Gonzaga vs Baylor National Championship Odds — NCAA Tournament 2021

Posted By Staff on April 4, 2021 - Last Updated on April 5, 2021

The No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs are a favorite to earn an NCAA Tournament National Championship victory against the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The championship contest begins at 9:00 PM ET and airs on CBS.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Gonzaga vs. Baylor Game Matchup

The dream national championship game matchup for college basketball fans is set. The number one overall seed in the tournament will face the number two overall seed. The game is also a matchup of the Bulldogs’ top-ranked offensive efficiency versus the Bears’ second-ranked offensive efficiency.

Gonzaga is one win away from the first undefeated season since Indiana in 1976. Despite Baylor blowing out Houston in the national semifinal, and Gonzaga surviving UCLA in overtime on Jalen Suggs’ now immortal banked-in three, the Zags sit at in the spread.

If the matchup on paper plays out, get ready for an offensive symphony. Gonzaga features the best two-point offense in the nation. The Bulldogs have failed to reach 80 points just three times this season, but none of those three times were against their toughest opponents. In their biggest games, they have shined brightest.

Leading scorers Jalen Suggs, Drew Timme and Corey Kispert all shoot at least 58% on two-pointers. Suggs and Kispert shoot 33% and 45% from three, respectively. Fellow starter Joel Ayayi also shoots 39% from outside. As a team, the Zags shoot 74% on free throws.

Not to be outdone, Baylor ranks first in the nation in three-point offense, shooting 41% from outside. Jared Butler, Matthew Mayer, Davion Mitchell and Adam Flager all shoot better than 40% from beyond the arc. MaCio Teague shoots 39%.

The one weakness in this matchup could be Baylor’s propensity to allow offensive rebounds. They rank 280th in offensive rebounding percentage allowed (per KenPom). Gonzaga sits top 100 in offensive rebounding.

Sit back. Grab your favorite drink. And enjoy. This national championship has the potential to be one of the best matchups in March Madness history.

Gonzaga Betting Information

  • Gonzaga is over .500 against the spread this season with a record of 15-13-2.
  • The Bulldogs are an even 13-13-2 against the spread this season when they are at least a 4.5-point favorite.
  • The Bulldogs and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of 30 games this season (53.3%).
  • In their last game, the Bulldogs got a team-high 25 points from Drew Timme on the way to a 93-90 win against UCLA on Saturday. They were favored by 14.5 points and failed to covered the spread, and the teams combined to score 183 points to hit the over on the 147 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Gonzaga Players to Watch

Drew Timme 30 19.0 7.2 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.2
Corey Kispert 30 18.9 5.0 1.7 0.9 0.4 2.9
Jalen Suggs 28 14.0 5.5 4.5 1.9 0.3 1.1
Joel Ayayi 30 11.9 7.1 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.2
Andrew Nembhard 30 9.1 2.4 4.3 1.1 0.1 1.0
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Baylor Betting Information

  • Baylor has consistently covered the spread this season with a record ATS of 18-9-1.
  • When playing as at least a 4.5-point underdog, the Bears often meet expectations with a 15-8-1 record against the spread.
  • 17 of the Bears 28 games (60.7%) this season have been over the over/under.
  • The Bears took down Houston 78-59 and covered the spread as 5-point favorites, while going over the 135 point total on Saturday in their most recent game. Jared Butler put up a team-high 17 points to propel them to the victory.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Baylor Players to Watch

Jared Butler 28 16.5 3.3 4.8 2.0 0.4 2.5
MaCio Teague 28 15.9 4.1 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.0
Davion Mitchell 28 14.1 2.6 5.3 2.0 0.4 2.1
Adam Flagler 26 9.0 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.0 1.6
Matthew Mayer 28 8.2 3.8 1.0 1.3 0.3 1.0

Total Facts

  • In Gonzaga’s matchups this season, the Bulldogs and their opponents have exceeded Monday’s over/under of 160 points 14 times (45.2% of opportunities).
  • In six out of Baylor’s 29 games this year (20.7%), the competing teams scored a higher point total than the total in Monday’s matchup.
  • The Bulldogs average 91.6 points per game against the Bears’ 82.8, amounting to 14.4 points over the game’s total of 160.
  • The 134.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 25.5 fewer than the 160 over/under in this contest.
  • On average, the Bulldogs have seen a 160.8 over/under in their games this season, 0.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 11.9 points separates this matchup’s over/under (160 points) and the average total points bet in Bears games (148.1 points) this season.

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