Golf DFS Picks: 4 Potential Longshots & PGA Tour Sleepers For The 2025 Sony Open
The Hawaii Swing continues with the PGA Tour’s first full-field event of 2025, the Sony Open. The event hosts 144 players and offers appealing longshot golf odds. The latest Underdog promo code provides a $100 bonus for those interested in playing these golf DFS picks! Waialae CC in Honolulu, Hawaii, is set to host the Sony Open this Thursday.
Waialae CC has proven to be a plodder’s paradise, rewarding those who consistently keep their drives within its narrow fairways and capitalize with mid-iron approaches between 125 and 200 yards. That simple formula has led to repeatable results from course horses like Matt Kuchar and Corey Conners. Still, plenty of other discounted options with similar skill sets are available in this field.
Ahead, we’ll dive into the most viable longshot options to consider for the 2025 Sony Open.
sony open odds
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Sony Open Underdog Fantasy Draft Rankings
Underdog snake drafts include Sony Open contests that strip away the complexity of traditional DFS lineup-making. John’s golf picks may provide valuable sleepers for your Underdog golf drafts. These rankings can also be applied to DraftKings and FanDuel golf DFS.
Tier 1
Russell Henley
Corey Conners
Luke Clanton
Hideki Matsuyama
Tier 2
Tom Kim
Billy Horschel
Si Woo Kim
Byeong Hun An
Tier 3
Keith Mitchell
Ben Griffin
JT Poston
Harry Hall
Matt Kuchar
Austin Eckroat
Tier 4
JJ Spaun
Lucas Glover
Mac Meissner
Daniel Berger
Tier 5
Joel Dahmen
Hayden Buckley
Kurt Kitayama
Ben Kohles
Carson Young
finding value in the Sony open field
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA Tour, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile and then take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At The Sony Open, Driving Accuracy, mid-iron approach play, course history, and recent form to close 2024 are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will emphasize the importance of course history over recent form and elite ball-striking on comp courses over Bermuda. I will identify them as two key areas to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament.
Below, find my favorite golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2025 Sony Open. Stats were pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted. Each player is listed with the best price in Sony Open odds.
Sony Open Course Specs
For a deeper dive into the course, read my Sony Open preview.
Daniel Berger
There’s shaking off the rust, and then there’s whatever you want to call Daniel Berger’s journey since stepping away from the game in the summer of 2022. Berger underwent rehabilitation from June 2022 through the entire 2023 season to restore his lingering back issues.
Easing back into PGA Tour competition in 2024, Berger finally hit his vintage stride in the Fall Swing, with a pair of top-10 finishes at the Sanderson Farms Championship and RSM Classic. His recent start at the latter produced a runner-up finish, just one stroke shy of Maverick McNealy.
The four-time PGA Tour winner and former Ryder Cupper is a top-20 talent in the world at full strength, and he continues to show more encouraging signs as the post-hiatus reps pile on. Berger’s strengths fall in his precise ball-striking and Bermuda putting, with his best career finishes coming on shorter, positional venues like Pebble Beach and Colonial CC. Berger posted a career-best T7 finish at the Sony Open in his last appearance here in 2021 and is still priced at a discount for as long as the questions surrounding his health persist.
Cam Davis
One of the trendier value plays this week, Cam Davis, won’t afford you much leverage from a DFS standpoint but is still a value I can’t ignore from a betting perspective. Those who watched The Sentry closely understand Davis’ T13 finish was far more impressive than the final scorecard would otherwise suggest.
Davis put himself in an early hole with a sluggish +4 start through his first four holes in the opening round at The Sentry. He rebounded nicely, however, shooting -22 over his next three rounds. That’s exactly the trajectory I like to target when looking for bounce-back sleepers, as Davis appears to have kicked off the holiday rust now as he enters the second leg of the Aloha Swing.
Despite his impressive length off the tee, Davis’ discipline on positional venues has surprisingly led to his best results coming on shorter venues. He’s finished in the top 30 in his last five trips to the Sony Open, highlighted by a T7 in 2020. Ranking in the top 15 in Comp Course History and SG: Short Game, Waialae CC presents an excellent fit for Davis’ game.
Matt Kuchar
Whether it be a reward for disciplined course strategists who’ve successfully cracked the code of how to navigate this course or simply the comforting feeling that comes with starting your PGA Tour season in Hawaii each year, Waialae CC ranks as one the top stickiest course history tracks on tour. Naturally, on a course that has shown such a repeatable formula from its course horses, I’m drawn to Matt Kuchar, who ranks No. 1 in total strokes gained at Waialae CC. Kuchar’s resume at the Sony Open includes a win and eight top-15 finishes since 2011.
I’m less concerned about recent form when it comes to outlier course horses like Kuchar in this case, as he’s proven he can flip a switch and sleepwalk his way to contention here. The fit makes sense, too, as Kuchar ranks in the top 10 in driving accuracy and SG: Short Game on Bermuda greens.
Kuchar has also developed an affinity for short resort courses, with his last two PGA Tour wins coming in Mayakoba and here in 2019. And despite this being a pure course history play, Kuchar showed he still has plenty left in the tank with a pair of top-15 finishes over the Fall Swing.
Lucas Glover
I would not have thought twice if I saw Glover’s betting odds open at 50-1, and yet, consensus odds have placed him at nearly double that mark, making him my favorite value on the board this week. It’s no secret Glover loves a positional Bermuda course, as he picked up his latest two victories in 2022 at comp courses in Sedgefield CC and TPC Southwind.
The Georgia native has notoriously struggled with the putter but has flashed upside on these more familiar Bermuda greens.
At the Sony Open, Glover has shown tremendous upside, finishing T5 here in 2022. Fresh off a hot Fall Swing that featured top-3 finishes at both the Sanderson Farms Championship and Black Desert Championship, you won’t find a player with a better combination of recent form and course fit in this price range than Lucas Glover.
Best of luck if you bet or play these golf DFS picks for the 2025 Sony Open!
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