, the fourth-lowest mark in the Big Ten. As a result, OSU ranks 6th best in the nation at limiting quick points off breakaway steals (per Haslametrics).
Illinois recently scuffled in Evanston when they turned over Chris Collinsworth’s Wildcats five times last week. If the Buckeyes can handle the rock and limit Illinois’ transition edge, they could give the Illini a scare in Columbus.
Can Buckeyes Light It Up From Deep?
Chris Holtmann’s squad is due for some positive regression from deep, as they’re shooting a mere 31.7% clip from the perimeter in conference play, fifth worst in the Big Ten. That said, four of their seven games in conference play have come on the road, and the Buckeyes are the fifth-youngest team in the conference. Their perimeter shooting, as you can expect with a young team, has taken a significant dip on the road, as they’ve shot a dreadful 23.9% from deep. The main culprit here was sophomore Roddy Gayle, who recently snapped out of an 0-for-17 cold stretch from the perimeter.
While Illinois’ perimeter defense has been good this season, it’s become a weakness in league play, as they yield a 35.5% clip to Big Ten foes. Enter Jamison Battle. Battle has been the one bright spot for OSU offensively, shooting a blistering 44% from downtown on the season. Should that continue, and maybe Thornton and Gayle see postive regression, the Buckeyes should be able to keep this one tight.
Limit Extra Possessions
Unlike Illinois’ last opponent, Indiana, the Buckeyes are one of the best teams in the conference on the defensive glass, thanks to sophomore Felix Okpara. Should he avoid foul trouble, his 7-foot-3 wingspan could keep the Illini off the glass, therefore limiting second-chance opportunities.
Utilize Power Ratings
Haslametrics projects a final score of 76.12-72.44, favoring the Illini on the road. Erik Haslam owns and operates the analytics site and will return to the Outside Shots podcast in March.
Join TheLines.com’s Stephen Andress and Eli Hershkovich Friday as they break down this weekend’s slate on the latest episode of Outside Shots on YouTube.
The market is fairly low on Ohio State after failing to cover five of their last six games. However, Holtmann’s unit did have leads over Indiana and Michigan before coughing them up and losing in the second half. With young groups like this, growing pains like that are to be expected, especially on the road.
Remember that when OSU was reeling last season and lost nine in a row, they darted out to a 41-29 halftime lead at home against Illinois and never looked back. I will ride with the young Buckeyes to rebound at home.
The best available line is currently Buckeyes .
Best of luck betting on Illinois vs. Ohio State odds tonight!
COLLEGE PLAYER PROPS: OHIO STATE VS. ILLINOIS
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