Home Run Bets: Mo’s FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promos & Picks For April 23

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
home run bets

FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday promo is back. Baseball fans can scoop up bonus bets while sweating home run wagers every Tuesday throughout the season. Here, we’ll go over possible home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on April 23, evaluating some of the options. Keep in mind these evaluations can be applied to fantasy sports picks in addition to MLB odds.

We missed for the second straight week last week as Marcell Ozuna opted to take a break from hitting dingers at an inopportune time. Certainly, the Yankees/Jays tilt proved a bust as nobody was finding extra bases. This week, there should be a bit more power on display as some strong offenses are playing in what should be high-offense environments. A few games feature powerful outfield winds.

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FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

For those unfamiliar, we’ll provide a quick refresher on this popular FanDuel promo.

The premise is simple: bet $25 or more on any player’s “To Hit a Home Run” market on FanDuel. Regardless of the bet’s outcome, FanDuel will award your account with a $5 bonus bet for each home run hit in that game by either team. Players must opt-in, and bonus bets expire after seven days.

Top Home Run Bets For Dinger Tuesday On April 23

Below are my top three options for Dinger Tuesday on April 23, highlighting a few options that might make sense as home run bets.

Dodgers At Nationals

I tried recommending a Corbin fade last week, but the Dodgers were unable to connect for consistent power off the lefty. Funnily enough, they’re right back to face him again, this time in Washington.

While the move represents a downgrade in home-run potential thanks to the park factor, it’s not as big as one might expect. Though not the caliber homer haven of Dodgers Stadium, Nationals Park still has a 108 park factor there, ranking 10th.

I already detailed Corbin’s persistent issues with the long ball. We’ll see if the Dodgers’ 10-run blitzing of the Mets shook them out of their slump.

James Paxton is struggling with poor fastball velocity so far. And though he was excellent at limiting bombs early in his career, it’s become a more pronounced problem as he’s aged. Last year, he got hammered for a decidedly not-nice 1.69 HR/9 while allowing barrels at a higher-than-average rate.

And while they’ve started slow in this department, the Nationals hit left-handed pitching better than right-handed pitching last year.

Possible home run bet: We’ll try lefty-killer Teoscar Hernandez () again. He’s slugging .530 in the early going against southpaws while running a career .557 number in that department.

Astros At Cubs

We all know what tends to happen when the wind starts howling out at Wrigley. Totals start to resemble Coors games and balls start flying over the fence. The early forecast features a 16 mph outfield wind, but watch out for possible rain here. Be sure the game has a good chance of happening before locking in your home run bets here.

In any case, keep an eye on the winds as well, because if the forecast changes, this gets less attractive. While there’s certainly plenty of power in these lineups — both teams have top-10 offenses and top-seven slugging marks — neither pitcher is particularly homer-prone.

The bullpens, however, may help drive up the homer totals. Both units have been serving up meat to the opposition. The Astros have the highest Hard Hit% allowed, while the Cubs sit sixth. Cubs reliever Adbert Alzolay just lost his job thanks to allowing four homers in his first 11 appearances.

Possible home run bet: Yordan Alvarez (). Who else? Despite persistent attempts to platoon against him in late innings, Alvarez’s left-on-left numbers are nearly indistinguishable from his left-on-right ones. The man is just an elite hitter, regardless of situation or opponent. A .573 career SLG against lefties establishes how dangerous he is even without the platoon advantage.

Orioles At Angels

Good luck finding many pitchers who can keep their jobs as long as Griffin Canning while allowing the homers he’s allowed. Usually, a 1.6 HR/9 is a ticket to a job in the bullpen if a guy is lucky, but Canning does enough in other aspects that he remains a league-average arm.

Of course, we’re only concerned about home runs here, and Canning’s getting tagged for a staggering 2.37 HR/9 so far. The situation doesn’t figure to improve facing the powerful Orioles, top two in ISO, SLG, and wRC+. They feature home run threats up and down the lineup.

And while Angel Stadium has a reputation as a pitcher’s park, it actually ranks fifth in home-run factor.

Grayson Rodriguez represents a less attractive fade. He’s been dominant since returning to the big league in the latter half of 2023. But he still has to deal with some boppers like the scorching Mike Trout and Miguel Sano, with the aforementioned park factor aiding them.

Possible home run bet: Colton Cowser (). One of the less-heralded rooks in a cadre of young Os sluggers, Cowser has been swinging for the fences. His 31.2% strikeout rate makes his 240 wRC+ quite unsustainable, but we don’t mind whiffs in pursuit of bombs. As his .416 xwOBA can attest, Cowser is making the most of the instances in which he connects.

General Home Run Bets Strategies For Dinger Tuesdays

Several factors will help point the way to games that may see higher home-run totals.

For one, look for ballparks with an above-average rate of home runs hit. Statcast’s park factors can help. The linked table is also sortable by handedness via the filters. So, if you’re targeting a particularly lefty or righty-heavy lineup, sort by the home-fun factor for that handedness to get an even better idea of the home-run potential.

Targeting higher game totals will help as well. Look for games with over/unders, preferably more than 8, at least.

While home runs allowed can be a volatile stat, we can also look at pitcher home-run rates. Some pitchers have a true talent for suppressing or allowing more homers than average. Maybe they give up too many fly balls, which can lead to more home runs. Or opposing hitters barrel their pitches at a higher-than-normal rate due to poor command or fastball shape.

Finally, check the weather. Outfield winds and high temperatures can lead to balls flying further than normal. This means a higher chance of home runs. Conversely, of course, cold weather and infield winds will kill the flight of fly balls.

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