Home Run Bets: Mo’s Aug. 20 Picks For FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday promo is back. In response, rivals at DraftKings Sportsbook have offered their own very strong home run prop. Baseball fans can scoop up bonus bets while sweating home run wagers every Tuesday throughout the season. Here, we’ll go over possible home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on Aug. 20, evaluating some of the options. Keep in mind these evaluations can be applied to fantasy sports picks in addition to MLB odds.

Be sure to check out the newest hot baseball promo as well, from bet365 Sportsbook. Bet365 is offering $25 in bonus bets for customers who wager $50 or more on MLB Tuesdays as part of the Big League Tuesdays Promo. Customers who bet between $20 and $49.99 will get $10 in bonus bets.

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Mo’s Favorite Home Run Bets For Dinger Tuesday (Aug. 20)

Juan Soto came through for us last week. It wasn’t the most exciting pick, but the slugger not only cashed the homer prop, he swatted two more to add to the Dinger Tuesday winnings for anyone who tabbed him as their pick. We’ll see if we can make it two straight today. There certainly appear to be several potential sources of offense.

Below are my top three options for Dinger Tuesday on Aug. 20, highlighting a few options that might make sense as home run bets. Check out the latest FanDuel Sportsbook Promo Code below to get a new-user offer for today’s Dinger Tuesday slate.

Orioles At Mets

Two of the most powerful teams in MLB meet here. Nobody has hit more home runs than Baltimore, and the Mets rank fifth in dingers.

Neither pitcher has been very good at limiting the long ball. Dean Kremer has always had issues there and has been north of 1.4 HR/9 each of the past two seasons. Speaking of that mark, that’s exactly where Jose Quintana sits. When you throw a 91 mph fastball, the occasional dinger is just something that comes with the territory.

Neither of these bullpens is anything to write home about either.

Let’s just hope the 13 mph wind in the forecast, currently projected to blow across the field, doesn’t rotate toward home plate. That could seriously dampen the power output, so double-check this game closer to first pitch prior to locking in your home run bets.

Possible home run bet: This ballpark is a bit friendlier to right-handed power, I’d rather target Quintana here. Adley Rutschman has a 172 wRC+ hitting from the right side this year (.554 SLG) and a 137 mark for his career there. We’ll try his home run bet prop (Over +650 on Bet365).

Red Sox At Astros

Both teams rank in the top seven in wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Power hasn’t been in short supply either, with Boston ranked seventh in home runs against righties and Houston at 10th.

Furthermore, Boston finally has something close to its healthy lineup. Jarren Duran returned from suspension, Tyler O’Neill came off the IL, and Triston Casas did likewise after missing months with an injury.

One can’t say the same for Houston, although Alex Bregman’s status remains up in the air. If he plays, that would also boost this game’s power profile slightly.

Boston starter Nick Pivetta is also a magnet for home runs. That’s really been the only thing holding him back from elite status, as his peripherals are mostly sparkling. But when he leaves a pitch in a hittable location, it tends to get crushed. He’s at a whopping 1.88 HR/9 this year with a 1.54 career mark.

Ronel Blanco has been a bit better (1.28 HR/9), but his weak fastball (83 Stf+) leaves him vulnerable when he misses as well.

Minute Maid Park has also been a homer haven this year with a 117 park factor.

Possible home run bet: Lefties have always given Pivetta trouble. Yordan Alvarez (Over +260 on Consensus) should get something to swing at, given Pivetta’s low walk rate, and we get to target the Boston pen there as well. It’s been shaky (fifth-worst ERA).

Twins At Padres

Oddly enough, Petco has been the top home run park in MLB this year (126 park factor), showcasing some of the volatility of one-season numbers in that stat. Regardless, the ball is flying out in San Diego this year, and perhaps that continues.

Martin Perez still has his exemplary command, but his stuff has deteriorated. When he makes a mistake, it usually gets smacked. See his 1.51 HR/9 and 5.44 xERA for evidence.

And while Bailey Ober has been very good, he’s still quite fly-prone (33.4 GB%). That leaves him vulnerable in homer-friendly environments and against high-power teams.

San Diego certainly qualifies. Only the Yankees and Orioles have hit right-handed pitching harder (116 wRC+). San Diego ranks sixth in slugging in that split.

Minnesota’s offense is solid as well, even if they’re missing a couple of boppers in Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa.

Possible home run bet: Petco favors right-handed batters. Royce Lewis (Over +420 on Consensus) is probably about as likely to get hurt as he is to hit a home run, but we only care about the upside scenarios here.

FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

For those unfamiliar, we’ll provide a quick refresher on this popular FanDuel promo.

The premise is simple: bet $25 or more on any player’s “To Hit a Home Run” market on FanDuel. Regardless of the bet’s outcome, FanDuel will award your account with a $5 bonus bet for each home run hit in that game by either team. Players must opt-in, and bonus bets expire after seven days.

DraftKings Homerfest Promo

DraftKings Sportsbook is looking to get in the home run bet promo mix. They’ve added a Homerfest promo.

It’s similar to Dinger Tuesday, except it applies to all home runs hit today. Opt-in, then make a qualifying home run bet ($20 or more, odds of +100 or longer). You’ll earn $1 in bonus bets for every home run hit on Tuesday.

Promo value may vary by customer. Read all promotional terms and conditions before opting in and wagering.

General Home Run Bets Strategies For Dinger Tuesdays, Homerfests

Several factors will help point the way to games that may see higher home-run totals.

For one, look for ballparks with an above-average rate of home runs hit. Statcast’s park factors can help. The linked table is also sortable by handedness via the filters. So, if you’re targeting a particularly lefty or righty-heavy lineup, sort by the home-fun factor for that handedness to get an even better idea of the home-run potential.

Targeting higher game totals will help as well. Look for games with over/unders, preferably more than 8, at least.

While home runs allowed can be a volatile stat, we can also look at pitcher home-run rates. Some pitchers have a true talent for suppressing or allowing more homers than average. Maybe they give up too many fly balls, which can lead to more home runs. Or opposing hitters barrel their pitches at a higher-than-normal rate due to poor command or fastball shape.

Finally, check the weather. Outfield winds and high temperatures can lead to balls flying further than normal. This means a higher chance of home runs. Conversely, of course, cold weather and infield winds will kill the flight of fly balls.

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