Gonzaga vs Creighton March Madness Odds — Sweet 16 2021

Posted By Staff on March 23, 2021 - Last Updated on March 25, 2021

The top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs (26-0) and the No. 5 Creighton Bluejays (20-8) will meet on Sunday to compete for a spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament. Gonzaga is favored by  in the Sweet 16 matchup, which begins at 2:10 PM ET on CBS.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 23, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Gonzaga vs. Creighton Game Matchup

Gonzaga has just been an absolute machine in their quest to become the first undefeated national champion since Indiana in 1976. Coincidentally, if the Bulldogs were to pull it off in this COVID-ravaged season, they will also finish with an identical 32-0 record.

Offensively, the Zags have been unstoppable, winning all but one game by double-digits. They lead the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency by KenPom, two-point field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage. Leading scorers Jalen Suggs, Drew Timme and Corey Kispert all shoot at least 58 percent from inside the arc and are above 30 percent on three-point attempts. Fellow starter Joel Ayayi also shoots 39 percent from three. As a team, the Zags shoot 74 percent on free throws.

There simply is no offensive weakness. Gonzaga is even more efficient this season than Mark Few’s last few teams that also led the nation in offensive efficiency.

To pull the upset, Creighton is going to have to play close to a perfect game, as Gonzaga also ranks top 10 in defensive effeciency. The Blue Jays will also need perform better in areas where they’ve struggled this season. Creighton shoots a pitiful 64.3 percent from the charity stripe, ranking outside the top 300 in Division I. They also do not force turnovers at a high rate, ranking outside the top 200.

Gonzaga is justified as a large favorite.

Gonzaga Betting Information

  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread more often than not this season, earning a record ATS of 13-12-2.
  • The Bulldogs are 10-11-1 against the spread this season when they are at least a 13.5-point favorite.
  • In 55.6% of their games this season (15/27), the Bulldogs and their opponents have outscored the set over/under.
  • The Bulldogs defeated Oklahoma 87-71 in their last contest on Monday. Drew Timme racked up a team-high 30 points to lead the team to the victory. They were favored by 15.5 points and covered the spread, and the teams combined to go over the 155.5 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Gonzaga Players to Watch

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Corey Kispert 28 19.2 4.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 2.9
Drew Timme 28 18.8 7.3 2.2 0.7 0.8 0.2
Jalen Suggs 26 14.0 5.3 4.3 2.0 0.3 1.1
Joel Ayayi 28 12.0 7.1 2.9 1.1 0.2 1.1
Andrew Nembhard 28 8.9 2.4 4.1 1.1 0.1 1.0

Creighton Betting Information

  • The Bluejays hold a losing record ATS this season, covering 12 times and failing to cover 15 times.
  • For the sixth time this season, the Bluejays are at least a 13.5-point underdog, where they have a record of 3-2 against the spread.
  • 40.7% of Creighton’s 27 games this season have topped the over/under.
  • The Bluejays beat Ohio 72-58 and covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites, while going under the 150 point total in their most recent game on Monday. Marcus Zegarowski put up a team-high 20 points in the victory.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Creighton Players to Watch

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Marcus Zegarowski 27 15.7 3.7 4.3 1.3 0.1 2.7
Denzel Mahoney 28 12.5 4.1 1.7 1.4 0.1 2.1
Damien Jefferson 29 12.2 5.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 1.1
Christian Bishop 29 10.9 6.2 1.2 0.7 1.0 0.0
Mitchell Ballock 29 10.2 3.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 2.6

Total Facts

  • In Gonzaga’s matchups this season, the Bulldogs and their opponents have exceeded Sunday’s over/under of 158.5 points 13 times (46.4% of opportunities).
  • In 26.7% of Creighton’s games this season (8 of 30), the total points scored was greater than Sunday’s 158.5-point over/under.
  • The total for the matchup of 158.5 is 9.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bulldogs (92.1 points per game) and the Bluejays (76.3 points per game).
  • The 136.4 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 22.1 fewer than the 158.5 over/under in this contest.
  • The Bulldogs have seen a 160.8 average over/under in their games this season, 2.3 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 14.4 points more than the average over/under in Bluejays games this season (144.1 points).

Head to Head

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
12/1/2018 N/A Creighton N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 103-92 GONZ

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