Guardians Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 17, 2022

Written By Staff on May 16, 2022

The Cleveland Guardians (16-17) and Cincinnati Reds (9-26) square off on Tuesday to start a two-game series, with the first pitch at 6:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. Cleveland’s (-158 to win) Zach Plesac gets the start against Cincinnati’s (+134) Connor Overton.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 17, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Guardians vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Plesac (CLE) Pitcher Overton (CIN)
1 – 3 W/L 1 – 0
32.2 IP 17.0
4.68 ERA 1.59
1.347 WHIP 1.059
5.5 K/9 4.2
2.8 BB/9 3.2

Guardians Probable Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac makes the start for the Guardians, his seventh of the season. He is 1-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Tuesday, May 10 against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up a 4.68 ERA and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings across six games this season.
  • Plesac is trying to collect his second quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • The opposing Reds offense has a collective .216 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 243 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 141 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.351) and ranks 21st in home runs (29) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 17, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Probable Starter Connor Overton

  • Overton (1-0) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 1.59, a 1.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.059.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in three starts this season.
  • The Guardians have scored 157 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 283 hits, eighth in baseball, with 31 home runs (19th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 17, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have been the moneyline favorite eight total times this season. They’ve gone 6-2 in those games.
  • Cleveland has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -158 or shorter.
  • The Guardians have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.2% in this game.
  • Cleveland has played in 33 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-14-0).
  • The Guardians are 17-16-0 ATS this season.
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Reds Betting Trends

  • This season, the Reds have won seven out of the 29 games, or 24.1%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • This season, Cincinnati has won four of its 19 games, or 21.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +134 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 42.7%.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 35 games with a total this season.
  • The Reds are 14-21-0 against the spread in their 35 chances this season.

Guardians Players to Watch

  • Jose Ramirez has put up a team-high OBP (.386) and slugging percentage (.581), and leads the Guardians in hits (36). He’s batting .290 with eight doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters, Ramirez ranks 29th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 15th and he is eighth in slugging.
  • Steven Kwan has six doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks while hitting .281.
  • Kwan’s batting average ranks 35th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 17th, and he is 90th in the league in slugging.
  • Owen Miller has 11 doubles, three home runs and 11 walks while batting .298.
  • Myles Straw is batting .242 with seven doubles, a triple and 20 walks.

Guardians Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
José Ramírez 124 .290 20 8 33 .386 .967
Myles Straw 124 .242 23 0 4 .345 .660
Amed Rosario 117 .239 13 0 8 .288 .587
Franmil Reyes 116 .207 9 3 11 .258 .551
Steven Kwan 96 .281 19 1 13 .377 .773
Owen Miller 94 .298 21 3 13 .361 .872
Andrés Giménez 92 .315 12 4 20 .333 .887
Oscar Mercado 77 .208 9 4 15 .235 .677
Austin Hedges 77 .169 8 3 7 .238 .524
Ernie Clement 51 .196 7 0 3 .281 .536

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury has 26 hits, which is best among Cincinnati hitters this season, while batting .252 with 15 extra-base hits.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Drury ranks 70th in batting average, his on-base percentage is 79th, and he is 12th in slugging percentage.
  • Tommy Pham leads the Reds with an OPS of .746. He has a slash line of .241/.358/.388 this season.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Pham ranks 88th in batting average, 37th in on-base percentage and 98th in slugging percentage.
  • Tyler Stephenson has 22 hits this season and has a slash line of .324/.390/.574.
  • Tyler Naquin has two home runs, 19 RBI and a batting average of .240 this season.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Pham 116 .241 21 4 11 .358 .746
Kyle Farmer 114 .193 11 1 15 .254 .552
Brandon Drury 103 .252 18 7 22 .328 .862
Tyler Naquin 100 .240 12 2 19 .296 .716
Mike Moustakas 86 .256 14 3 9 .330 .749
Colin Moran 78 .205 8 4 21 .286 .671
Tyler Stephenson 68 .324 13 4 19 .390 .964
TJ Friedl 54 .185 9 0 3 .246 .505
Aramis Garcia 45 .178 4 1 1 .213 .480
Matt Reynolds 35 .257 3 0 1 .395 .709

Guardians vs Reds Player Props

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