Guardians Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 28, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

Bobby Dalbec leads the Boston Red Sox (49-50) into a contest against the Cleveland Guardians (50-47) following his two-homer showing in a 7-6 loss to the Guardians. It starts at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday. Cleveland’s (-120 to win) Triston McKenzie and Boston’s (+102) Kutter Crawford will start this matchup.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 28, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET.

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Guardians vs Red Sox Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

McKenzie (CLE) Pitcher Crawford (BOS)
7 – 6 W/L 2 – 3
107.0 IP 42.0
3.11 ERA 4.50
0.981 WHIP 1.310
8.4 K/9 10.3
2.4 BB/9 3.4

Guardians Probable Starter Triston McKenzie

  • McKenzie (7-6 with a 3.11 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 107 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 18th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 3.11 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .198 to his opponents.
  • McKenzie is looking to record his 11th quality start of the year.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has a collective .255 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 872 total hits and 11th in MLB action with 452 runs scored. It has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and ranks 16th in home runs (99) in all of MLB.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 24-year-old’s 3.11 ERA ranks 24th, .981 WHIP ranks ninth, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 32nd.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 28, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs McKenzie

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Rob Refsnyder 4 .250 1 1 1 .500 1.500

Red Sox Probable Starter Kutter Crawford

  • Crawford (2-3) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.50 and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .239 in 14 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • The Guardians are batting .253 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (16th in the league) with 77 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 28, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Guardians Stats vs Crawford

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Amed Rosario 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Franmil Reyes 2 1.000 2 1 1 1.000 3.500
Owen Miller 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 3.000
Myles Straw 1 1.000 1 0 1 1.000 2.000
Andrés Giménez 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Austin Hedges 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have put together a 28-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65.1% of those games).
  • Cleveland is 25-13 (winning 65.8% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Guardians’ implied win probability is 54.5%.
  • In the 97 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-45-4).
  • The Guardians have a 52-45-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.6% of the time).
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Red Sox Betting Trends

  • This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog 46 times and won 18, or 39.1%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won 14 of its 38 games, or 36.8%, when they’re the underdog by at least +102 on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have a 49.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 99 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have an ATS record of 52-47-0 in 99 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Players to Watch

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 101 hits, while batting .285 with 32 doubles, four triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters, Ramirez ranks 35th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 26th and he is seventh in slugging.
  • Amed Rosario’s .410 slugging percentage paces his team, and he has 18 doubles, six triples, four home runs and 19 walks while hitting .296.
  • Among qualified hitters, Rosario’s batting average ranks 22nd, his on-base percentage ranks 71st, and he is 87th in the league in slugging.
  • Rosario heads into this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .304 with a double, a triple and three RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has put up an on-base percentage of .368, a team-high for the Guardians. He is batting .294 with 15 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 33 walks.
  • Kwan enters this matchup on a 10-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is hitting .370 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Josh Naylor is hitting .279 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Naylor brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Guardians Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Amed Rosario 371 .296 55 4 35 .332 .742
José Ramírez 354 .285 55 19 79 .363 .922
Myles Straw 337 .220 53 0 17 .306 .588
Steven Kwan 310 .294 46 2 28 .368 .749
Owen Miller 293 .246 37 4 39 .301 .666
Andrés Giménez 277 .300 36 11 46 .362 .846
Josh Naylor 251 .279 32 14 53 .330 .836
Franmil Reyes 245 .220 23 9 28 .263 .630
Austin Hedges 177 .175 16 6 18 .234 .516
Ernie Clement 133 .203 15 0 6 .272 .498

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Xander Bogaerts leads Boston with an OBP of .389 this season while batting .317 with 37 walks and 55 runs scored.
  • Among all qualified hitters in MLB, Bogaerts’ batting average ranks sixth, his on-base percentage ranks eighth, and he is 51st in slugging percentatge.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .265 with a .370 slugging percentage and 50 RBI this year.
  • Verdugo is 59th in batting average, 116th in on-base percentage and 129th in slugging percentage in the majors.
  • J.D. Martinez has 96 hits this season and has a slash line of .296/.364/.472.
  • Christian Vazquez has been key for Boston with 78 hits, an OBP of .326 plus a slugging percentage of .432.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Verdugo 359 .265 38 6 50 .306 .676
Xander Bogaerts 350 .317 55 7 39 .389 .843
J.D. Martínez 324 .296 51 9 38 .364 .836
Christian Vázquez 278 .281 30 8 40 .326 .758
Jackie Bradley Jr. 261 .211 19 3 28 .259 .577
Bobby Dalbec 243 .206 29 10 28 .279 .649
Franchy Cordero 205 .224 30 4 25 .303 .669
Jarren Duran 127 .244 17 1 7 .294 .688
Rob Refsnyder 93 .312 16 4 12 .389 .894
Kevin Plawecki 90 .189 9 1 6 .288 .555

Guardians vs Red Sox Player Props

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