Heat vs Knicks: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – March 29, 2021

Written By Staff on March 29, 2021

The New York Knicks (24-22) are underdogs () as they try to continue a three-game win streak when they host the Miami Heat (22-24) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 29 at Madison Square Garden. The contest airs on MSG. The over/under is in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of March 29, 2021, 6:40 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Knicks Betting Odds

Heat vs Knicks Props

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Injury Report as of March 29

Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Udonis Haslem: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Kendrick Nunn: Out (Ankle),
Victor Oladipo: Out (Illnes)

Reggie Bullock: Day To Day (Ankle),
Mitchell Robinson: Out (Ankle),
Julius Randle: Day To Day (Thigh)

Heat and Knicks Records ATS

  • Miami has covered the spread in less than half its games this season, putting together a record of 18-28 against the spread.
  • The Heat are 5-12 against the spread this season when they are at least a 4.5-point favorite.
  • Miami and its opponents have outscored the set over/under in 45.7% of its games this season (21/46).
  • New York has regularly covered the spread this season with a record of 28-18.
  • For the fourth time this season, the Knicks are at least a 4.5-point underdog, where they have a record of 2-1 against the spread.
  • 37% of New York’s 46 games this season have reached the over/under.

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Head to Head

The Heat knocked off the Knicks 98-96 in the last meeting between the teams on February 9, 2021. Elfrid Payton scored 18 points to pace the Knicks, and Jimmy Butler scored 26 points for the Heat. The Knicks covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs, and the teams fell short of the 207.5-point over/under after combining to score 194.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/9/2021 Heat Heat -6.5 207.5 -249 203 Regular Season 98-96 MIA
2/7/2021 Heat Knicks -5.5 206.5 -211 174 Regular Season 109-103 MIA
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Scoring Trends

  • Miami’s games this season have gone over the point total for Monday’s matchup point total (208 points) in 67.4% of opportunities (31 out of 46 matchups).
  • 26 New York games this year (56.5% of its matchups) ended with a final score greater than Monday’s over/under of 208 points.
  • The Heat have seen a 214.6 average over/under in their games this season, 6.6 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of two points separates the average total points bet in Knicks’ games (210 points) and this matchup’s over/under (208 points).
  • The average implied total for the Heat this season is 112.1 points, 6.1 more points than their implied total of 106 points in Monday’s game.
  • Miami has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (106) 25 times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Knicks (109.8) is 7.8 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (102).
  • New York has scored more than 102 points 30 times this season.
  • The Heat are the NBA’s 26th-highest scoring team (106.5 PPG), while the Knicks allow their opponents the least points per game (104.7) in the league.
  • The Heat have a negative point differential on the season (-70 total points, -1.5 per game), while the Knicks have scored 26 more points than their opponents (0.6 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He puts up 21.3 points per game while tacking on 7.3 assists.
  • Butler’s assists prop over/under for the game is set at 7.5 assists, 0.2 assists higher than his season average of 7.3.
  • Miami’s rebounding leader is Bam Adebayo, who grabs 9.4 per game.
  • Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 37.5, 3.4 greater than his season average of 34.1.
  • Duncan Robinson is the top three-point shooter for the Heat, connecting on 3.3 per game.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Miami’s blocks leader is Adebayo, who records 1.2 per game. Butler leads the team averaging 2.0 steals a contest.
  • Butler’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals less than his season average of 2.0.

Knicks Leaders

  • Julius Randle leads the Knicks with 23.0 points per game, 10.8 rebounds per game, and 5.8 assists per game.
  • Randle’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 38.5, 1.2 lower than his season average of 39.7.
  • Reggie Bullock is tops from three-point range for the Knicks, hitting 2.1 threes per game.
  • Bullock’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.4 shots greater than his season average of 2.1.
  • New York’s Mitchell Robinson has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.2 per game and Nerlens Noel is first in blocks with 2.0 per game.
  • Mitchell Robinson’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 0.5, 0.7 steals lower than his season average of 1.2.


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