Houston vs Oregon State March Madness Odds — Elite 8 2021

Posted By Staff on March 29, 2021

The No. 2 seed Houston Cougars (24-3) and No. 12 seed Oregon State Beavers (17-12) will both be vying for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four when they meet on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium, starting at 7:15 PM ET, airing on CBS. Houston is more likely to win the final game of the Midwest Region bracket with bookmakers installing the Cougars as  favorites.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 29, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Houston vs. Oregon State Game Preview

At this point, throw out the season-long statistical issues on the 12th-seeded Beavers. Most of those were on the defensive end, but Oregon State has completely transformed in its quest to become the lowest seed to ever reach the Final Four.

On the season, Oregon State allows opponents to shoot 51 percent on two-point field goal attempts, just 238th in the country. In the tournament, the Beavers’ opponents are only shooting 37.5 percent from two. Plus, their already very good three-point percentage defense (ranked 23rd) has become elite in March. Overall, Oregon State holds opponents to 30.4 percent from beyond the arc, but that number is down to 23 percent in the NCAA Tournament.

Stopping the favorites once is one thing, but this may come down to stopping Houston twice. The Cougars are difficult to beat due in large part to elite offensive rebounding. The Cougars rank second in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage. The Beavers sit outside the top 200 in Division I in preventing them.

The menacing matchup continues when Houston is on defense. The AAC champions rank top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom), effective field goal percentage, two-point percentage defense, three-point percentage defense and block percentage. Perhaps, all of this is an indication why the total is only .

Houston Betting Information

  • Houston is over .500 against the spread this season with a record of 20-8.
  • When favored by at least 7.5 points, the Cougars are 17-7 against the spread this season.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the set over/under in 14 of 28 games this season (50%).
  • The Cougars knocked off Syracuse 62-46 and covered the spread as 6.5-point favorites, while falling short of the 139.5 point total in their last outing on Saturday. Quentin Grimes totaled a team-high 14 points in the victory.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Houston Players to Watch

Quentin Grimes 28 18.0 6.0 1.9 1.4 0.3 3.4
Marcus Sasser 27 13.3 2.5 2.3 1.4 0.0 2.5
Dejon Jarreau 29 10.8 5.4 4.3 1.3 0.5 1.0
Justin Gorham 29 8.6 8.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.6
Tramon Mark 30 8.2 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.6
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Oregon State Betting Information

  • With a 21-9-1 record ATS this season, the Beavers have topped expectations.
  • For the fifth time this season, the Beavers are at least a 7.5-point underdog, where they have a record of 1-3 against the spread.
  • 41.9% of Oregon State’s 31 games this season have fell below the over/under.
  • The Beavers took down Loyola Chicago 65-58 in their last outing on Saturday. Ethan Thompson totaled a team-high 22 points to lead the team to victory. They covered the spread as 7-point underdogs, and the teams combined to fall short of the 125.5 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Oregon State Players to Watch

Ethan Thompson 32 15.8 3.9 3.8 1.2 0.4 1.5
Jarod Lucas 32 12.9 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.3
Abdul Alatishe 32 9.6 8.7 1.8 1.2 1.4 0.0
Zach Reichle 32 7.4 3.1 2.8 0.6 0.1 1.1
Roman Silva 30 5.7 2.9 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.0

Total Facts

  • In Houston’s matchups this season, the Cougars and their opponents have exceeded Monday’s total of 129 points 21 times (70% of opportunities).
  • In 75% of Oregon State’s games this season (24 of 32), the total points scored was higher than Monday’s 129-point over/under.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 147.7 points per game, 18.7 points more than the total of 129 for this contest.
  • This game’s over/under is 3.8 more points than the 125.2 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
  • On average, the Cougars have seen a 134.4 over/under in their games this season, 5.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 9.4 points fewer than the average over/under in Beavers games this season (138.4 points).

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