Illinois Vs Chattanooga: NCAA Tournament First Round Betting Lines, Odds And Trends – March 18, 2022

Written By Ryan Minion on March 16, 2022

The No. 4 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (22-9) and the No. 13 seed Chattanooga Mocs (27-7) will meet on Friday at 6:50 PM in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Keep reading to find betting insights and statistics to help place a wager on the Fighting Illini’s (-300 to win on the moneyline) matchup against the Mocs (+240).

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Illinois vs Chattanooga Betting Odds

Illinois vs Chattanooga Betting Analysis

Given Illinois’ low frequency in attacking the rim, ranking outside the top 300 in that metric, a great majority of their offensive production needs to come from getting high-quality shots from beyond the arc. Given the Illini’s Rim & 3 Rate of 81%, which further measures the percentage of possessions that result in a 3-pointer or a shot at the rim, it is evident that in order to adequately produce on the offensive end, Illinois must continue to shoot a high percentage from three-point range. The Fighting Illini rank in the top 30 in the country in shot efficiency from beyond the three-point line.

For Chattanooga, it must maintain efficiency when in transition, a metric to which the No. 13-seeded Mocs ranked top 25 in the country this season. Given that Chattanooga has a top 100 Rim & 3 Rate in the country at 84%, they must continue to find open looks from beyond the three-point line and when attacking the basket.

Although the fourth-seeded Illini have had a significant efficient shot-making ability throughout this season, the market may still be drastically overrating Illinois to the extent of which the No. 13-seeded Mocs have significant betting value to cover as a 7.5-point underdog, and potentially win the game outright to move onto the second round.

Illinois Offense Vs. Chattanooga Defense

Illinois Offense Stats (Rank) Chattanooga Defense
75.8 (52) Points/Gm 64.7 (42)
67.0 (236) Possessions/Game 66.1 (54)
45.3 (104) Field Goal % 42.3 (127)
36.7 (45) 3PT % 30.1 (27)
53.1 (61) Effective FG % 48.4 (124)
56.4 (66) True Shooting % 51.1 (106)

Chattanooga Offense Vs. Illinois Defense

Chattanooga Offense Stats (Rank) Illinois Defense
74.8 (75) Points/Gm 67.6 (135)
65.3 (303) Possessions/Game 68.4 (160)
46.9 (40) Field Goal % 41.5 (79)
34.6 (128) 3PT % 32.1 (100)
53.7 (44) Effective FG % 46.2 (32)
57.1 (45) True Shooting % 50.1 (60)

Illinois Betting Insights

  • Illinois has covered 13 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
  • The Fighting Illini are 6-8 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • So far this season, 17 out of Illinois’ 31 games have hit the over.
  • Illinois’ 31 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 135.5 points 20 times.
  • The average point total in Fighting Illini contests this year is 141.6, 6.1 more than this matchup’s over/under.

Chattanooga Betting Insights

  • Chattanooga has covered 17 times in 33 games with a spread this season.
  • The Mocs have been an underdog by 7 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Chattanooga and its opponents have combined to go over the point total 18 out of 33 times this year.
  • Chattanooga has played 21 games this season that have gone over 135.5 combined points scored.
  • The Mocs have a 138.8-point average over/under in their contests this season, 3.3 more points than this game’s point total.
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Illinois Key Players

  • Kofi Cockburn leads the Fighting Illini in points and rebounds. He puts up 21.1 points per game while also adding 10.6 rebounds.
  • Trent Frazier paces the squad with 4.1 assists per game.
  • Alfonso Plummer knocks down 3.0 treys per game to lead the Fighting Illini.
  • Illinois’ blocks leader is Cockburn, who collects 0.9 per game. Frazier leads the team averaging 1.3 steals a game.

Chattanooga Key Players

  • The Mocs go-to guy, Malachi Smith, leads the team in both scoring (20.1 points per game) and assists (3.1 assists per game).
  • Silvio De Sousa’s 7.0 rebounds per game paces Chattanooga’s rebounding effort. He also adds 11.1 points per game.
  • David Jean-Baptiste is tops from three-point range for the Mocs, knocking down 2.8 treys per game.
  • Nobody on Chattanooga grabs more steals than Smith (1.7 per game) or blocks more shots than De Sousa (1.1 per game).

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