Heat vs Kings: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – February 18, 2021

Posted By Staff on February 18, 2021

The Miami Heat (11-17) bring a three-game slide into a road matchup with the Sacramento Kings (12-15), who have lost four straight. The Kings are underdogs by  in the contest, which starts at 10:00 PM ET (on SUN) on Thursday, February 18. The matchup’s over/under is .

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of February 18, 2021, 12:25 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Kings Betting Odds

Heat vs Kings Props

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Injury Report as of February 18

Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Avery Bradley: Out (Calf),
Goran Dragic: Out (Ankle),
Chris Silva: Out (Hip),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder)

Chimezie Metu: Out (Wrist)

Heat and Kings Records ATS

  • Miami’s record against the spread is 9-18-1 this season.
  • The Heat are 5-11-1 against the spread this season when they are at least a 1.5-point favorite.
  • Only 13 of 28 Miami games this season (46.4%) resulted in a total greater than the contest’s over/under.
  • Sacramento has a 13-14 record ATS this season.
  • The Kings only hold a 1-5 record against the spread this season when they play as at least a 1.5-point underdog.
  • 17 of Sacramento’s 27 games (63%) this season have gone over the over/under.

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Head to Head

The Heat got a team-high 30 points out of Jimmy Butler on the way to a 105-104 win against De’Aaron Fox (30 points) and the Kings in their last matchup on January 30, 2021. The Heat were 6.5-point favorites in the game, but the Kings covered the spread in the win. The teams put up a total of 209 total points to finish under the 223-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/30/2021 Heat Heat -6.5 223 -253 206 Regular Season 105-104 MIA*
  • 1/30/2021 DNP – Heat: Goran Dragic, Kendrick Nunn

Scoring Trends

  • In Miami’s matchups this season, the Heat and their opponents have exceeded Thursday’s point total of 223.5 points nine times (32.1% of opportunities).
  • In Sacramento’s games this season, the competing teams combined for a higher point total than Thursday’s matchup point total in 20 out of 27 matchups (74.1%).
  • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 6.2 points fewer than the over/under of 223.5 points in this matchup.
  • A difference of 9.6 points separates the average total points bet in Kings’ games (233.1 points) and this game’s over/under (223.5 points).
  • The Heat have an average implied point total equal to their implied total in Thursday’s game (113).
  • This season, Miami has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (113) nine times.
  • The Kings’ average implied point total on the season (116.4 points) is 5.4 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (111 points).
  • This season, Sacramento has scored more than this game’s implied total of 111 points 17 times.
  • The Heat are at the 27th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (106.8 PPG), while the Kings allow the most points per game (119.3) in the league.
  • The Heat have a negative point differential on the season (-103 total points, -3.7 per game), as do the Kings (-147 total points, -5.4 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in points and rebounds. He scores 19.9 points per game while also adding 9.2 rebounds.
  • Adebayo’s points prop total for the game is set at 17.5, 2.4 points less than his season average of 19.9.
  • The squad is led in assists by Butler’s 7.4 per game.
  • Butler’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 2.0 less than his season average of 34.5.
  • The Heat are led by Duncan Robinson from long distance. He makes 3.3 shots from deep per game.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Butler leads the team with 1.9 steals per game. Adebayo collects 1.0 block a game to pace Miami.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 blocks higher than his season average of 1.0.

Kings Leaders

  • The Kings go-to guy, Fox, leads the team in both scoring (23.2 points per game) and assists (6.8 assists per game).
  • Fox’s points prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 1.7 points lower than his season average of 23.2.
  • When it comes to rebounds, Richaun Holmes is the Sacramento leader with 7.7 per game.
  • Holmes’ PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 20.5, 1.7 less than his season average of 22.2.
  • Buddy Hield makes more threes per game than any other member of the Kings, averaging 3.9 treys per game.
  • Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.4 shots less than his season average of 3.9.
  • Sacramento’s Tyrese Haliburton has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.2 per game and Holmes is first in blocks with 1.6 per game.
  • Holmes’ blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.


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