Home Run Bets: Mo’s Aug. 13 Picks For FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday and an enticing home run props promo at DraftKings Sportsbook are back. Baseball fans can scoop up bonus bets while sweating home run wagers every Tuesday throughout the season. Here, we’ll assess possible home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on Aug. 13, evaluating some options. These evaluations can also be applied to fantasy sports picks.

For the second straight week, I came up empty to open August. Hopefully, we can get back on track with home run bets here. A few aces will be on the mound, such as Tarik Skubal and George Kirby. But, consistent with usual late-season baseball, some pop-up arms don’t figure to be mainstays in their teams’ rotations, taking spot starts.

Check out the latest FanDuel Sportsbook Promo Code below to get a new-user offer for today’s Dinger Tuesday slate.

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Mo’s Favorite Home Run Bets For Dinger Tuesday, Homerfest (Aug. 13)

Below are my top three options for Dinger Tuesday on Aug. 13, highlighting a few options that might make sense as home run bets.

Marlins At Phillies

Taijuan Walker makes his return from the IL today, and to say his season has gone poorly would be understating things. Frankly, he looks done as an MLB starter, with ERA estimators at replacement level basically across the board.

Walker has not regained his old fastball velocity, and his Statcast page sports an eye-watering amount of blue. He ranks in the first percentile in both hard-hit rate and barrel rate.

Even the Marlins’ pathetic lineup will have a chance to score some runs. It’s been on fire by Marlins standards. Over the past month, Miami ranks No. 13 in wRC+ and ninth in home runs.

Meanwhile, Marlins starter Valente Bellozo was an unknown coming into this season. He’s been shockingly decent, but I don’t see how that continues. He has the volatile combination of a 48.3 HardHit% and an extreme fly ball lean. Sure, he isn’t putting a lot of guys on base so that they might be solo shots, but I think he will eventually get tattooed by the long ball.

Add in the fourth-best park for homers, and this looks like an exciting spot for dingers.

Possible home run bet: I want to preface this by saying I haven’t gotten a Phillie right all season, I don’t think. But I’ll try Trea Turner (Over +320 on DraftKings). I can’t fault someone for taking a Marlin here either, but targeting a Marlins bullpen gutted by trades is just too attractive to me.

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Rangers At Red Sox

This has the highest total on the board today.

Jose Urena is a big reason why. At 900 innings of replacement-level play, it’s utterly baffling that teams keep giving him MLB starts instead of throwing out some random minor leaguer to see if anything positive happens. He isn’t the best option for a dinger target because he does a decent job of keeping the ball on the ground, but I don’t imagine a long start is in the cards here anyway.

Plus, the Texas ‘pen has been a bust all season.

Unfortunately, the Red Sox lineup has been defanged a bit with the losses of Jarren Duran (suspension) and Tyler O’Neill (injury).

I’m a big Kutter Crawford fan. The market didn’t seem to catch on that he was a solid pitcher last year, so he made me some money. However, there’s no denying that the deep fly has been his weak point, especially this year (1.83 HR/9). That may be an inescapable part of his style since he has a strong fly ball lean and has allowed an above-average barrel rate this year.

Possible home run bet: I’m going to get weird here and try Josh Smith (). He has an extreme pull profile, where all his home runs are basically down the right-field line. That’s an ideal fit for Fenway Park’s short porch there.

Yankees At White Sox

There were a few more good options, but I landed on this one to finish this week’s picks. I don’t hate targeting the Dodgers vs. Brewers game or even the A’s vs. Mets if you want to get creative.

We all know what the Yankees can do on offense. They’ve broken out of their slump and begun crushing the ball again, and Jonathan Cannon isn’t an imposing pitcher to face. He isn’t terrible either, but he’s backed by arguably the worst bullpen in baseball. The Bronx Bombers should get back to their slugging ways tonight.

The question is, can the White Sox contribute anything here? The offense came to life on Monday night, but this is, by and large, the worst-hitting team in the game.

Nestor Cortes is on his second straight campaign of below-average play in the dinger prevention department. He gave up 1.56 HR/9 last year and hasn’t been much better this year at 1.41. If the White Sox come to play again, they should see some pitches they can smash.

Possible home run bet: I’ll go the chalk route here since I got creative on the last one. Cannon has allowed a .486 SLG to lefties, albeit in a small sample. He also hasn’t walked many guys, so Juan Soto (Over +280 on DraftKings) should be taking the bat off his shoulder as he sees some in-zone offerings to swing at.

FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

For those unfamiliar, we’ll provide a quick refresher on this popular FanDuel promo.

The premise is simple: bet $25 or more on any player’s “To Hit a Home Run” market on FanDuel. Regardless of the bet’s outcome, FanDuel will award your account a $5 bonus bet by either team for each home run hit in that game. Players must opt-in, and bonus bets expire after seven days.

DraftKings Homerfest Promo

DraftKings Sportsbook is looking to get in the home run bet promo mix. They’ve added a Homerfest promo.

It’s similar to Dinger Tuesday, except it applies to all home runs hit today. Opt in, then make a qualifying home run bet ($20 or more, odds of +100 or longer). You’ll earn $1 in bonus bets for every home run hit on Tuesday.

Promo value may vary by customer. Read all promotional terms and conditions before opting in and wagering.

General Home Run Bets Strategies For Dinger Tuesdays, Homerfests

Several factors will help point the way to games that may see higher home-run totals.

For one, look for ballparks with an above-average rate of home runs hit. Statcast’s park factors can help. The linked table is also sortable by handedness via the filters. So, if you’re targeting a particularly lefty or righty-heavy lineup, sort by the home-fun factor for that handedness to get an even better idea of the home-run potential.

Targeting higher game totals will also help. Look for games with an over/under of at least eight.

While home runs allowed can be volatile, we can also look at pitcher home-run rates. Some pitchers have a true talent for suppressing or allowing more homers than average. Maybe they give up too many fly balls, which can lead to more home runs. Or opposing hitters barrel their pitches at a higher-than-normal rate due to poor command or fastball shape.

Finally, check the weather. Outfield winds and high temperatures can lead to balls flying further than normal. This means a higher chance of home runs. Conversely, of course, cold weather and infield winds will kill the flight of fly balls.

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