Golf DFS Picks: 4 Potential Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleepers For 2024 Valero Texas Open

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Written By John Haslbauer | Last Updated
golf dfs picks

It’s the final week of the year before The Masters kicks off, and as tempting as it is to look ahead, the task at hand for now is to build up our bankroll for Masters odds at the 2024 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio. With Scottie Scheffler mercifully absent this week, sleeper golf DFS picks have a fighting chance with one last opportunity to punch their ticket to Augusta.

Three of the last five winners of the Valero Texas Open have won at 200-1 opening odds, so with one final spot in the field at Augusta up for grabs for the winner, it’s a great week to reach back for some longshot outright bets.

Let’s get to our 2024 Valero Texas Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. 


Below are the most expensive players for DraftKings DFS pricing and the favorites in sportsbook odds. Click on the odds to bet now.


Standing at 7,438 yards, the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is more accessible for accurate plodders than the yardage may suggest. With heavy tree lines and firm fairways, driving accuracy has proven to be a reliable skillset to bring to TPC San Antonio. Accurate ball-strikers – particularly in other windy setups – with familiarity around Bermuda greens are best suited to attack this course.

For a deeper dive into the course, read my Texas Children’s Houston Open odds. Without any further delay, let’s get to our Texas Children’s Houston Open picks, focusing on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.


To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile, then take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the Valero Texas Open, Recent Form, Course History, and SG: Ball Striking are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.

From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance on the importance of Comp Course History at similar Texas style venues, Driving Accuracy, and Bogey Avoidance as key areas to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament.

Below, find my favorite golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2024 Valero Texas Open. Stats were pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted. Each player is listed with the best price in Valero Texas Open odds.

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Erik van Rooyen (, $7,300)

An early candidate for the most improved player of 2024, van Rooyen has suddenly developed into one of the most consistent ball-strikers on TOUR. He ranks No. 6 in SG: APP and No. 18 in SG: OTT, a combination that has rewarded regular contenders like Corey Conners, Jordan Spieth, and Matt Kuchar at this event historically.

We get a bit of a discount on van Rooyen this week after a missed cut at THE PLAYERS in his latest start, which is permissible considering how many surprise missed cuts that event is known to produce. At the Valero Texas Open, van Rooyen has displayed the fit for his game, with a best finish of T14 here in 2021.

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Lucas Glover (, $7,300)

In a similar vein to van Rooyen, Glover also demonstrates a high floor of consistent ball striking, which makes him an ideal target for weeks like these. Glover’s history is even more proven at TPC San Antonio, as he’s finished top 20 in three of his last four appearances.

He enters this year in improved form, fresh off an 11th-place finish at the Valspar Championship with revitalized putting. The No. 5 overall player in my model this week, Glover ranks top-10 in terms of SG: APP, Comp Course History, SG: Tee-To-Green, and SG: Around The Green. Putting aside, all signs otherwise seem to point towards another top-20 bid in San Antonio for Glover.

Ryan Moore (, $6,500)

The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is appropriately named for its constant intervention of trees surrounding the fairways. Despite ranking in the top 10 in total yardage amongst PGA TOUR venues annually, it’s proven to be a rare example of a course that tilts the advantage from bombers to fairway finders.

Accuracy is the name of the game for the former Ryder Cupper, as Moore ranks No. 1 in terms of both SG: APP and Fairways Gained over the last 36 rounds. From a fantasy sleeper perspective, that level of control is very reassuring when looking for cornerstones to safely find the weekend. And if you’re looking for even more reassurance, he ranks top-10 in terms of Course History, with three top-10 finishes over his last six appearances.

JJ Spaun (, $6,300)

The 2022 Valero Texas Open champ has quickly plummeted down the odds board and DFS pricing after a slow start to 2024, but a closer look may suggest he’s ready to turn things around. A T36 finisher at last week’s Houston Open, a return to Texas may have been just what the doctor ordered to reset the vibes. He gained 6.2 strokes on approach in Houston, the fifth-best showing of his PGA TOUR career.

Spaun was far from a one-year flash in his 2022 Valero Texas Open victory, as he’s carded three top-25 finishes over the last five years here. I won’t go as far as betting Spaun to win this week, but he’ll be a fixture in my DFS lineups at projected low ownership, and makes for an appealing longshot first-round leader bet.

Best of luck if you bet or play this golf DFS picks for the Valero Texas Open!

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2024 Valero Texas open ODDS

Shop the odds at the best sports betting sites for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players here, including for the top 10, top 20, etc.