Heat vs Thunder: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – February 22, 2021

Posted By Staff on February 22, 2021

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Oklahoma City Thunder (12-18) into a matchup against the Miami Heat (13-17) after putting up 31 points in an 117-101 win over the Cavaliers. The Thunder are  underdogs in the matchup on Monday, February 22, which tips off at 9:00 PM ET on FS-OK. The point total is for the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of February 22, 2021, 6:42 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Thunder Betting Odds

Heat vs Thunder Props

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Injury Report as of February 22

Heat:
Tyler Herro: Day To Day (Hip),
Avery Bradley: Out (Calf),
Goran Dragic: Day To Day (Ankle),
Chris Silva: Out (Hip),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder)

Thunder:
Trevor Ariza: Out (Personal),
George Hill: Out (Thumb)

Heat and Thunder Records ATS

  • Miami’s record against the spread is 11-19 this season.
  • The Heat have a losing record against the spread when favored by at least 5 points, going 3-7 this season.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the set total in only 14 of 30 games this season (46.7%).
  • Oklahoma City has outperformed the spread so far this season with a record of 17-12-1.
  • 15 of Oklahoma City’s 30 games (50%) this season have fallen short of the over/under.

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Head to Head

Bam Adebayo (20 points) led the Heat past Gilgeous-Alexander (18 points) and the Thunder 118-90 in their last matchup on January 4, 2021. The Heat were favored by 9 points in the game, and covered the spread. The 208 total points in the matchup fell short of the 214-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/4/2021 Heat Heat -9 214 -470 360 Regular Season 118-90 MIA

Scoring Trends

  • In Miami’s matchups this season, the Heat and their opponents have eclipsed Monday’s over/under of 213.5 points 15 times (50% of opportunities).
  • In 66.7% of Oklahoma City’s games this season (20 of 30), the total points scored was higher than Monday’s 213.5-point over/under.
  • The Heat have seen a 216.8 average over/under in their games this season, 3.3 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 6.4 points separates the average total points bet in Thunder’s games (219.9 points) and this game’s over/under (213.5 points).
  • The average implied total for the Heat this season is 112.9 points, 3.9 more points than their implied total of 109 points in Monday’s game.
  • This season, Miami has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (109) 14 times.
  • The Thunder’s average implied point total on the season (114.1 points) is 10.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (104 points).
  • Oklahoma City has put up more than 104 points in 19 games on the season.
  • The Heat are the NBA’s 27th-highest scoring team (106.8 PPG), while the Thunder allow their opponents the 19th-fewest points per game (112.7) in the league.
  • The Heat have a negative point differential on the season (-93 total points, -3.1 per game), as do the Thunder (-163 total points, -5.5 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • The Heat points and rebounds leader is Adebayo. He puts up 19.6 points per game and pulls down 9.4 rebounds.
  • Adebayo’s points prop total for the game is set at 18.5, 1.1 points less than his season average of 19.6.
  • Jimmy Butler paces the team with 7.6 assists per game.
  • Butler’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 33.5, 1.2 less than his season average of 34.7.
  • Duncan Robinson connects on 3.2 threes per game to lead the Heat.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots greater than his season average of 3.2.
  • Miami’s steals leader is Butler, who collects 1.9 per game. Adebayo leads the team averaging 1.0 block an outing.
  • Butler’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals lower than his season average of 1.9.

Thunder Leaders

  • Gilgeous-Alexander’s excellent performances this season give him the top spot on the Thunder scoring and assists leaderboards with 22.5 points per game and 6.5 assists per game.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 28.5, 5.9 lower than his season average of 34.4.
  • Darius Bazley collects all of the boards and is the Oklahoma City leader in rebounds, grabbing 7.3 per game.
  • Bazley’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 21.5, 0.7 higher than his season average of 20.8.
  • Al Horford is tops from three-point range for the Thunder, knocking down 2.1 threes per game.
  • Horford’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 shots lower than his season average of 2.1.
  • Oklahoma City’s Theo Maledon has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.0 per game and Horford is first in blocks with 0.8 per game.
  • Horford’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 0.8.

Predictions

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