Heat vs Warriors: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – April 1, 2021

Written By Staff on April 1, 2021

The Miami Heat (24-24) host the Golden State Warriors (23-24) after losing four home games in a row. The Heat are favored by  in the matchup, which begins at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, April 1. The matchup has an over/under set at points.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of April 1, 2021, 12:40 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Warriors Betting Odds

Heat vs Warriors Props

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Injury Report as of April 1

KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Udonis Haslem: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Kendrick Nunn: Out (Ankle),
Victor Oladipo: Out (Illnes)

Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Eric Paschall: Day To Day (Wrist)

Heat and Warriors Records ATS

  • Miami has covered the spread in less than half its games this season, playing to a record of 20-28 against the spread.
  • The Heat have a losing record against the spread when favored by at least 2 points, going 11-16 this season.
  • Only 21 of 48 Miami games this season (43.8%) resulted in a total greater than the contest’s over/under.
  • Golden State has a 22-25 record against the spread this season.
  • For the 15th time this season, the Warriors are at least a 2-point underdog, where they have a record of 8-6 against the spread.
  • 40.4% of Golden State’s 47 games this season have gone over the over/under.

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Head to Head

Kent Bazemore scored a team-high 26 points to lead the Warriors past Bam Adebayo (24 points) and the Heat 120-112 in their last matchup on February 17, 2021. The Warriors were favored by 1.5 points in the game and covered the spread in the win. The teams put up a total of 232 total points to cover the 222.5-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/17/2021 Warriors Warriors -1.5 222.5 -121 101 Regular Season 120-112 GS
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Scoring Trends

  • Miami’s games this season have gone over the point total for Thursday’s matchup total (219.5 points) in 35.4% of opportunities (17 out of 48 matchups).
  • In 57.4% of Golden State’s games this season (27 of 47), the total points scored was higher than Thursday’s 219.5-point over/under.
  • This season the average total for Heat games is 213.2 points, 6.3 fewer than the over/under of 219.5 points for this contest.
  • A difference of 6.7 points separates the average total points bet in Warriors’ games (226.2 points) and this matchup’s over/under (219.5 points).
  • The Heat have an average implied point total of 111.9 this season, which is 0.9 points higher than their implied total in Thursday’s game (111).
  • This season, Miami has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (111) 18 times.
  • The 116.7-point average implied total on the season for the Warriors is 7.7 more points than the team’s 109-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Golden State has scored more than 109 points in 25 games this season.
  • The Heat are the NBA’s 27th-highest scoring team (106 PPG), while the Warriors allow their opponents the 22nd-fewest points per game (113.6) in the league.
  • The Heat have been out-scored by 55 points this season (1.2 points per game on average), and opponents of the Warriors have out-scored them by 42 more points on the year (0.9 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He puts up 21.4 points per game while also adding 7.2 assists.
  • Butler’s assists prop total for the contest is posted at 5.5 assists, 1.7 assists lower than his season average of 7.2.
  • Miami is led in rebounds by Adebayo’s 9.6 per game.
  • Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 34.5, 0.3 higher than his season average of 34.2.
  • The Heat are led by Duncan Robinson from beyond the arc. He connects on 3.4 shots from deep per game.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 3.4.
  • Miami’s blocks leader is Adebayo, who averages 1.2 per game. Butler leads the team averaging 1.9 steals an outing.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Warriors Leaders

  • Draymond Green is number one on the Warriors leaderboard in both rebounds (6.4 per game) and assists (8.5 per game).
  • Green’s rebounding prop total for the contest is set at 8.5 boards, 2.1 rebounds greater than his season average of 6.4.
  • Stephen Curry has outperformed his Golden State teammates in scoring, putting up 29.1 points per game to go with 5.3 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
  • Curry’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 24.5, 4.6 points lower than his season average of 29.1.
  • Curry leads the Warriors in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 4.7 made threes per game.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 1.2 shots lower than his season average of 4.7.
  • Nobody on Golden State grabs more steals than Curry (1.4 per game) or blocks more shots than James Wiseman (1.0 per game).
  • Wiseman’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.5 blocks lower than his season average of 1.0.


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