Heat vs Pacers: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – March 19, 2021

Written By Staff on March 19, 2021

The Indiana Pacers (17-22) are  underdogs against the Miami Heat (22-19) at American Airlines Arena on Friday, March 19. The game tips at 8:00 PM ET on SUN. The point total is in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of March 18, 2021, 11:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Pacers Betting Odds

Heat vs Pacers Props

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Injury Report as of March 19

Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Avery Bradley: Day To Day (Calf),
Andre Iguodala: Day To Day (Hip),
Trevor Ariza: Out (Health Protocols)

Jeremy Lamb: Day To Day (Knee),
JaKarr Sampson: Day To Day (Knee),
T.J. Warren: Out (Foot)

Heat and Pacers Records ATS

  • Miami has covered the spread in less than half its games this season, playing to a record of 18-22-1 against the spread.
  • The Heat are 5-10-1 against the spread this season when they are at least a 4.5-point favorite.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the set total in only 18 of 41 games this season (43.9%).
  • Indiana has a 15-24 record against the spread this season.
  • The Pacers only hold a 5-6 record against the spread this season when they play as at least a 4.5-point underdog.
  • Indiana and its opponents have regularly hit the over this season, doing so in 59% (23) of its 39 games played.

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Scoring Trends

  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over on Friday’s 215.5 total in 16 out of 41 games (39%) this season.
  • In Indiana’s games this season, the competing teams combined for a higher point total than Friday’s matchup point total in 29 out of 39 matchups (74.4%).
  • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 2.4 points fewer than the over/under of 215.5 points in this matchup.
  • The over/under for this contest is 9.9 points fewer than the average over/under in Pacers’ games this season (225.4 points).
  • The Heat’s average implied point total this season is 2.3 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (112.3 implied points on average compared to 110 implied points in this game).
  • So far this season, Miami has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (110) 17 times.
  • The Pacers’ average implied point total on the season (113.4 points) is 7.4 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (106 points).
  • Indiana has totaled more than 106 points in 30 games on the season.
  • The Heat are at the 26th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (106.3 PPG), while the Pacers allow the 20th-fewest points per game (112.8) in the league.
  • The Heat have a -22-point scoring differential on the season (-0.5 per game). The Pacers have also been out-scored by opponents on average this year (-10 total points, -0.2 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • The Heat points and assists leader is Jimmy Butler. He racks up 21.8 points per game and adds 7.6 assists.
  • Butler’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is listed at 6.5 assists, 1.1 assists lower than his season average of 7.6.
  • Miami is led in rebounds by Bam Adebayo’s 9.5 per game.
  • Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 1.4 less than his season average of 33.9.
  • The Heat are led by Duncan Robinson from long distance. He hits 3.3 shots from deep per game.
  • Miami’s blocks leader is Adebayo, who collects 1.0 per game. Butler leads the team averaging 2.1 steals an outing.
  • Butler’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 steals less than his season average of 2.1.

Pacers Leaders

  • Domantas Sabonis averages 11.2 rebounds per game, 6.4 assists per game, and 20.4 points per game, putting him in the top spot on the Pacers in both rebounds and assists.
  • Malcolm Brogdon’s assists prop over/under for the matchup is set at 5.5 assists, 0.9 assists lower than his season average of 6.4.
  • Malcolm Brogdon scores 21.7 points per game to pace Indiana.
  • Brogdon’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 19.5, 2.2 points lower than his season average of 21.7.
  • Justin Holiday leads the Pacers in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 2.5 made threes per game.
  • Holiday’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, equal to his season average of 2.5.
  • Nobody on Indiana grabs more steals than T.J. McConnell (1.9 per game) or blocks more shots than Myles Turner (3.4 per game).
  • McConnell’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals lower than his season average of 1.9.


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