Home Run Bets: Mo’s FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promos & Picks For July 30

, , ,
Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
home run bets

FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday promo is back. Plus, a new and very strong home run props promo at DraftKings Sportsbook. Baseball fans can scoop up bonus bets while sweating home run wagers every Tuesday throughout the season. Here, we’ll go over possible home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on July 30, evaluating some of the options. Keep in mind these evaluations can be applied to fantasy sports picks in addition to MLB odds.

Vlad Guerrero Jr. came through for us last week, although that was about the only highlight. I picked the wrong Red Sox right-hander as Tyler O’Neill went yard twice while Connor Wong failed to do so. This week’s slate has plenty of aces, but we’ll see if we can track down any sources of deep flies.

Check out the latest FanDuel Sportsbook Promo Code below to get a new-user offer for today’s Dinger Tuesday slate.

New Players Get up to $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook
1
Bet $5
Get $150
In Bonus Bets
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now

FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

For those unfamiliar, we’ll provide a quick refresher on this popular FanDuel promo.

The premise is simple: bet $25 or more on any player’s “To Hit a Home Run” market on FanDuel. Regardless of the bet’s outcome, FanDuel will award your account with a $5 bonus bet for each home run hit in that game by either team. Players must opt-in, and bonus bets expire after seven days.

DraftKings Homerfest Promo

DraftKings Sportsbook is looking to get in the home run bet promo mix. They’ve added a Homerfest promo.

It’s similar to Dinger Tuesday, except it applies to all home runs hit today. Opt-in, then make a qualifying home run bet ($20 or more, odds of +100 or longer). You’ll earn $1 in bonus bets for every home run hit on Tuesday.

Promo value may vary by customer. Read all promotional terms and conditions before opting in and wagering.

Mo’s Favorite Home Run Bets For Dinger Tuesday, Homerfest (July 30)

Below are my top three options for Dinger Tuesday on July 30, highlighting a few options that might make sense as home run bets.

Yankees At Phillies

Monday gave a glimpse of what these offenses can do. Despite two above-average arms on the mound, the Yankees and Phillies combined to launch seven dingers, including six from the Bronx Bombers. Aaron Judge and new acquisition Jazz Chisholm each went deep twice, albeit with the latter padding his stats against a position player in the whitewash.

New York ranks second in homers, while Philly sits sixth. Both teams rank in the top seven in SLG. Power aplenty will be in play here.

Of course, the pitchers will have something to say about things as well. Aaron Nola is a good pitcher, but he has bitten by the deep fly at times recently as well, as evidenced by his 1.49 HR/9 last year.

And Gerrit Cole seems to be struggling to find his footing in his return from injury. With his velocity understandably down, Cole has served up an incredible 2.31 HR/9 across seven starts. His peripherals across the board are the worst of his career.

Possible home run bet: Bryce Harper (). Lefties get the biggest boost in Yankee Stadium, and I prefer targeting Cole until we see some signs that he’s back on track. Kyle Schwarber has been on fire, but his payout is about half that of Harper.

Rockies At Angels

Two uninspiring offenses go to battle here. Neither of these pitchers is anything to write home about.

Griffin Canning is coming off one of his better starts this year, but he’s still rocking a 5.04 ERA and a 1.63 HR/9, his third straight season of an elevated HR rate. His Statcast page is a sea of blue, with a Hard% in the 30th percentile.

Cal Quantrill has been better at controlling the long ball. However, he’s still a middling arm backed by a very poor bullpen.

In fact, neither of these bullpens can be counted on to get anyone out either, particularly after the Angels traded away Carlos Estevez. The Rockies also dealt arguably their top two relievers, although that isn’t saying much on this team.

A 9 mph outfield wind will also help the hitters here, particularly in the seventh-best park for homers.

Possible home run bet: Brenton Doyle () is on fire amidst a season where he appears to have made some legitimate leaps in his plate skills, cutting his K% and bumping up his BB%. He’s slugging .476 and Statcast says it’s legitimate, so we’ll try the young fly chaser.

Mariners At Red Sox

These teams also put on an offensive show on Monday, smashing five dingers and 10 doubles, eight of which popped off of Boston bats. Today’s total is one of the highest of the day, with the wind howling out at 15 mph, so we could see more fireworks in Beantown.

One of the reasons for the elevated total is probably the reappearance of James Paxton in Boston. Designated for assignment by the Dodgers, Boston opted to reunite with the Canadian hurler, but the warning signs are tough to ignore here. He hasn’t regained last year’s fastball velocity and remains around 93 mph. Managing contact has not been a strong suit this year, with Statcast tagging him with a 4.87 xERA.

Even the Mariners’ stinky offense has a chance to smash some dingers here.

Luis Castillo has obviously been much better, but he still has a 31st-percentile Hard%. Batters have squared him up. And this Boston offense is on fire. They’re up to ninth overall and third over the past month.

Possible home run bet: New arrival Randy Arozarena () has a whopping 157 wRC+ against lefties. He’ll have a prime spot in the order and looks like a good candidate to feast on Paxton’s below-average stuff.

General Home Run Bets Strategies For Dinger Tuesdays, Homerfests

Several factors will help point the way to games that may see higher home-run totals.

For one, look for ballparks with an above-average rate of home runs hit. Statcast’s park factors can help. The linked table is also sortable by handedness via the filters. So, if you’re targeting a particularly lefty or righty-heavy lineup, sort by the home-fun factor for that handedness to get an even better idea of the home-run potential.

Targeting higher game totals will help as well. Look for games with over/unders, preferably more than 8, at least.

While home runs allowed can be a volatile stat, we can also look at pitcher home-run rates. Some pitchers have a true talent for suppressing or allowing more homers than average. Maybe they give up too many fly balls, which can lead to more home runs. Or opposing hitters barrel their pitches at a higher-than-normal rate due to poor command or fastball shape.

Finally, check the weather. Outfield winds and high temperatures can lead to balls flying further than normal. This means a higher chance of home runs. Conversely, of course, cold weather and infield winds will kill the flight of fly balls.

Photo by Associated Press

RELATED ARTICLES