Heat vs Cavaliers: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – April 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on April 3, 2021

The Miami Heat (25-24) are big, 12.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-31) on Saturday, April 3, 2021 at American Airlines Arena. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on BSOH. The point total in the matchup is set at 204.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of April 2, 2021, 6:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Cavaliers Betting Odds

Heat vs Cavaliers Props

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Injury Report as of April 3

Heat:
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
KZ Okpala: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Cavaliers:
Jarrett Allen: Out (Concussion),
Larry Nance Jr.: Out (Illness),
Dylan Windler: Out (Knee)

Heat and Cavaliers Records ATS

  • Miami’s record against the spread is 21-27-1 this season.
  • Miami and its opponents have outscored the set over/under in 44.9% of its games this season (22/49).
  • Cleveland has a 19-29 record ATS this season.
  • 28 of Cleveland’s 48 games (58.3%) this season have fallen short of the over/under.

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Head to Head

Jimmy Butler (28 points) led the Heat over Collin Sexton (21 points) and the Cavaliers 113-98 in their most recent matchup on March 16, 2021. The Heat were favored by 11 points in the game, and covered the spread. The 211 total points in the matchup went over the 206.5-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/16/2021 Heat Heat -11 206.5 -661 470 Regular Season 113-98 MIA


Scoring Trends

  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over on Saturday’s 204.5 total in 33 out of 49 games (67.3%) this year.
  • 31 Cleveland games this year (64.6% of its matchups) finished with a final point total greater than Saturday’s total of 204.5 points.
  • This season, the average total for Heat games is 213.5 points, 9.0 more than the over/under of 204.5 points for this contest.
  • Cavaliers’ games have a total points bet of 213.9 points this season, 9.4 points more than the over/under for this game.
  • The Heat’s average implied point total this season is 2.7 more points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (111.7 implied points on average compared to 109 implied points in this game).
  • Miami has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (109) 22 times this season.
  • The Cavaliers’ average implied point total on the season (112.3 points) is 16.3 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (96 points).
  • Cleveland has put up more than 96 points in 34 games on the season.
  • The Heat are at the 26th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (106.2 PPG), while the Cavaliers allow the 15th-fewest points per game (111.1) in the league.
  • The Heat have a negative point differential on the season (-48 total points, -1 per game), as do the Cavaliers (-404 total points, -8.4 per game).

Heat Leaders

  • Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He contributes 21.4 points per game while also adding 7.2 assists.
  • Butler’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 21.5, 0.1 points greater than his season average of 21.4.
  • Miami’s rebounding leader is Bam Adebayo, who pulls down 9.5 per game.
  • Adebayo’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 39.5, 5.3 greater than his season average of 34.2.
  • Duncan Robinson is the top three-point shooter for the Heat, connecting on 3.4 per game.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots greater than his season average of 3.4.
  • Butler leads the team with 2.0 steals per game. Adebayo collects 1.2 blocks a game to pace Miami.
  • Adebayo’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks higher than his season average of 1.2.

Cavaliers Leaders

  • Sexton owns the Cavaliers top spot in scoring with 23.9 points per game and also tacks on 2.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest.
  • Sexton’s points prop over/under for the contest is set at 25.5, 1.6 points higher than his season average of 23.9.
  • The Cleveland leaders in rebounds and assists are Jarrett Allen (9.9 rebounds per game) and Darius Garland (5.8 assists per game).
  • Garland’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 26.5, 2.0 greater than his season average of 24.5.
  • Cedi Osman makes more threes per game than any other member of the Cavaliers, averaging 1.7 treys per game.
  • Osman’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 1.2 shots lower than his season average of 1.7.
  • Nobody on Cleveland grabs more steals than Larry Nance Jr. (1.8 per game) or blocks more shots than Allen (1.7 per game).
  • Nance’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals lower than his season average of 1.8.

Predictions

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